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Balkan vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 62-93
15-21 17-26 18-26 12-20
Position#41
Record0-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game67.7
Allowed / game90.0
Balkan
vs
Bilbao 🏆
Position#2
Record5-0
FormWWLWL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game59.6
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 4· Arena Botevgrad
European cup2024
Meetings · Balkan v Bilbao
30 Oct 2024
BAL62
BIL93
10 Jan 2024
BAL62
BIL94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Balkan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BalkanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
62-75
62
75
-13
49avg 70
A23/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
97-102
97
102
-5
88avg 70
A25/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
69-68
69
68
+1
59avg 70
H28/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
69-81
69
81
-12
60avg 70
H30/05
NBL
Beroe
#6
L
91-92
91
92
-1
79avg 70
H06/10
NBL
Bilbao
#2
L
55-95
55
95
-40
46avg 70
A09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Cherno More
#3
W
80-75
80
75
+5
65avg 70
A13/10
NBL
BC Prievidza
#10
L
70-89
70
89
-19
58avg 70
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Kutaisi
#28
L
78-86
78
86
-8
68avg 70
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Academic Plovdiv
#5
W
104-83
104
83
+21
85avg 70
H27/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-12
15-19
4-26
13-18
27-26
23-24
24-24
23-28
20-14
20-23
17-21
12-10
18-18
9-12
21-20
21-31
16-25
27-20
33-20
15-27
16-27
13-17
17-18
9-33
20-18
20-13
24-19
16-25
11-26
17-23
18-23
24-17
19-11
17-17
25-29
17-29
23-20
31-22
25-27
25-14
162.1Avg total
77.5Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)67.790.0157.7-22.30%
Season at home (2)74.087.5161.5-13.50%
Season away (1)55.095.0150.0-40.00%
Last 10 (10)77.584.6162.1-7.130%
Last 5 (5)77.485.6163.0-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)75.183.6158.7-8.540%
vs Similar (9)81.475.4156.9+6.067%
vs Weaker (5)91.281.4172.6+9.880%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#42
W
74-66
74
66
+8
74avg 78
A24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Neptunas
#42
W
95-59
95
59
+36
91avg 78
H27/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#13
W
90-72
90
72
+18
89avg 78
H29/09
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
83-89 OT
83
89
-6
77avg 78
A05/10
ACB
Balkan
#41
W
95-55
95
55
+40
96avg 78
H09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Real Madrid
#1
W
83-79
83
79
+4
74avg 78
H13/10
ACB
Kutaisi
#28
W
88-57
88
57
+31
91avg 78
A16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Gran Canaria
#8
L
67-80
67
80
-13
56avg 78
A19/10
ACB
BC Prievidza
#10
W
84-61
84
61
+23
80avg 78
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valencia
#2
L
98-103
98
103
-5
91avg 78
H27/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
16-12
16-15
21-20
18-24
29-12
26-15
22-8
22-17
20-22
22-22
26-11
16-22
22-20
23-13
16-22
27-16
17-13
18-17
33-9
22-18
24-16
14-25
23-20
19-15
28-11
23-16
18-15
22-16
17-20
19-23
9-21
22-24
20-9
16-15
26-13
27-26
27-23
21-28
23-26
157.8Avg total
85.7Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.259.6146.8+27.6100%
Season at home (2)95.057.0152.0+38.0100%
Season away (3)82.061.3143.3+20.7100%
Last 10 (10)85.772.1157.8+13.670%
Last 5 (5)84.076.0160.0+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)82.287.2169.4-5.040%
vs Similar (11)77.277.9155.1-0.736%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)87.368.4155.8+18.989%
This opponent (Balkan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: +5.2+5.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: +5.2+5.2
BalkanBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A23/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A25/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H28/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H30/05
NBL
Beroe
#6
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H06/10
NBL
Bilbao
#2
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Cherno More
#3
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A13/10
NBL
BC Prievidza
#10
L
28-49
28
49
-21
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Kutaisi
#28
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Academic Plovdiv
#5
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H27/10
NBL
77.9Avg total
39.2Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.280.3+0.053%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.537.978.4+2.667%-
Last 30 away (12)39.743.583.2-3.833%-
Last 10 (10)39.238.777.9+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.438.876.2-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.641.278.8-3.640%-
vs Similar (9)42.238.881.0+3.456%-
vs Weaker (5)44.641.085.6+3.680%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#42
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Neptunas
#42
