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Bilbao vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 98-103
27-26 27-23 21-28 23-26
Position#15
Record2-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#2
Record3-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game75.0
SpainACBRound 5· Bilbao Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Bilbao v Valencia
18 Apr 2027
BIL v VAL
upcoming
05 Jun 2026
BIL71
VAL88
02 Jan 2026
BIL72
VAL116
27 Oct 2024
BIL98
VAL103
11 Feb 2024
BIL93
VAL78
09 Oct 2022
BIL71
VAL65
09 Apr 2022
BIL84
VAL78
09 Jan 2021
BIL73
VAL106
12 Nov 2017
BIL77
VAL81
12 Apr 2017
BIL88
VAL75
15 Nov 2015
BIL104
VAL111
01 Jun 2015
BIL70
VAL71
28 May 2015
BIL75
VAL91
11 Jan 2015
BIL82
VAL80
05 Jan 2014
BIL80
VAL83
12 May 2013
BIL61
VAL72
23 Jan 2013
BIL91
VAL76
10 Dec 2011
BIL85
VAL74
22 May 2011
BIL79
VAL75
10 Oct 2010
BIL77
VAL70
27 Dec 2009
BIL79
VAL80
11 Jan 2009
BIL72
VAL78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
L
68-72
68
72
-4
45avg 77
H12/05
ACB
Neptunas
#42
W
74-66
74
66
+8
74avg 77
A24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Neptunas
#42
W
95-59
95
59
+36
91avg 77
H27/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#13
W
90-72
90
72
+18
89avg 77
H29/09
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
83-89 OT
83
89
-6
77avg 77
A05/10
ACB
Balkan
#41
W
95-55
95
55
+40
96avg 77
H09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Real Madrid
#1
W
83-79
83
79
+4
74avg 77
H13/10
ACB
Kutaisi
#28
W
88-57
88
57
+31
91avg 77
A16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Gran Canaria
#8
L
67-80
67
80
-13
56avg 77
A19/10
ACB
BC Prievidza
#10
W
84-61
84
61
+23
80avg 77
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
18-14
10-18
21-16
21-19
16-12
16-15
21-20
18-24
29-12
26-15
22-8
22-17
20-22
22-22
26-11
16-22
22-20
23-13
16-22
27-16
17-13
18-17
33-9
22-18
24-16
14-25
23-20
19-15
28-11
23-16
18-15
22-16
17-20
19-23
9-21
22-24
20-9
16-15
26-13
151.7Avg total
82.7Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.880.0160.8+0.850%
Season at home (2)86.575.5162.0+11.0100%
Season away (2)75.084.5159.5-9.50%
Last 10 (10)82.769.0151.7+13.770%
Last 5 (5)83.466.4149.8+17.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)80.485.4165.9-5.044%
vs Similar (12)77.978.3156.2-0.442%
vs Weaker (9)87.368.4155.8+18.989%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Murcia
#6
L
77-84
77
84
-7
80avg 75
H25/05
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
80-64
80
64
+16
72avg 75
A25/09
Eurocup
Manresa
#9
L
73-77
73
77
-4
60avg 75
A28/09
ACB
Hamburg
#17
W
105-78
105
78
+27
106avg 75
H02/10
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
84-60
84
60
+24
67avg 75
H05/10
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#6
W
105-96
105
96
+9
103avg 75
A09/10
Eurocup
Breogan
#13
W
87-75
87
75
+12
77avg 75
A13/10
ACB
Venezia
#11
W
105-83
105
83
+22
99avg 75
H17/10
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
89-88
89
88
+1
80avg 75
H20/10
ACB
Turk Telekom
#8
W
101-87
101
87
+14
102avg 75
A23/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
17-17
19-18
14-23
26-14
19-15
14-15
21-20
16-22
18-27
17-12
22-16
30-29
22-15
30-21
23-13
15-13
19-11
28-19
22-17
19-24
25-28
26-23
35-21
23-16
13-25
37-15
14-19
24-22
28-16
25-16
28-29
25-20
23-14
14-32
27-22
27-17
31-15
23-20
20-35
169.8Avg total
90.6Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.275.0158.2+8.275%
Season at home (2)86.574.0160.5+12.5100%
Season away (2)80.076.0156.0+4.050%
Last 10 (10)90.679.2169.8+11.480%
Last 5 (5)97.485.8183.2+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)84.694.6179.2-10.020%
vs Similar (12)81.885.8167.5-4.042%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)91.279.4170.5+11.885%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
BilbaoValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H12/05
ACB
Neptunas
#42
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Neptunas
#42
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H27/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#13
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H29/09
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A05/10
ACB
Balkan
#41
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Real Madrid
#1
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H13/10
ACB
Kutaisi
#28
W
47-26
47
26
+21
A16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Gran Canaria
#8
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A19/10
ACB
BC Prievidza
#10
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
76.3Avg total
41.9Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.338.078.4+2.370%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.337.279.5+5.181%-
