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Bigua vs Welcome Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 01:10
Final 124-90
34-17 35-25 23-27 32-21
Position#6
Record11-15
FormLWWLL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game85.5
Bigua 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#12
Record8-18
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game92.5
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Arena Bigua
Other2024-25
Meetings · Bigua v Welcome
23 Mar 2026
BIGU91
WELC87
18 Feb 2026
BIGU81
WELC86
22 Mar 2025
BIGU124
WELC90
28 Oct 2024
BIGU99
WELC69
12 Nov 2018
BIGU69
WELC65
07 Nov 2017
BIGU68
WELC70
19 Dec 2016
BIGU85
WELC55
17 Jan 2016
BIGU83
WELC104
31 Oct 2015
BIGU105
WELC79
12 Nov 2012
BIGU89
WELC83
09 Jan 2012
BIGU73
WELC82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bigua winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Welcome winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BiguaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBigua
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#9
L
71-75
71
75
-4
63avg 73
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Minas
#3
L
77-81
77
81
-4
70avg 73
A10/02
Champions League Americas
Penarol
#3
L
72-83
72
83
-11
55avg 73
H14/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
85-92
85
92
-7
74avg 73
H27/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
95-87
95
87
+8
94avg 73
A02/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
96-102 OT
96
102
-6
82avg 73
H05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
91-80
91
80
+11
84avg 73
H08/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
82-77
82
77
+5
78avg 73
H12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
77-78
77
78
-1
64avg 73
A15/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
86-88
86
88
-2
82avg 73
H18/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
10-22
20-15
23-24
19-22
20-19
21-20
17-20
24-27
16-19
16-29
16-8
18-20
23-25
19-19
25-28
19-29
33-29
27-18
16-11
19-24
26-20
26-27
17-17
20-19
17-24
30-18
24-19
24-18
17-24
22-14
19-21
15-23
26-16
22-26
14-13
23-28
14-16
30-27
19-17
167.5Avg total
83.2Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)84.785.5170.2-0.842%
Season at home (14)87.285.9173.1+1.443%
Season away (12)81.885.1166.8-3.342%
Last 10 (10)83.284.3167.5-1.130%
Last 5 (5)86.485.0171.4+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.186.7162.8-10.60%
vs Similar (6)74.880.0154.8-5.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)87.984.7172.7+3.260%
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelcomeUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWelcome
Date
Competition
Nacional
#1
L
69-117
69
117
-48
53avg 68
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
71-66
71
66
+5
63avg 68
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
77-112
77
112
-35
70avg 68
A08/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
59-88
59
88
-29
49avg 68
A12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
99-88
99
88
+11
94avg 68
H27/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
72-101
72
101
-29
58avg 68
A04/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
81-87
81
87
-6
66avg 68
A09/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
97-90
97
90
+7
89avg 68
H12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
70avg 68
H15/03
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
106-81
106
81
+25
107avg 68
A18/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
23-29
13-30
12-30
19-15
20-19
11-15
21-17
17-29
23-23
22-30
15-30
9-22
13-23
13-21
24-22
21-21
20-32
26-18
32-17
21-25
19-34
17-28
15-14
18-25
26-20
20-21
17-21
23-24
27-20
19-20
28-26
27-21
14-22
20-19
24-15
30-15
32-19
23-28
21-19
172.3Avg total
81.6Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.592.5172.0-13.031%
Season at home (13)80.591.2171.7-10.838%
Season away (13)78.593.8172.3-15.223%
Last 10 (10)81.690.7172.3-9.150%
Last 5 (5)88.287.2175.4+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)78.993.4172.3-14.526%
vs Similar (3)84.776.7161.3+8.067%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bigua) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.2-0.2
BiguaWelcome
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BiguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#9
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Minas
#3
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A10/02
Champions League Americas
Penarol
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H14/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H27/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A02/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H08/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A15/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H18/03
Liga Uruguaya
83.9Avg total
40.1Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.044.284.2-4.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.645.585.1-5.920%-