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H27/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#13
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H29/09
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A05/10
ACB
Balkan
#41
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Real Madrid
#1
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H13/10
ACB
Kutaisi
#28
W
47-26
47
26
+21
A16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Gran Canaria
#8
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A19/10
ACB
BC Prievidza
#10
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valencia
#2
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H27/10
ACB
79.1Avg total
43.6Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.638.679.2+2.070%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.938.281.1+4.681%-
Last 30 away (14)38.139.077.1-0.957%-
Last 10 (10)43.635.579.1+8.190%-
Last 5 (5)45.635.681.2+10.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)42.840.483.2+2.480%-
vs Similar (11)37.739.377.0-1.555%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.835.877.6+6.078%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.4
52.9%
52.6%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.1
30.1%
34.0%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.213.6
74.7%
72.6%13.6
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.9
52.6%
52.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.3
38.7%
34.0%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.716.0
77.3%
72.6%16.0
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Balkan
WLLWLLLWLL
Bilbao
LWLWWWLWWW
#41
League position
#2
-9.0
Net rating
+18.2
103.3
Offensive rating
113.4
112.3
Defensive rating
95.2
49.6%
Effective FG%
55.0%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
44.6%
17.1%
Turnover %
14.9%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.1%
3-point %
38.7%
59.3%
Assist %
65.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.3 · 113.4Defence112.3 · 95.2Shooting49.6% · 55.0%3-point %30.1% · 38.7%Ball care17.1% · 14.9%Off. rebounds28.3% · 25.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Balkan   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Balkan wins
3
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
09/10/24Bilbao v Balkan95-55
07/02/24Bilbao v Balkan90-63
10/01/24Balkan v Bilbao62-94
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/24HAcademic Plovdiv104-83
23/10/24HKutaisi78-86
16/10/24HBC Prievidza70-89
13/10/24ACherno More80-75
09/10/24ABilbao55-95
06/10/24HBeroe91-92
30/05/24HRilski Sportist69-81
28/05/24HRilski Sportist69-68
25/05/24ARilski Sportist97-102
23/05/24ARilski Sportist62-75
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/24HValencia98-103
22/10/24ABC Prievidza84-61
19/10/24AGran Canaria67-80
16/10/24AKutaisi88-57
13/10/24HReal Madrid83-79
09/10/24HBalkan95-55
05/10/24AMurcia83-89 OT
29/09/24HBreogan90-72
27/09/24HNeptunas95-59
24/09/24ANeptunas74-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Balkan
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game67.774.055.0
Allowed / game90.087.595.0
Point differential-22.3-13.5-40.0
Avg total157.7161.5150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bilbao
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.295.082.0
Allowed / game59.657.061.3
Point differential+27.6+38.0+20.7
Avg total146.8152.0143.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bilbao550100%87.259.6+27.6
2 Sassari440100%85.863.0+22.8
3 Tofas330100%99.080.0+19.0
4 Cholet440100%93.875.0+18.8
5 BC Kalev/Cramo440100%81.266.8+14.5
6 Ludwigsburg330100%78.765.3+13.3
7 PAOK330100%81.768.7+13.0
8 CSM Oradea330100%79.773.7+6.0
9 Dijon54180%97.069.6+27.4
10 Maroussi54180%90.877.0+13.8
11 Anwil Wloclawek32167%91.067.7+23.3
12 Basket Zaragoza32167%92.785.7+7.0
13 Spojnia Stargard32167%76.370.3+6.0
14 Spirou Charleroi64267%79.575.2+4.3
15 Levice32167%80.776.7+4.0
16 FC Porto32167%75.772.7+3.0
17 BC Prievidza64267%86.886.0+0.8
18 Bursaspor32167%82.782.7+0.0
19 Fribourg Olympic42250%87.079.5+7.5
20 Le Portel42250%75.269.0+6.2
21 Alba Fehervar63350%90.792.7-2.0
22 Anorthosis52340%79.282.0-2.8
23 Basketball Braunschweig31233%91.085.3+5.7
24 Arges Pitesti31233%67.769.3-1.7
25 Sporting CP62433%69.775.2-5.5
26 Antwerp Giants31233%78.784.3-5.7
27 Limburg31233%77.083.0-6.0
28 Keravnos31233%83.091.7-8.7
29 Norrkoping31233%79.788.7-9.0
30 AEK Larnaca31233%70.086.0-16.0
31 Caledonia Gladiators31233%65.384.0-18.7
32 BC Dnipro72529%66.485.3-18.9
33 Kutaisi41325%79.087.8-8.8
34 CSM Constanta51420%72.487.8-15.4
35 Sabah Baku4040%72.279.0-6.8
36 Starlites2020%74.584.0-9.5
37 Szolnoki Olaj3030%76.386.3-10.0
38 Parnu3030%69.780.0-10.3
39 Rilski Sportist4040%73.090.0-17.0
40 Trepca3030%68.789.3-20.7
41 Neptunas2020%62.584.5-22.0
42 Balkan3030%67.790.0-22.3
43 Peja2020%78.0102.0-24.0
44 Dinamo Zagreb2020%70.5100.0-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Balkan1517181262
Bilbao2126262093
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