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Bilbao vs Cholet Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 95-88
24-23 25-25 24-18 22-22
Position#2
Record9-0
FormWLLWL
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game64.2
Bilbao 🏆
vs
Cholet
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.4
Allowed / game75.3
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 2· Bilbao Arena
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cholet winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Valencia
#2
L
98-103
98
103
-5
91avg 79
H27/10
ACB
Balkan
#41
W
93-62
93
62
+31
92avg 79
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Granada
#17
W
84-72
84
72
+12
82avg 79
A02/11
ACB
Kutaisi
#28
W
91-63
91
63
+28
94avg 79
H06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Basquet Girona
#14
L
94-100 OT
94
100
-6
79avg 79
A10/11
ACB
BC Prievidza
#10
W
87-66
87
66
+21
91avg 79
H13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
79-95
79
95
-16
45avg 79
H17/11
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
71-82
71
82
-11
56avg 79
A30/11
ACB
Sassari
#11
W
91-89
91
89
+2
88avg 79
A04/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Baskonia
#7
L
67-69
67
69
-2
59avg 79
H08/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
27-23
21-28
23-26
21-15
26-17
26-18
20-12
22-18
17-10
27-20
18-24
16-18
22-10
25-14
28-21
23-17
16-19
22-22
27-30
21-16
27-22
23-9
16-19
19-22
19-23
19-25
22-25
15-26
12-13
27-17
17-26
21-18
30-23
22-25
18-23
14-20
18-20
16-17
19-12
165.6Avg total
85.5Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)88.764.2152.9+24.4100%
Season at home (4)92.060.8152.8+31.2100%
Season away (5)86.067.0153.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.580.1165.6+5.450%
Last 5 (5)79.080.2159.2-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.385.3166.6-4.043%
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.381.8159.1-4.425%
vs Weaker (11)88.067.9155.9+20.191%
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
Paris
#1
W
90-80
90
80
+10
106avg 86
H26/10
LNB
Fribourg Olympic
#14
W
85-81 OT
85
81
+4
83avg 86
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
W
101-87
101
87
+14
116avg 86
A03/11
LNB
Antwerp Giants
#27
W
90-77
90
77
+13
87avg 86
H06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Limoges
#14
W
75-69
75
69
+6
94avg 86
A09/11
LNB
CSM Constanta
#36
W
104-68
104
68
+36
103avg 86
A13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Le Portel
#15
W
80-65
80
65
+15
106avg 86
H16/11
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#7
W
88-74
88
74
+14
99avg 86
H30/11
LNB
Le Portel
#24
W
85-82
85
82
+3
-74avg 86
H03/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Strasbourg
#12
W
94-83
94
83
+11
100avg 86
A07/12
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
18-14
22-19
25-20
12-20
25-12
19-27
19-16
21-19
29-22
28-23
23-23
22-20
19-25
28-13
21-19
20-18
16-16
26-12
13-23
29-16
27-15
23-23
25-14
30-20
18-14
15-18
17-13
20-21
23-16
23-25
22-12
34-21
17-24
15-20
19-17
13-17
28-21
30-20
23-25
165.8Avg total
89.2Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)93.475.3168.7+18.1100%
Season at home (4)92.874.2167.0+18.5100%
Season away (3)94.376.7171.0+17.7100%
Last 10 (10)89.276.6165.8+12.6100%
Last 5 (5)90.274.4164.6+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.481.7161.1-2.343%
vs Similar ◀ (7)83.179.4162.6+3.771%
vs Weaker (15)87.373.5160.8+13.787%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +2.5+2.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +2.5+2.5
BilbaoCholet
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#2
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H27/10
ACB
Balkan
#41
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Granada
#17
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A02/11
ACB
Kutaisi
#28
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Basquet Girona
#14
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A10/11
ACB
BC Prievidza
#10
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H17/11
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A30/11
ACB
Sassari
#11
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A04/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Baskonia
#7
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H08/12
ACB
78.9Avg total
41.3Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.837.578.4+3.373%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.938.780.6+3.173%-
Last 30 away (15)39.836.376.1+3.573%-
Last 10 (10)41.337.678.9+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.679.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)44.139.984.0+4.386%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.338.674.9-2.250%-
vs Weaker (11)43.634.978.5+8.791%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H26/10
LNB
Fribourg Olympic
#14
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A03/11
LNB
Antwerp Giants
#27
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Limoges
#14
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A09/11
LNB
CSM Constanta
#36
W
56-31
56
31
+25
A13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Le Portel
#15
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H16/11
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#7
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H30/11
LNB
Le Portel
#24
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H03/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Strasbourg
#12
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A07/12
LNB
82.4Avg total
44.6Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.180.2+4.170%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.838.981.7+3.862%-
Last 30 away (14)41.537.178.6+4.479%-
Last 10 (10)44.637.882.4+6.890%-
Last 5 (5)47.837.084.8+10.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.139.479.6+0.757%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.440.979.3-2.443%-
vs Weaker (15)45.336.381.6+8.987%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.822.2
55.8%
52.6%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.6
34.0%
34.0%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.514.7
75.4%
72.6%14.7
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.725.4
58.1%
52.6%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.6
31.9%
34.0%22.8
🏀 Free throws20.914.6
69.9%
72.6%14.6
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
LWLLWLWWWL
Cholet
WWWWWWWWWW
#2
League position
#1
+7.7
Net rating
+15.8
113.0
Offensive rating
114.1
105.3
Defensive rating
98.3
53.9%
Effective FG%
54.5%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
15.6%
Turnover %
15.3%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.0%
3-point %
31.9%
60.4%
Assist %
66.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 114.1Defence105.3 · 98.3Shooting53.9% · 54.5%3-point %34.0% · 31.9%Ball care15.6% · 15.3%Off. rebounds29.9% · 30.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 100%
■ Bilbao   ■ Cholet
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bilbao wins
0
Cholet wins
No previous meetings.
