PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Welcome vs Bigua Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 86-98
17-22 27-25 31-27 11-24
Position#12
Record0-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game100.0
vs
Bigua 🏆
Uruguay
Position#5
Record5-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game86.3
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Gimnasio Óscar Magurno
Other2025-26
Meetings · Welcome v Bigua
07 Mar 2026
WELC74
BIGU86
04 Dec 2025
WELC86
BIGU98
21 Jan 2025
WELC82
BIGU87
24 Jan 2019
WELC76
BIGU82
23 Jan 2018
WELC80
BIGU88
11 Dec 2015
WELC83
BIGU71
22 Sep 2012
WELC69
BIGU75
16 Nov 2011
WELC79
BIGU83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Welcome winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bigua winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WelcomeUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWelcome
Date
Competition
Urupan
#10
W
88-87
88
87
+1
84avg 73
A06/04
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
73-113
73
113
-40
60avg 73
A09/10
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
106-117
106
117
-11
92avg 73
H16/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
94-95
94
95
-1
92avg 73
A20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
68-84
68
84
-16
60avg 73
H23/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
L
81-98
81
98
-17
78avg 73
A29/10
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
80-102
80
102
-22
68avg 73
H03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
72-96
72
96
-24
58avg 73
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
82-112
82
112
-30
71avg 73
A10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
73-83
73
83
-10
55avg 73
H15/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
23-17
22-24
23-22
22-27
27-29
13-31
11-26
23-32
24-23
27-34
32-28
23-28
34-26
16-21
21-20
24-29
17-12
17-27
10-16
17-22
19-31
20-20
25-25
23-37
18-19
15-28
24-18
22-23
15-24
16-25
19-24
17-39
26-27
25-22
14-24
15-18
14-21
15-29
29-15
180.4Avg total
81.7Scored
98.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.0100.0181.0-19.00%
Season at home (4)81.896.5178.2-14.80%
Season away (5)80.4102.8183.2-22.40%
Last 10 (10)81.798.7180.4-17.010%
Last 5 (5)77.698.2175.8-20.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)82.396.8179.1-14.526%
vs Similar (3)86.081.7167.7+4.367%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bigua) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BiguaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBigua
Date
Competition
Aguada
#3
L
87-90
87
90
-3
83avg 74
H10/10
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
89-82
89
82
+7
81avg 74
A14/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
91-90
91
90
+1
85avg 74
H17/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
84-74
84
74
+10
74avg 74
H22/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
79-88
79
88
-9
62avg 74
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
93-110
93
110
-17
84avg 74
H03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
89-90
89
90
-1
no box
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
84-78
84
78
+6
74avg 74
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
84-75
84
75
+9
76avg 74
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
69-86
69
86
-17
54avg 74
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
18-29
25-22
21-22
16-18
26-22
24-20
23-22
27-26
30-16
16-25
18-23
17-17
20-26
24-15
23-16
17-21
21-26
15-20
26-21
23-34
24-27
24-26
22-23
24-19
19-26
23-26
23-19
25-15
17-17
17-26
25-20
26-14
16-28
31-25
11-8
15-26
25-14
17-27
12-19
171.2Avg total
84.9Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.986.3171.2-1.450%
Season at home (6)84.788.0172.7-3.350%
Season away (4)85.283.8169.0+1.550%
Last 10 (10)84.986.3171.2-1.450%
Last 5 (5)83.887.8171.6-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.993.3175.2-11.40%
vs Similar (8)83.083.2166.2-0.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)90.582.1172.6+8.569%
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -7.5-7.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -7.5-7.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
WelcomeBigua
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WelcomeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urupan
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A06/04
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A09/10
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H16/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H23/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A29/10
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
43-66
43
66
-23
A10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H15/11
Liga Uruguaya
93.1Avg total
42.3Scored
50.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.948.689.5-7.723%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.345.887.1-4.529%-
Last 30 away (16)40.551.191.6-10.619%-
Last 10 (10)42.350.893.1-8.520%-
Last 5 (5)37.252.289.4-15.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)40.349.589.9-9.219%-
vs Similar (3)45.740.386.0+5.367%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bigua) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BiguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H10/10
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A14/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H17/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H22/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
47-61
47
61
-14
H03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
86.7Avg total
42.9Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.543.887.3-0.330%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.144.889.8+0.329%-
Last 30 away (13)41.442.583.9-1.231%-
Last 10 (10)42.943.886.7-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)42.844.086.8-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)43.247.891.0-4.611%-
vs Similar (8)41.542.584.0-1.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.841.886.7+3.046%-
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Welcometheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Welcome: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.5
51.9%
53.3%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.1
32.6%
33.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.814.2
71.7%
70.9%14.2
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Biguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bigua: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.823.5
52.5%
53.3%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.3
31.0%
33.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.812.0
67.4%
70.9%12.0
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Welcome
LLLLLLLLLW
Bigua
LWWLLLWWWL
#12
League position
#5
-21.8
Net rating
-3.4
100.3
Offensive rating
106.5
122.1
Defensive rating
109.9
50.6%
Effective FG%
50.2%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
15.4%
Turnover %
14.9%
17.7%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.6%
3-point %
31.0%
66.8%
Assist %
54.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 106.5Defence122.1 · 109.9Shooting50.6% · 50.2%3-point %32.6% · 31.0%Ball care15.4% · 14.9%Off. rebounds17.7% · 29.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Welcome   ■ Bigua
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Welcome wins
7
Bigua wins
DateGameScore
23/03/25Bigua v Welcome124-90
21/01/25Welcome v Bigua82-87
28/10/24Bigua v Welcome99-69
24/01/19Welcome v Bigua76-82
12/11/18Bigua v Welcome69-65
23/01/18Welcome v Bigua80-88
07/11/17Bigua v Welcome68-70
19/12/16Bigua v Welcome85-55
18/01/16Bigua v Welcome83-104
12/12/15Welcome v Bigua83-71
Welcomelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HGoes73-83
10/11/25AAguada82-112
07/11/25AHebraica y Macabi72-96
03/11/25HPenarol80-102
29/10/25ACordon81-98
23/10/25HUnion Atletica68-84
20/10/25AMalvin94-95
16/10/25HNacional106-117
09/10/25AUrunday73-113
06/04/25AUrupan88-87
Bigualast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/25HPenarol69-86
14/11/25ACordon84-75
11/11/25HUnion Atletica84-78
07/11/25AMalvin89-90
03/11/25HNacional93-110
28/10/25AUrunday79-88
22/10/25HHebraica y Macabi84-74
17/10/25HDefensor91-90
14/10/25AGoes89-82
10/10/25HAguada87-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Welcome
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game81.081.880.4
Allowed / game100.096.5102.8
Point differential-19.0-14.8-22.4
Avg total181.0178.2183.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bigua
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game84.984.785.2
Allowed / game86.388.083.8
Point differential-1.4-3.3+1.5
Avg total171.2172.7169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol119282%86.771.5+15.2
2 Nacional119282%92.582.3+10.3
3 Hebraica y Macabi107370%77.774.9+2.8
4 Malvin107370%81.780.6+1.1
5 Aguada106460%95.288.9+6.3
6 Defensor95456%85.385.9-0.6
7 Bigua105550%84.986.3-1.4
8 Urunday115645%90.286.5+3.6
9 Union Atletica103730%79.884.4-4.6
10 Goes103730%82.387.7-5.4
11 Cordon112918%84.196.1-12.0
12 Welcome9090%81.0100.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Welcome1727311186
Bigua2225272498
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.