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Welcome vs Bigua Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 82-87
17-22 26-26 19-19 20-20
Position#12
Record2-11
FormLLLWW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game94.7
vs
Bigua 🏆
Uruguay
Position#6
Record6-7
FormLWLLW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game85.2
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Gimnasio Óscar Magurno
Other2024-25
Meetings · Welcome v Bigua
07 Mar 2026
WELC74
BIGU86
04 Dec 2025
WELC86
BIGU98
21 Jan 2025
WELC82
BIGU87
24 Jan 2019
WELC76
BIGU82
23 Jan 2018
WELC80
BIGU88
11 Dec 2015
WELC83
BIGU71
22 Sep 2012
WELC69
BIGU75
16 Nov 2011
WELC79
BIGU83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Welcome winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bigua winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WelcomeUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWelcome
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
82-105
82
105
-23
69avg 65
H05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
60-86
60
86
-26
41avg 65
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
66-74
66
74
-8
50avg 65
H16/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
L
77-83
77
83
-6
69avg 65
A02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
111-120 OT
111
120
-9
107avg 65
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
66-91
66
91
-25
56avg 65
H11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
86-92
86
92
-6
74avg 65
A20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
74-104
74
104
-30
60avg 65
H06/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
84-81
84
81
+3
74avg 65
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
97-86 OT
97
86
+11
86avg 65
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
5-30
28-23
27-25
11-23
10-28
12-22
27-13
18-23
24-13
13-16
11-22
18-16
21-19
19-26
19-22
24-22
15-26
27-18
28-28
21-17
18-28
12-21
15-25
18-21
14-21
30-27
24-23
23-26
22-17
22-29
7-32
19-23
20-12
21-21
24-25
8-26
23-23
26-19
24-13
172.5Avg total
80.3Scored
92.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.894.7172.5-16.915%
Season at home (7)77.694.4172.0-16.914%
Season away (6)78.095.0173.0-17.017%
Last 10 (10)80.392.2172.5-11.920%
Last 5 (5)81.490.8172.2-9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)79.692.6172.2-13.016%
vs Similar (1)77.083.0160.0-6.00%
vs Weaker (4)91.084.5175.5+6.5100%
This opponent (Bigua) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BiguaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBigua
Date
Competition
Penarol
#3
L
73-76
73
76
-3
61avg 73
A06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Quimsa
#9
W
72-70
72
70
+2
68avg 73
A13/12
Champions League Americas
Minas
#3
L
60-73
60
73
-13
16avg 73
H14/12
Champions League Americas
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
113-85
113
85
+28
110avg 73
H18/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
82-97
82
97
-15
78avg 73
A03/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
79-85
79
85
-6
71avg 73
A07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
82-75
82
75
+7
72avg 73
A09/01
Liga Uruguaya
Minas
#3
L
77-85
77
85
-8
72avg 73
H12/01
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#9
L
66-79
66
79
-13
57avg 73
H14/01
Champions League Americas
Trouville
#13
W
92-87
92
87
+5
88avg 73
H18/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
17-19
16-22
16-12
23-18
13-11
13-14
23-27
18-17
9-20
16-22
17-14
23-16
24-23
35-22
31-24
18-27
20-25
13-22
31-23
21-24
22-12
16-29
20-20
16-16
20-23
24-24
22-12
11-25
21-23
16-17
29-20
12-20
24-23
17-9
13-27
26-27
23-16
21-15
22-29
160.8Avg total
79.6Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)84.585.2169.6-0.746%
Season at home (6)91.584.0175.5+7.567%
Season away (7)78.486.1164.6-7.729%
Last 10 (10)79.681.2160.8-1.640%
Last 5 (5)79.282.2161.4-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.883.8155.6-12.00%
vs Similar (9)78.383.9162.2-5.633%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)83.177.9161.0+5.262%
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
WelcomeBigua
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WelcomeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
27-57
27
57
-30
H05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
21-51
21
51
-30
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H16/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H06/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
79.5Avg total
35.4Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.745.383.1-7.631%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.743.280.9-5.533%-
Last 30 away (14)37.847.685.4-9.929%-
Last 10 (10)35.444.179.5-8.740%-
Last 5 (5)37.242.880.0-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)36.846.383.0-9.524%-