Last 30 away (14)38.139.077.1-0.957%-
Last 10 (10)41.934.476.3+7.580%-
Last 5 (5)43.631.675.2+12.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)41.639.481.0+2.178%-
vs Similar (12)38.338.777.0-0.358%-
vs Weaker (9)41.835.877.6+6.078%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H25/05
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A25/09
Eurocup
Manresa
#9
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A28/09
ACB
Hamburg
#17
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H02/10
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H05/10
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A09/10
Eurocup
Breogan
#13
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A13/10
ACB
Venezia
#11
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H17/10
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H20/10
ACB
Turk Telekom
#8
W
58-32
58
32
+26
A23/10
Eurocup
83.3Avg total
44.7Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.740.583.2+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.138.483.5+6.679%-
Last 30 away (16)40.642.382.9-1.738%-
Last 10 (10)44.738.683.3+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)47.639.487.0+8.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.645.885.4-6.220%-
vs Similar (12)42.840.283.0+2.758%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.838.882.5+5.069%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.9
52.6%
54.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.3
35.8%
35.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.816.0
76.9%
76.4%16.0
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 89.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.0
53.3%
54.0%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.811.4
34.8%
35.6%34.2
🏀 Free throws20.315.1
74.4%
76.4%15.1
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
WLWWWLWWWL
Valencia
WWWWWWWLWL
#15
League position
#2
+18.1
Net rating
+14.3
109.7
Offensive rating
116.8
91.6
Defensive rating
102.5
53.1%
Effective FG%
52.8%
43.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
15.7%
Turnover %
16.9%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
38.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.8%
3-point %
34.8%
63.8%
Assist %
66.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 116.8Defence91.6 · 102.5Shooting53.1% · 52.8%3-point %35.8% · 34.8%Ball care15.7% · 16.9%Off. rebounds25.6% · 38.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Bilbao   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bilbao wins
6
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
11/02/24Bilbao v Valencia93-78
03/12/23Valencia v Bilbao79-85
22/04/23Valencia v Bilbao95-88
09/10/22Bilbao v Valencia71-65
09/04/22Bilbao v Valencia84-78
20/11/21Valencia v Bilbao100-84
25/04/21Valencia v Bilbao99-90
09/01/21Bilbao v Valencia73-106
11/03/18Valencia v Bilbao87-67
12/11/17Bilbao v Valencia77-81
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/24ABC Prievidza84-61
19/10/24AGran Canaria67-80
16/10/24AKutaisi88-57
13/10/24HReal Madrid83-79
09/10/24HBalkan95-55
05/10/24AMurcia83-89 OT
29/09/24HBreogan90-72
27/09/24HNeptunas95-59
24/09/24ANeptunas74-66
12/05/24HBarcelona68-72
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/24ATurk Telekom101-87
20/10/24HMoraBanc Andorra89-88
17/10/24HVenezia105-83
13/10/24ABreogan87-75
09/10/24ACluj-Napoca105-96
05/10/24HJoventut Badalona84-60
02/10/24HHamburg105-78
28/09/24AManresa73-77
25/09/24AHapoel Jerusalem80-64
25/05/24HMurcia77-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game80.886.575.0
Allowed / game80.075.584.5
Point differential+0.8+11.0-9.5
Avg total160.8162.0159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %25%0%50%
Valencia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game83.286.580.0
Allowed / game75.074.076.0
Point differential+8.2+12.5+4.0
Avg total158.2160.5156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja440100%91.271.8+19.5
2 Valencia43175%83.275.0+8.2
3 Barcelona43175%88.280.8+7.5
4 Tenerife43175%87.281.0+6.2
5 Real Madrid53260%89.278.4+10.8
6 MoraBanc Andorra53260%90.685.8+4.8
7 Gran Canaria53260%76.674.6+2.0
8 Murcia53260%85.483.6+1.8
9 Bilbao42250%80.880.0+0.8
10 Manresa52340%75.676.8-1.2
11 Baskonia52340%87.689.2-1.6
12 Joventut Badalona52340%79.682.2-2.6
13 Leyma Coruna52340%87.690.6-3.0
14 Basket Zaragoza52340%90.497.0-6.6
15 Breogan31233%74.382.3-8.0
16 Forca Lleida41325%77.890.2-12.5
17 Granada51420%72.280.0-7.8
18 Basquet Girona51420%70.285.8-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bilbao2727212398
Valencia26232826103
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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