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Besiktas vs Virtus Bologna Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 16 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record4-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game91.8
vs
Position#13
Record4-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game89.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 38· BJK Akatlar Sports Complex
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Besiktas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BesiktasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trabzonspor
#6
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H05/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#20
W
92-84
92
84
+8
A09/10
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#2
L
63-88
63
88
-25
A11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
82-100
82
100
-18
A14/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#18
W
95-87
95
87
+8
H16/10
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#8
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#14
L
80-89
80
89
-9
A22/10
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
96-100
96
100
-4
A24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H28/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#13
W
103-101
103
101
+2
A30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
22-29
26-20
18-15
28-20
21-31
24-20
19-13
14-24
13-27
19-19
17-18
18-22
21-21
16-32
27-25
26-17
27-18
16-23
26-29
19-22
25-17
20-21
19-20
17-29
19-28
24-11
20-21
24-31
26-21
21-19
25-29
23-25
13-17
22-19
15-20
24-24
23-30
23-20
33-27
174.8Avg total
85.7Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)90.091.8181.8-1.844%
Season at home (4)86.089.8175.8-3.825%
Season away (5)93.293.4186.6-0.260%
Last 10 (10)85.789.1174.8-3.450%
Last 5 (5)87.090.2177.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)82.890.1172.9-7.425%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.984.4165.3-3.643%
vs Weaker (8)89.181.4170.5+7.875%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maxima Roma
#8
W
98-89
98
89
+9
H04/10
Lega A
Bayern
#18
W
94-87
94
87
+7
A08/10
Euroleague
Venezia
#5
W
93-86
93
86
+7
A11/10
Lega A
Paris
#16
W
96-94
96
94
+2
A14/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#20
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H16/10
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
W
108-83
108
83
+25
H18/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A21/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
A25/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
74-91
74
91
-17
H28/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#11
L
101-103
101
103
-2
H30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
12-26
28-26
33-21
35-21
17-22
23-25
19-19
20-29
25-22
24-21
24-14
26-26
20-12
18-27
32-29
24-12
22-22
22-19
18-25
32-17
18-19
23-20
35-27
25-23
23-13
14-28
19-26
20-22
17-30
22-15
22-14
22-14
13-23
18-28
21-26
24-24
30-23
20-23
27-33
182.4Avg total
92.9Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.889.1175.9-2.344%
Season at home (4)89.291.5180.8-2.250%
Season away (5)84.887.2172.0-2.440%
Last 10 (10)92.989.5182.4+3.470%
Last 5 (5)92.492.2184.6+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.888.2168.0-8.525%
vs Similar ◀ (4)89.591.0180.5-1.550%
vs Weaker (22)91.483.9175.2+7.573%
This opponent (Besiktas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
BesiktasVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BesiktasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trabzonspor
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H05/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#20
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A09/10
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#2
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A14/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#18
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H16/10
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#14
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A22/10
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H28/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#13
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A30/10
Euroleague
89.7Avg total
42.7Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.643.085.6-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.141.384.4+1.753%-
Last 30 away (15)42.244.686.8-2.440%-
Last 10 (10)42.747.089.7-4.320%-
Last 5 (5)42.648.891.4-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.246.687.9-5.412%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.642.183.7-0.457%-
vs Weaker (8)45.840.986.6+4.962%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maxima Roma
#8
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H04/10
Lega A
Bayern
#18
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A08/10
Euroleague
Venezia
#5
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A11/10
Lega A
Paris
#16
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A14/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#20
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H16/10
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H18/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A21/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A25/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H28/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#11
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H30/10
Euroleague
86.6Avg total
45.0Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.341.586.8+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.742.190.7+6.667%-
Last 30 away (15)42.040.982.9+1.160%-
Last 10 (10)45.041.686.6+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.841.686.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.540.583.0+2.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)44.841.286.0+3.575%-
vs Weaker (22)46.041.787.6+4.368%-
This opponent (Besiktas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Besiktastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Besiktas: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.4
53.4%
55.0%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.0
36.0%
35.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws15.912.8
80.5%
77.3%12.8
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 92.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.722.1
55.7%
55.0%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.8
34.6%
35.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws23.518.8
80.0%
77.3%18.8
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Besiktas
WLLLWWLLWW
Virtus Bologna
LLWLWWWWWW
#11
League position
#13
-4.2
Net rating
+4.2
100.2
Offensive rating
101.4
104.4
Defensive rating
97.3
53.6%
Effective FG%
54.1%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
14.2%
Turnover %
13.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.35
36.0%
3-point %
34.6%
61.2%
Assist %
59.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.2 · 101.4Defence104.4 · 97.3Shooting53.6% · 54.1%3-point %36.0% · 34.6%Ball care14.2% · 13.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Besiktas   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Besiktas wins
1
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
30/10/26Virtus Bologna v Besiktas101-103
23/01/19Virtus Bologna v Besiktas70-71
07/11/18Besiktas v Virtus Bologna90-94
Besiktaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26AVirtus Bologna103-101
28/10/26HOlympiacos73-81
24/10/26ABahcesehir Kol.96-100
22/10/26AAnadolu Efes80-89
18/10/26HGalatasaray83-80
16/10/26HBayern95-87
14/10/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv82-100
11/10/26ATurk Telekom63-88
09/10/26ABaskonia92-84
05/10/26HTrabzonspor90-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HBesiktas101-103
28/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas74-91
25/10/26AOlimpia Milano98-94 OT
21/10/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv81-90
18/10/26HScafati108-83
16/10/26HBaskonia86-78
14/10/26AParis96-94
11/10/26AVenezia93-86
08/10/26ABayern94-87
04/10/26HMaxima Roma98-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Besiktas
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW44%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%25%60%
Points / game90.086.093.2
Allowed / game91.889.893.4
Point differential-1.8-3.8-0.2
Avg total181.8175.8186.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL44%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%50%40%
Points / game86.889.284.8
Allowed / game89.191.587.2
Point differential-2.3-2.2-2.4
Avg total175.9180.8172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos97278%84.675.0+9.6
2 Olympiacos97278%90.683.8+6.8
3 Crvena zvezda96367%85.677.0+8.6
4 Real Madrid96367%96.288.0+8.2
5 Valencia96367%97.190.9+6.2
6 Hapoel Tel-Aviv96367%92.387.3+5.0
7 Fenerbahce96367%79.976.6+3.3
8 Dubai96367%87.485.1+2.3
9 Barcelona96367%90.888.6+2.2
10 Zalgiris Kaunas95456%85.984.0+1.9
11 Besiktas94544%90.091.8-1.8
12 Partizan94544%78.480.2-1.8
13 Virtus Bologna94544%86.889.1-2.3
14 Anadolu Efes94544%83.686.2-2.7
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne94544%87.692.3-4.8
16 Paris93633%88.392.9-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv92722%86.794.7-8.0
18 Bayern92722%85.494.4-9.0
19 Olimpia Milano91811%82.090.2-8.2
20 Baskonia91811%83.194.1-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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