PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Breogan vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 100-99
21-23 24-24 26-22 29-30
Position#11
Record4-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game92.2
Breogan 🏆
Spain
vs
Bilbao
Spain
Position#7
Record5-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game83.6
SpainACBRound 11· Pazo dos Deportes
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Breogan v Bilbao
10 Dec 2026
BRE v BIL
upcoming
21 Dec 2025
BRE100
BIL99
25 Jan 2025
BRE76
BIL71
30 Mar 2024
BRE68
BIL80
22 Oct 2022
BRE86
BIL70
12 Mar 2022
BRE86
BIL94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#14
L
68-87
68
87
-19
45avg 75
A04/10
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
90-113
90
113
-23
75avg 75
H12/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
88-84
88
84
+4
82avg 75
A18/10
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
85-100
85
100
-15
71avg 75
A25/10
ACB
Granada
#18
W
95-74
95
74
+21
82avg 75
H01/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
L
81-92
81
92
-11
79avg 75
H08/11
ACB
Murcia
#4
W
96-83
96
83
+13
90avg 75
A16/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
105-78
105
78
+27
101avg 75
H22/11
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
L
80-103
80
103
-23
66avg 75
A06/12
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
96-108
96
108
-12
86avg 75
H13/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
15-22
16-19
22-23
27-19
20-35
27-30
16-29
16-19
27-24
23-24
22-17
18-28
23-16
26-28
18-28
38-14
13-22
20-17
24-21
11-23
26-26
27-28
17-15
25-15
23-23
22-19
26-26
30-18
27-20
20-15
28-25
14-30
16-30
23-24
27-19
24-33
27-26
20-22
25-27
180.6Avg total
88.4Scored
92.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)88.492.2180.6-3.840%
Season at home (5)93.493.0186.4+0.440%
Season away (5)83.491.4174.8-8.040%
Last 10 (10)88.492.2180.6-3.840%
Last 5 (5)91.692.8184.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)83.289.2172.3-6.044%
vs Similar ◀ (9)88.892.8181.6-4.033%
vs Weaker (3)83.781.7165.3+2.067%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#3
W
86-64
86
64
+22
86avg 78
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
106-75
106
75
+31
102avg 78
H09/11
ACB
Brno
#28
W
115-100
115
100
+15
120avg 78
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Real Madrid
#2
L
70-82
70
82
-12
64avg 78
A16/11
ACB
Kutaisi
#39
W
117-54
117
54
+63
125avg 78
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Baskonia
#3
L
91-110
91
110
-19
87avg 78
A23/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
79-72
79
72
+7
74avg 78
H07/12
ACB
Sporting CP
#24
W
94-79
94
79
+15
88avg 78
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Forca Lleida
#14
W
93-75
93
75
+18
92avg 78
H14/12
ACB
BC Prievidza
#22
W
83-46
83
46
+37
86avg 78
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
23-18
17-17
25-10
27-23
23-11
28-11
28-30
37-25
28-21
23-31
27-23
16-23
27-16
19-24
8-19
25-17
41-3
25-18
26-16
23-33
23-38
22-14
23-25
14-16
20-18
21-21
24-17
26-23
23-15
25-25
20-16
15-17
17-14
32-26
29-18
27-12
16-18
16-9
24-7
169.1Avg total
93.4Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.983.6166.5-0.750%
Season at home (5)90.875.6166.4+15.2100%
Season away (5)75.091.6166.6-16.60%
Last 10 (10)93.475.7169.1+17.780%
Last 5 (5)88.076.4164.4+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.494.8170.2-19.40%
vs Similar ◀ (10)85.686.5172.1-0.930%
vs Weaker (15)93.669.7163.3+23.987%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +6.9+6.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +5.3+5.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +6.9+6.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +5.3+5.3
BreoganBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#14
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A04/10
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H12/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A18/10
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A25/10
ACB
Granada
#18
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H01/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H08/11
ACB
Murcia
#4
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A16/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H22/11
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
L
30-60
30
60
-30
A06/12
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
51-59
51
59
-8
H13/12
ACB
90.1Avg total
43.5Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.642.984.5-1.330%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.241.281.4-1.027%-