Last 30 away (15)40.542.983.4-2.540%-
Last 10 (10)40.143.883.9-3.720%-
Last 5 (5)40.242.482.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.045.083.0-7.011%-
vs Similar (6)36.742.779.3-6.017%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.644.386.9-1.747%-
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelcomeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#1
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A08/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
22-45
22
45
-23
A12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H27/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A04/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A09/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H15/03
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
62-34
62
34
+28
A18/03
Liga Uruguaya
88.9Avg total
42.3Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.446.985.3-8.527%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.344.884.1-5.540%-
Last 30 away (15)37.549.086.5-11.513%-
Last 10 (10)42.346.688.9-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)47.445.092.4+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)37.548.385.8-10.819%-
vs Similar (3)46.734.381.0+12.3100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bigua) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Biguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bigua: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.7
50.6%
51.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.59.9
32.5%
33.0%29.7
🏀 Free throws15.711.3
72.0%
71.7%11.3
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Welcometheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Welcome: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.6
51.5%
51.5%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.2
32.9%
33.0%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.514.2
76.8%
71.7%14.2
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bigua
LLWWLWLLLL
Welcome
WWWLLWLLWL
#6
League position
#12
-0.9
Net rating
-12.4
105.0
Offensive rating
104.8
105.8
Defensive rating
117.2
49.8%
Effective FG%
50.7%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
13.6%
Turnover %
15.9%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
22.6%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.5%
3-point %
32.9%
61.4%
Assist %
53.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 104.8Defence105.8 · 117.2Shooting49.8% · 50.7%3-point %32.5% · 32.9%Ball care13.6% · 15.9%Off. rebounds25.5% · 22.6%Free throws0.22 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Bigua   ■ Welcome
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Bigua wins
3
Welcome wins
DateGameScore
21/01/25Welcome v Bigua82-87
28/10/24Bigua v Welcome99-69
24/01/19Welcome v Bigua76-82
12/11/18Bigua v Welcome69-65
23/01/18Welcome v Bigua80-88
07/11/17Bigua v Welcome68-70
19/12/16Bigua v Welcome85-55
18/01/16Bigua v Welcome83-104
12/12/15Welcome v Bigua83-71
01/11/15Bigua v Welcome105-79
Bigualast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/25HUrupan86-88
15/03/25AUrunday77-78
12/03/25HHebraica y Macabi82-77
08/03/25HTrouville91-80
05/03/25HNacional96-102 OT
02/03/25AHebraica y Macabi95-87
27/02/25HUrunday85-92
14/02/25HPenarol72-83
10/02/25AMinas77-81
09/02/25AQuimsa71-75
Welcomelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/25ATrouville106-81
15/03/25HUrupan85-77
12/03/25HUrunday97-90
09/03/25AHebraica y Macabi81-87
04/03/25AAguada72-101
27/02/25HUrupan99-88
12/02/25APenarol59-88
08/02/25ADefensor77-112
04/02/25HTrouville71-66
30/01/25HNacional69-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bigua
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL42%
HomeLLWWL43%
AwayWWLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %42%43%42%
Points / game84.787.281.8
Allowed / game85.585.985.1
Point differential-0.8+1.4-3.3
Avg total170.2173.1166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)60% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Welcome
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW31%
HomeLWWWW38%
AwayLLLLW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %31%38%23%
Points / game79.580.578.5
Allowed / game92.591.293.8
Point differential-13.0-10.8-15.2
Avg total172.0171.7172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%8%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional2522388%93.379.0+14.3
2 Aguada2520580%89.780.2+9.5
3 Penarol2518772%83.774.9+8.8
4 Malvin2516964%80.476.2+4.2
5 Defensor25121348%85.882.0+3.8
6 Cordon25111444%82.885.2-2.5
7 Bigua26111542%84.785.5-0.8
8 Hebraica y Macabi26111542%84.887.1-2.3
9 Urunday27111641%77.982.2-4.3
10 Urupan26101638%81.486.9-5.5
11 Welcome2681831%79.592.5-13.0
12 Trouville2742315%72.382.6-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bigua34352332124
Welcome1725272190
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