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Benfica vs Vitoria Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 85-68
22-15 28-16 18-22 17-15
Position#4
Record1-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game90.0
Benfica 🏆
Portugal
vs
Vitoria
Portugal
Position#9
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game72.0
PortugalTaca da Liga· Pavilhão Fidelidade
Other2025
Meetings · Benfica v Vitoria
12 Dec 2026
BEN v VITO
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
BEN111
VITO79
09 May 2025
BEN99
VITO87
26 Apr 2025
BEN91
VITO81
01 Mar 2025
BEN85
VITO68
11 May 2024
BEN81
VITO53
04 Oct 2023
BEN107
VITO66
14 Feb 2023
BEN100
VITO80
07 May 2022
BEN89
VITO70
05 Oct 2021
BEN96
VITO57
06 Jan 2021
BEN102
VITO60
05 Oct 2019
BEN78
VITO76
19 Jan 2019
BEN83
VITO81
27 Apr 2018
BEN98
VITO86
08 Oct 2017
BEN106
VITO82
21 Apr 2017
BEN80
VITO76
12 Oct 2016
BEN85
VITO64
06 Dec 2015
BEN75
VITO56
24 May 2015
BEN77
VITO69
23 May 2015
BEN75
VITO67
23 Nov 2014
BEN80
VITO58
18 May 2014
BEN90
VITO74
17 May 2014
BEN88
VITO64
08 Feb 2014
BEN70
VITO61
24 Mar 2013
BEN75
VITO63
12 Feb 2012
BEN84
VITO78
29 Jan 2011
BEN79
VITO63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vitoria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#10
W
79-75
79
75
+4
75avg 83
A22/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
81-64
81
64
+17
74avg 83
H29/12
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
89-69
89
69
+20
83avg 83
A04/01
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
80-66
80
66
+14
83avg 83
H12/01
LPB
Portimonense
#16
W
104-55
104
55
+49
107avg 83
A19/01
Taca de Portugal
Oliveirense
#4
W
95-83
95
83
+12
93avg 83
A25/01
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
86-76
86
76
+10
82avg 83
H02/02
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
96-90
96
90
+6
89avg 83
A05/02
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#5
W
95-90
95
90
+5
82avg 83
A08/02
Taca de Portugal
FC Porto
#2
L
89-103
89
103
-14
77avg 83
A15/02
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
13-15
23-11
22-27
22-22
19-13
24-12
16-17
21-18
20-14
30-17
18-20
21-15
24-18
17-14
18-19
15-14
34-16
32-10
23-15
30-20
22-21
23-15
20-27
26-13
24-18
19-18
17-27
24-23
28-19
21-22
23-26
26-21
20-27
17-20
32-22
23-21
25-27
21-20
20-35
166.5Avg total
89.4Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)96.090.0186.0+6.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)96.090.0186.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.477.1166.5+12.390%
Last 5 (5)92.288.4180.6+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.584.2159.7-8.733%
vs Similar (3)83.087.0170.0-4.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)88.875.7164.5+13.295%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#10
L
75-78
75
78
-3
62avg 73
H15/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#11
W
94-72
94
72
+22
90avg 73
H18/12
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#3
L
90-92
90
92
-2
88avg 73
A21/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
69-89
69
89
-20
53avg 73
H04/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
74-92
74
92
-18
62avg 73
H11/01
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#15
W
122-88
122
88
+34
116avg 73
A18/01
Taca de Portugal
Imortal
#7
L
82-105
82
105
-23
70avg 73
A25/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
100-97 OT
100
97
+3
85avg 73
H02/02
LPB
Benfica
#3
L
90-95
90
95
-5
91avg 73
H08/02
Taca de Portugal
Esgueira
#8
W
86-73
86
73
+13
86avg 73
A15/02
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
11-21
29-21
14-17
15-22
25-16
28-12
26-22
17-23
30-20
31-16
12-33
18-21
14-20
17-30
20-18
14-24
25-20
17-21
18-27
29-20
38-20
28-25
27-23
18-20
22-26
22-32
20-27
23-21
17-20
20-20
18-17
21-26
27-20
20-17
22-32
22-17
23-25
19-19
22-12
176.3Avg total
88.2Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)94.072.0166.0+22.0100%
Season at home (1)94.072.0166.0+22.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)88.288.1176.3+0.140%
Last 5 (5)96.091.6187.6+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)77.191.1168.2-14.09%
vs Similar (10)77.881.4159.2-3.630%
vs Weaker (8)84.173.9158.0+10.275%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +6.8+6.8Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -2.9-2.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +6.8+6.8Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -2.9-2.9
BenficaVitoria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A22/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H29/12
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A04/01
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H12/01
LPB
Portimonense
#16
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A19/01
Taca de Portugal
Oliveirense
#4
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A25/01
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H02/02
