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Bilbao vs Barcelona Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 20 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record4-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game92.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.3/10
Around normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#6
Record5-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game97.3
Allowed / game94.4
SpainACBRound 13· Bilbao Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Bilbao v Barcelona
20 Dec 2026
BIL v BAR
upcoming
28 Dec 2025
BIL66
BAR71
30 May 2025
BIL68
BAR85
12 May 2024
BIL68
BAR72
09 Apr 2023
BIL82
BAR80
03 Oct 2021
BIL68
BAR84
06 Feb 2021
BIL73
BAR90
05 Nov 2017
BIL83
BAR104
16 Oct 2016
BIL92
BAR79
01 May 2016
BIL55
BAR77
04 Jan 2015
BIL73
BAR67
17 Nov 2013
BIL80
BAR72
26 May 2013
BIL90
BAR89
07 Oct 2012
BIL78
BAR77
04 Mar 2012
BIL65
BAR72
14 Jun 2011
BIL55
BAR64
02 Jan 2011
BIL63
BAR65
02 Jan 2010
BIL65
BAR87
28 Dec 2008
BIL59
BAR66
07 Feb 2008
BIL70
BAR69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Barcelona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Leyma Coruna
#13
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
90avg 80
A04/10
ACB
Igokea
#36
W
92-79
92
79
+13
90avg 80
A06/10
Champions League
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
96-87
96
87
+9
88avg 80
H11/10
ACB
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
97-86
97
86
+11
94avg 80
H14/10
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
84-119
84
119
-35
75avg 80
A18/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
88-76
88
76
+12
83avg 80
H25/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#5
L
100-103
100
103
-3
98avg 80
A28/10
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#14
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 80
A01/11
ACB
Basquet Girona
#9
L
87-92
87
92
-5
no box
A07/11
ACB
Alba Berlin
#5
W
83-75
83
75
+8
no box
H10/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
27-24
22-23
24-22
28-21
22-14
22-21
20-23
19-20
25-25
30-25
22-17
27-21
15-14
26-26
29-25
13-36
22-26
22-27
27-30
15-22
27-18
23-17
23-19
26-24
22-19
24-31
28-29
27-23
11-21
29-17
14-17
25-19
19-27
23-20
20-26
22-18
23-21
19-14
19-22
180.8Avg total
90.9Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)92.092.6184.6-0.657%
Season at home (3)97.085.0182.0+12.0100%
Season away (4)88.298.2186.5-10.025%
Last 10 (10)90.989.9180.8+1.060%
Last 5 (5)87.884.8172.6+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.392.9171.1-14.614%
vs Similar ◀ (9)89.283.7172.9+5.678%
vs Weaker (14)91.684.4176.1+7.271%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#18
W
90-87
90
87
+3
90avg 82
H13/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
100-105 OT
100
105
-5
92avg 82
H16/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#14
L
89-113
89
113
-24
86avg 82
A18/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
89-81
89
81
+8
83avg 82
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#5
W
99-81
99
81
+18
96avg 82
H24/10
ACB
Bayern
#17
W
88-84
88
84
+4
82avg 82
A27/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
98-94
98
94
+4
91avg 82
H30/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#10
W
92-89
92
89
+3
no box
A01/11
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#9
W
93-90
93
90
+3
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#7
W
99-91
99
91
+8
no box
H08/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
17-18
27-22
23-23
30-26
17-31
19-20
26-15
26-23
19-26
23-33
21-31
23-21
21-19
27-24
18-17
24-21
24-19
24-17
27-24
21-17
20-25
23-19
24-23
30-25
14-17
25-26
29-26
25-29
20-25
27-18
20-17
19-21
27-25
27-18
20-26
23-20
16-20
30-30
30-21
185.2Avg total
93.7Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)97.394.4191.7+2.971%
Season at home (4)101.589.8191.2+11.8100%
Season away (3)91.7100.7192.3-9.033%
Last 10 (10)93.791.5185.2+2.280%
Last 5 (5)94.089.6183.6+4.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)88.098.9186.9-10.943%
vs Similar ◀ (11)92.589.5182.1+3.055%
vs Weaker (12)95.786.8182.4+8.992%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.5+1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.5+1.5
BilbaoBarcelona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leyma Coruna
#13
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A04/10
ACB
Igokea
#36
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A06/10
Champions League
San Pablo Burgos
#15
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H11/10
ACB
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H14/10
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
35-62
35
62
-27
A18/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H25/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#5
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A28/10
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#14
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A01/11
ACB
Basquet Girona
#9
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A07/11
ACB
Alba Berlin
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H10/11
Champions League