Last 30 away (15)43.144.687.7-1.533%-
Last 10 (10)43.546.690.1-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)44.648.893.4-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)40.641.281.8-0.728%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.946.890.7-2.933%-
vs Weaker (3)41.341.382.7+0.033%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H09/11
ACB
Brno
#28
W
65-46
65
46
+19
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Real Madrid
#2
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A16/11
ACB
Kutaisi
#39
W
66-20
66
20
+46
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Baskonia
#3
L
46-71
46
71
-25
A23/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H07/12
ACB
Sporting CP
#24
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Forca Lleida
#14
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H14/12
ACB
BC Prievidza
#22
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
85.2Avg total
47.2Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.038.482.3+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.235.480.6+9.881%-
Last 30 away (14)42.641.784.3+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)47.238.085.2+9.280%-
Last 5 (5)40.840.881.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.849.886.6-13.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.641.783.3-0.140%-
vs Weaker (15)47.932.380.3+15.6100%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.1
51.2%
50.0%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.2
35.2%
42.2%30.6
🏀 Free throws24.318.6
76.5%
74.7%18.6
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 92.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.820.1
56.1%
50.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.511.7
39.7%
42.2%35.1
🏀 Free throws22.417.3
77.2%
74.7%17.3
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
LLWWLWLWLL
Bilbao
WWWWLWLWWW
#11
League position
#7
-4.8
Net rating
+23.2
112.5
Offensive rating
118.5
117.3
Defensive rating
95.3
51.9%
Effective FG%
57.7%
57.6%
Opp. effective FG%
45.0%
17.3%
Turnover %
17.2%
34.9%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.2%
3-point %
39.7%
58.0%
Assist %
70.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 118.5Defence117.3 · 95.3Shooting51.9% · 57.7%3-point %35.2% · 39.7%Ball care17.3% · 17.2%Off. rebounds34.9% · 32.0%Free throws0.37 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Breogan   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Breogan wins
5
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
25/01/25Breogan v Bilbao76-71
29/09/24Bilbao v Breogan90-72
30/03/24Breogan v Bilbao68-80
09/12/23Bilbao v Breogan68-76
10/05/23Bilbao v Breogan83-66
22/10/22Breogan v Bilbao86-70
12/03/22Breogan v Bilbao86-94
16/12/21Bilbao v Breogan83-75
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25HTenerife96-108
06/12/25ABasquet Girona80-103
22/11/25HSan Pablo Burgos105-78
16/11/25AMurcia96-83
08/11/25HGran Canaria81-92
01/11/25HGranada95-74
25/10/25ABarcelona85-100
18/10/25ABasket Zaragoza88-84
12/10/25HValencia90-113
04/10/25AForca Lleida68-87
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25ABC Prievidza83-46
14/12/25HForca Lleida93-75
10/12/25HSporting CP94-79
07/12/25HGran Canaria79-72
23/11/25ABaskonia91-110
19/11/25HKutaisi117-54
16/11/25AReal Madrid70-82
11/11/25HBrno115-100
09/11/25HBasket Zaragoza106-75
05/11/25APeristeri86-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%40%40%
Points / game88.493.483.4
Allowed / game92.293.091.4
Point differential-3.8+0.4-8.0
Avg total180.6186.4174.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bilbao
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game82.990.875.0
Allowed / game83.675.691.6
Point differential-0.7+15.2-16.6
Avg total166.5166.4166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1110191%90.680.5+10.1
2 Valencia98189%96.882.9+13.9
3 Murcia108280%90.279.0+11.2
4 Tenerife118373%91.684.5+7.1
5 Joventut Badalona107370%85.979.3+6.6
6 Unicaja107370%87.182.7+4.4
7 Barcelona106460%86.080.0+6.0
8 Bilbao105550%82.983.6-0.7
9 Baskonia94544%90.190.4-0.3
10 Gran Canaria104640%80.682.1-1.5
11 Breogan104640%88.492.2-3.8
12 MoraBanc Andorra104640%82.391.3-9.0
13 Forca Lleida114736%82.789.2-6.5
14 Manresa114736%81.788.2-6.5
15 Basquet Girona114736%85.292.8-7.6
16 Basket Zaragoza93633%87.189.8-2.7
17 Granada111109%81.589.7-8.2
18 San Pablo Burgos111109%88.597.8-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan21242629100
Bilbao2324223099
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.