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A05/02
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#5
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A08/02
Taca de Portugal
FC Porto
#2
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A15/02
LPB
83.5Avg total
45.8Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.338.281.5+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.435.680.0+8.979%-
Last 30 away (16)42.440.582.9+1.956%-
Last 10 (10)45.837.783.5+8.170%-
Last 5 (5)49.642.091.6+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.840.383.2+2.567%-
vs Similar (3)41.345.386.7-4.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.536.479.9+7.174%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#10
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H15/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H18/12
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#3
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A21/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H04/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H11/01
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#15
W
67-40
67
40
+27
A18/01
Taca de Portugal
Imortal
#7
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A25/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H02/02
LPB
Benfica
#3
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H08/02
Taca de Portugal
Esgueira
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A15/02
LPB
85.1Avg total
43.0Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.840.780.5-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.641.077.6-4.433%-
Last 30 away (15)42.940.583.4+2.560%-
Last 10 (10)43.042.185.1+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)48.043.091.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.743.781.5-6.018%-
vs Similar (10)37.740.077.7-2.350%-
vs Weaker (8)41.837.679.4+4.175%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.119.1
54.4%
51.0%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.010.7
33.4%
34.2%32.1
🏀 Free throws22.015.6
70.9%
68.1%15.6
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.117.5
51.3%
51.0%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.412.5
36.3%
34.2%37.5
🏀 Free throws22.515.4
68.4%
68.1%15.4
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Benfica
LWWWWWWWWW
Vitoria
WLWLWLLLWL
#4
League position
#9
+10.6
Net rating
+0.8
112.3
Offensive rating
110.3
101.7
Defensive rating
109.5
52.4%
Effective FG%
52.9%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
15.4%
Turnover %
18.6%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.4%
3-point %
36.3%
67.4%
Assist %
60.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 110.3Defence101.7 · 109.5Shooting52.4% · 52.9%3-point %33.4% · 36.3%Ball care15.4% · 18.6%Off. rebounds31.4% · 32.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Benfica   ■ Vitoria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Benfica wins
1
Vitoria wins
DateGameScore
08/02/25Vitoria v Benfica90-95
04/01/25Vitoria v Benfica69-89
14/05/24Vitoria v Benfica71-93
11/05/24Benfica v Vitoria81-53
20/01/24Vitoria v Benfica91-71
04/10/23Benfica v Vitoria107-66
14/02/23Benfica v Vitoria100-80
25/11/22Vitoria v Benfica79-106
07/05/22Benfica v Vitoria89-70
17/12/21Vitoria v Benfica68-108
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25AFC Porto89-103
08/02/25AVitoria95-90
05/02/25AGalitos Barreiro96-90
02/02/25HImortal86-76
25/01/25AOliveirense95-83
19/01/25APortimonense104-55
12/01/25HGalomar80-66
04/01/25AVitoria89-69
29/12/24HSporting CP81-64
22/12/24ACD Povoa79-75
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25AEsgueira86-73
08/02/25HBenfica90-95
02/02/25HFC Porto100-97 OT
25/01/25AImortal82-105
18/01/25AVasco Da Gama122-88
11/01/25HOliveirense74-92
04/01/25HBenfica69-89
21/12/24ASporting CP90-92
18/12/24HCD Povoa94-72
15/12/24HCD Povoa75-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica
Taca da Liga 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game96.0-96.0
Allowed / game90.0-90.0
Point differential+6.0-+6.0
Avg total186.0-186.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Vitoria
Taca da Liga 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game94.094.0-
Allowed / game72.072.0-
Point differential+22.0+22.0-
Avg total166.0166.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vitoria110100%94.072.0+22.0
2 Ovarense220100%83.564.0+19.5
3 Oliveirense220100%92.574.5+18.0
4 Sporting CP110100%86.068.0+18.0
5 FC Porto220100%91.579.5+12.0
6 Benfica110100%96.090.0+6.0
7 Galitos Barreiro21150%82.583.0-0.5
8 CD Povoa2020%71.084.5-13.5
9 CA Queluz1010%75.089.0-14.0
10 Imortal2020%76.090.0-14.0
11 Esgueira2020%78.095.0-17.0
12 Galomar2020%60.581.0-20.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Benfica2228181785
Vitoria1516221568
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