vs Similar (1)39.035.074.0+4.0100%-
vs Weaker (3)45.341.086.3+4.367%-
This opponent (Bigua) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BiguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#3
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Quimsa
#9
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A13/12
Champions League Americas
Minas
#3
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H14/12
Champions League Americas
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H18/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A03/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A09/01
Liga Uruguaya
Minas
#3
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H12/01
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H14/01
Champions League Americas
Trouville
#13
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H18/01
Liga Uruguaya
79.3Avg total
38.5Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.742.483.1-1.745%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.541.982.5-1.453%-
Last 30 away (14)40.942.983.8-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)38.540.879.3-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.881.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.644.679.2-10.00%-
vs Similar (9)39.444.283.7-4.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.540.684.1+2.967%-
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Welcometheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Welcome: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.221.4
50.7%
51.5%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.2
30.4%
33.0%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.512.5
71.4%
71.7%12.5
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Biguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bigua: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.417.4
50.6%
51.5%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.810.6
33.3%
33.0%31.8
🏀 Free throws17.112.0
70.2%
71.7%12.0
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Welcome
WWLLLLLLLL
Bigua
WLLWLLWLWL
#12
League position
#6
-14.2
Net rating
-2.1
100.3
Offensive rating
103.0
114.5
Defensive rating
105.1
48.7%
Effective FG%
50.3%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
19.1%
Turnover %
17.3%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
30.4%
3-point %
33.3%
52.0%
Assist %
64.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 103.0Defence114.5 · 105.1Shooting48.7% · 50.3%3-point %30.4% · 33.3%Ball care19.1% · 17.3%Off. rebounds29.2% · 27.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Welcome   ■ Bigua
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Welcome wins
7
Bigua wins
DateGameScore
28/10/24Bigua v Welcome99-69
24/01/19Welcome v Bigua76-82
12/11/18Bigua v Welcome69-65
23/01/18Welcome v Bigua80-88
07/11/17Bigua v Welcome68-70
19/12/16Bigua v Welcome85-55
18/01/16Bigua v Welcome83-104
12/12/15Welcome v Bigua83-71
01/11/15Bigua v Welcome105-79
12/11/12Bigua v Welcome89-83
Welcomelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/25AUrunday97-86 OT
10/01/25HCordon84-81
06/01/25HAguada74-104
20/12/24AUrupan86-92
11/12/24HPenarol66-91
05/12/24HDefensor111-120 OT
02/12/24ATrouville77-83
16/11/24HUrunday66-74
10/11/24HMalvin60-86
05/11/24HHebraica y Macabi82-105
Bigualast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25HTrouville92-87
14/01/25HQuimsa66-79
12/01/25HMinas77-85
09/01/25AMalvin82-75
07/01/25AUrunday79-85
03/01/25ANacional82-97
18/12/24HHebraica y Macabi113-85
14/12/24HMinas60-73
13/12/24AQuimsa72-70
06/12/24APenarol73-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Welcome
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW15%
HomeLLLLW14%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %15%14%17%
Points / game77.877.678.0
Allowed / game94.794.495.0
Point differential-16.9-16.9-17.0
Avg total172.5172.0173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %15%14%17%
Bigua
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW46%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%67%29%
Points / game84.591.578.4
Allowed / game85.284.086.1
Point differential-0.7+7.5-7.7
Avg total169.6175.5164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional14140100%91.977.1+14.9
2 Aguada1411379%89.678.5+11.1
3 Malvin139469%79.176.5+2.5
4 Penarol149564%83.273.1+10.1
5 Defensor147750%86.681.1+5.5
6 Hebraica y Macabi147750%86.288.6-2.4
7 Bigua136746%84.585.2-0.7
8 Urunday136746%78.882.5-3.7
9 Cordon145936%82.985.9-3.0
10 Urupan1431121%79.787.1-7.4
11 Trouville1431121%72.683.9-11.3
12 Welcome1321115%77.894.7-16.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Welcome1726192082
Bigua2226192087
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