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Bigua vs Welcome Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 23 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 91-87
18-22 32-23 13-25 28-17
Position#5
Record15-12
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game87.3
Bigua 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#12
Record4-23
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game95.9
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Arena Bigua
Other2025-26
Meetings · Bigua v Welcome
23 Mar 2026
BIGU91
WELC87
18 Feb 2026
BIGU81
WELC86
22 Mar 2025
BIGU124
WELC90
28 Oct 2024
BIGU99
WELC69
12 Nov 2018
BIGU69
WELC65
07 Nov 2017
BIGU68
WELC70
19 Dec 2016
BIGU85
WELC55
17 Jan 2016
BIGU83
WELC104
31 Oct 2015
BIGU105
WELC79
12 Nov 2012
BIGU89
WELC83
09 Jan 2012
BIGU73
WELC82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bigua winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Welcome winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Bigua
6.1out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 88.8
91.2▲ 2.5
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 87.1
80.4▼ 6.7
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 56%
59%▲ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 19.2
23.0▲ 3.8
🔥 Form · Welcome
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 81.2
81.8▲ 0.6
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 95.6
99.2▲ 3.6
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 56%
62%▲ 5%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 19.6
20.8▲ 1.2
BiguaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malvin
#4
W
102-96
102
96
+6
H26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A29/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
118-70
118
70
+48
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
76-98
76
98
-22
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
L
81-86 OT
81
86
-5
H18/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
86-74
86
74
+12
A07/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A11/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
111-76
111
76
+35
H13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
94-97
94
97
-3
H17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H21/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-32
21-27
32-14
24-23
28-19
15-26
21-25
15-16
30-12
25-21
30-21
33-16
19-31
22-18
15-19
20-30
15-19
12-19
22-18
22-15
24-8
21-22
25-20
16-24
29-19
14-15
16-15
25-30
28-17
31-26
21-24
31-9
32-24
23-24
14-23
25-26
22-17
14-19
17-22
28-18
175.0Avg total
91.2Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)88.987.3176.1+1.656%
Season at home (14)92.386.4178.6+5.964%
Season away (13)85.288.2173.5-3.046%
Last 10 (10)91.283.8175.0+7.460%
Last 5 (5)91.280.4171.6+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.096.3176.3-16.30%
vs Similar (14)87.086.6173.6+0.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)96.883.6180.3+13.278%
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelcomeUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
95-77
95
77
+18
H26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
60-75
60
75
-15
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
77-91
77
91
-14
H09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
86-81 OT
86
81
+5
A18/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
H07/03
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
91-104
91
104
-13
A10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
79-111
79
111
-32
A13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
83-103
83
103
-20
H20/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
25-21
26-17
29-25
16-26
24-15
24-17
22-16
15-12
13-21
13-20
19-22
23-28
20-23
13-23
21-17
19-15
19-12
18-22
15-22
8-24
22-21
20-25
24-16
16-31
24-30
29-21
22-22
16-31
15-22
29-33
19-25
21-24
24-17
20-25
17-26
27-14
18-28
18-28
20-33
170.7Avg total
81.3Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)80.995.9176.9-15.015%
Season at home (13)81.891.7173.5-9.923%
Season away (14)80.199.9180.0-19.77%
Last 10 (10)81.389.4170.7-8.130%
Last 5 (5)81.899.2181.0-17.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)81.897.1178.9-15.319%
vs Similar (4)85.589.2174.8-3.825%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bigua) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -1.6-1.6
BiguaWelcome
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BiguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malvin
#4
L
46-59
46
59
-13
H26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A29/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H18/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A07/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A11/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H21/03
Liga Uruguaya
86.5Avg total
45.0Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.344.889.1-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.643.388.9+2.347%-
Last 30 away (15)42.946.389.3-3.433%-
Last 10 (10)45.041.586.5+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)47.638.285.8+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.051.993.9-9.90%-
vs Similar (14)43.944.188.0-0.336%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)46.740.387.0+6.378%-
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelcomeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A18/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H07/03
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
40-61
40
61
-21
A10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H20/03
Liga Uruguaya
80.9Avg total
38.0Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.949.190.0-8.227%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.547.286.6-7.723%-
Last 30 away (17)41.950.692.5-8.629%-
Last 10 (10)38.042.980.9-4.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.248.486.6-10.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)40.149.589.6-9.423%-
vs Similar (4)45.846.592.2-0.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bigua) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Biguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bigua: 91.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.121.0
51.1%
53.3%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.011.8
39.3%
33.3%35.4
🏀 Free throws17.413.8
79.3%
70.9%13.8
They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Welcometheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Welcome: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.421.6
59.3%
53.3%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.5
29.1%
33.3%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.211.4
66.3%
70.9%11.4
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bigua
WLWWWLLWLW
Welcome
LLLLLWLLWW
#5
League position
#12
+9.1
Net rating
-3.5
102.4
Offensive rating
90.4
93.3
Defensive rating
93.9
54.4%
Effective FG%
52.8%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
12.0%
Turnover %
16.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.28
39.3%
3-point %
29.1%
64.6%
Assist %
69.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 90.4Defence93.3 · 93.9Shooting54.4% · 52.8%3-point %39.3% · 29.1%Ball care12.0% · 16.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Bigua   ■ Welcome
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Bigua wins
2
Welcome wins
DateGameScore
07/03/26Welcome v Bigua74-86
18/02/26Bigua v Welcome81-86 OT
05/12/25Welcome v Bigua86-98
23/03/25Bigua v Welcome124-90
21/01/25Welcome v Bigua82-87
28/10/24Bigua v Welcome99-69
24/01/19Welcome v Bigua76-82
12/11/18Bigua v Welcome69-65
23/01/18Welcome v Bigua80-88
07/11/17Bigua v Welcome68-70
Bigualast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26HUnion Atletica81-76
17/03/26HGoes94-97
13/03/26HCordon111-76
11/03/26AUrunday84-79
07/03/26AWelcome86-74
18/02/26HWelcome81-86 OT
09/02/26APenarol76-98
03/02/26HCordon118-70
29/01/26AUnion Atletica79-86
26/01/26HMalvin102-96
Welcomelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/26HGoes83-103
17/03/26ACordon82-92
13/03/26AUrunday79-111
10/03/26AUnion Atletica91-104
07/03/26HBigua74-86
18/02/26ABigua86-81 OT
09/02/26HDefensor77-91
03/02/26AGoes60-75
30/01/26HAguada86-74
26/01/26HHebraica y Macabi95-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bigua
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW56%
HomeWLWLW64%
AwayLLLWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %56%64%46%
Points / game88.992.385.2
Allowed / game87.386.488.2
Point differential+1.6+5.9-3.0
Avg total176.1178.6173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%29%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Welcome
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL15%
HomeWWLLL23%
AwayLWLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %15%23%7%
Points / game80.981.880.1
Allowed / game95.991.799.9
Point differential-15.0-9.9-19.7
Avg total176.9173.5180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%23%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol2521484%87.973.8+14.1
2 Aguada2518772%92.185.7+6.4
3 Nacional2315865%93.183.0+10.2
4 Malvin2516964%81.681.4+0.3
5 Hebraica y Macabi26151158%84.084.0+0.0
6 Bigua27151256%88.987.3+1.6
7 Union Atletica27131448%83.183.1+0.0
8 Urunday26121446%89.385.3+4.0
9 Defensor26121446%85.985.8+0.1
10 Goes2691735%83.789.2-5.5
11 Cordon2752219%81.194.3-13.2
12 Welcome2742315%80.995.9-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bigua1832132891
Welcome2223251787
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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