86.8Avg total
43.3Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.142.384.4-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.640.383.9+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)40.744.385.0-3.727%-
Last 10 (10)43.343.586.8-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.442.485.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.146.481.6-11.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.641.083.6+1.656%-
vs Weaker (14)45.441.186.4+4.364%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#18
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H13/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H16/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#14
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A18/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#5
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H24/10
ACB
Bayern
#17
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A27/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H30/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#10
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A01/11
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#9
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A05/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H08/11
ACB
89.1Avg total
43.9Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.342.986.2+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.842.183.9-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)44.843.788.5+1.140%-
Last 10 (10)43.945.289.1-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)43.044.887.8-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.044.682.6-6.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)44.244.288.4+0.036%-
vs Weaker (12)45.640.886.4+4.867%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 91.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.5
52.6%
55.7%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.111.8
36.8%
36.2%35.4
🏀 Free throws26.619.3
72.6%
75.8%19.3
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.9
57.6%
55.7%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.9
39.2%
36.2%32.7
🏀 Free throws20.115.0
74.6%
75.8%15.0
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
WLWLWLWWWL
Barcelona
WWWWWWWLLW
#8
League position
#6
+0.5
Net rating
-0.3
99.9
Offensive rating
104.9
99.4
Defensive rating
105.3
53.8%
Effective FG%
58.1%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
58.0%
13.6%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.8%
3-point %
39.2%
66.3%
Assist %
50.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence99.9 · 104.9Defence99.4 · 105.3Shooting53.8% · 58.1%3-point %36.8% · 39.2%Ball care13.6% · 14.9%Free throws0.40 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Bilbao   ■ Barcelona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bilbao wins
9
Barcelona wins
DateGameScore
12/04/26Barcelona v Bilbao90-61
28/12/25Bilbao v Barcelona66-71
30/05/25Bilbao v Barcelona68-85
19/01/25Barcelona v Bilbao97-84
12/05/24Bilbao v Barcelona68-72
22/10/23Barcelona v Bilbao91-82
09/04/23Bilbao v Barcelona82-80
22/01/23Barcelona v Bilbao88-78
10/05/22Barcelona v Bilbao84-62
03/10/21Bilbao v Barcelona68-84
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HAlba Berlin83-75
07/11/26ABasquet Girona87-92
01/11/26AJoventut Badalona81-78
28/10/26AAlba Berlin100-103
25/10/26HMoraBanc Andorra88-76
18/10/26AReal Madrid84-119
14/10/26HSlavia Prague ERA NBK97-86
11/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos96-87
06/10/26AIgokea92-79
04/10/26ALeyma Coruna101-104 OT
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HBreogan99-91
05/11/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv93-90
01/11/26AUnicaja92-89
30/10/26HValencia98-94
27/10/26ABayern88-84
24/10/26HBasket Zaragoza99-81
22/10/26AOlimpia Milano89-81
18/10/26AJoventut Badalona89-113
16/10/26HOlympiacos100-105 OT
13/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv90-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%100%25%
Points / game92.097.088.2
Allowed / game92.685.098.2
Point differential-0.6+12.0-10.0
Avg total184.6182.0186.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %14%0%25%
Barcelona
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%100%33%
Points / game97.3101.591.7
Allowed / game94.489.8100.7
Point differential+2.9+11.8-9.0
Avg total191.7191.2192.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid770100%106.385.3+21.0
2 Valencia75271%99.188.0+11.1
3 Baskonia75271%95.084.3+10.7
4 Tenerife75271%86.779.0+7.7
5 Basket Zaragoza75271%92.687.7+4.9
6 Barcelona75271%97.394.4+2.9
7 Breogan74357%102.798.7+4.0
8 Bilbao74357%92.092.6-0.6
9 Basquet Girona74357%90.797.3-6.6
10 Unicaja73443%88.786.1+2.6
11 Murcia73443%90.193.3-3.1
12 Obradoiro CAB73443%90.396.6-6.3
13 Leyma Coruna73443%91.999.9-8.0
14 Joventut Badalona72529%89.389.9-0.6
15 San Pablo Burgos72529%88.789.3-0.6
16 MoraBanc Andorra71614%86.797.4-10.7
17 Forca Lleida71614%92.9105.6-12.7
18 Manresa71614%86.6102.3-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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