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24HBaskonia67-69
04/12/24ASassari91-89
30/11/24ABasket Zaragoza71-82
17/11/24HJoventut Badalona79-95
13/11/24HBC Prievidza87-66
10/11/24ABasquet Girona94-100 OT
06/11/24HKutaisi91-63
02/11/24AGranada84-72
30/10/24ABalkan93-62
27/10/24HValencia98-103
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24AStrasbourg94-83
03/12/24HLe Portel85-82
30/11/24HChalon/Saone88-74
16/11/24HLe Portel80-65
13/11/24ACSM Constanta104-68
09/11/24ALimoges75-69
06/11/24HAntwerp Giants90-77
03/11/24ALyon-Villeurbanne101-87
29/10/24AFribourg Olympic85-81 OT
26/10/24HParis90-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.792.086.0
Allowed / game64.260.867.0
Point differential+24.4+31.2+19.0
Avg total152.9152.8153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%100%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cholet
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.492.894.3
Allowed / game75.374.276.7
Point differential+18.1+18.5+17.7
Avg total168.7167.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%75%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bilbao990100%88.764.2+24.4
2 Cholet770100%93.475.3+18.1
3 Tofas770100%97.481.7+15.7
4 Sassari76186%86.671.0+15.6
5 Ludwigsburg76186%81.969.3+12.6
6 Basket Zaragoza76186%89.780.1+9.6
7 CSM Oradea76186%82.472.9+9.6
8 PAOK76186%82.074.4+7.6
9 Fribourg Olympic75271%92.377.3+15.0
10 BC Kalev/Cramo75271%82.073.6+8.4
11 FC Porto75271%81.073.6+7.4
12 Dijon96367%92.776.1+16.6
13 Maroussi96367%86.377.3+9.0
14 Levice64267%85.781.2+4.5
15 BC Prievidza85362%83.882.8+1.0
16 Anwil Wloclawek74357%90.674.4+16.1
17 Le Portel74357%80.171.6+8.6
18 Spirou Charleroi95456%78.079.6-1.6
19 Basketball Braunschweig63350%85.881.2+4.7
20 Spojnia Stargard63350%73.370.7+2.7
21 Bursaspor63350%85.584.0+1.5
22 Arges Pitesti63350%71.770.3+1.3
23 Alba Fehervar84450%89.693.8-4.1
24 Caledonia Gladiators63350%58.570.8-12.3
25 Norrkoping62433%79.085.5-6.5
26 Limburg62433%76.783.3-6.7
27 Antwerp Giants62433%80.287.7-7.5
28 Kutaisi62433%78.789.0-10.3
29 AEK Larnaca62433%71.085.7-14.7
30 Sporting CP82625%71.579.5-8.0
31 Anorthosis82625%75.884.2-8.5
32 BC Dnipro82625%66.087.1-21.1
33 Sabah Baku61517%73.878.8-5.0
34 Keravnos61517%84.590.7-6.2
35 Parnu61517%68.079.7-11.7
36 CSM Constanta81712%73.591.4-17.9
37 Starlites2020%74.584.0-9.5
38 Szolnoki Olaj6060%73.886.0-12.2
39 Rilski Sportist6060%71.387.0-15.7
40 Trepca6060%57.377.3-20.0
41 Balkan6060%69.389.8-20.5
42 Neptunas2020%62.584.5-22.0
43 Peja2020%78.0102.0-24.0
44 Dinamo Zagreb2020%70.5100.0-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bilbao2425242295
Cholet2325182288
← all games of the day
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