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Bilbao vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 May 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 80-97
17-24 20-27 21-22 22-24
Position#13
Record13-18
FormWWLLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game81.2
Bilbao
Spain
vs
Palencia 🏆
Spain
Position#18
Record5-26
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game87.5
SpainACBRound 32· Bilbao Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Bilbao v Palencia
04 May 2024
BIL80
PAL97
22 May 2019
BIL v PAL
upcoming
12 May 2019
BIL77
PAL86
10 May 2019
BIL93
PAL73
31 Mar 2019
BIL88
PAL59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Palencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Legia
#6
W
81-53
81
53
+28
79avg 77
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
92-71
92
71
+21
94avg 77
H17/03
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
82-80
82
80
+2
76avg 77
H24/03
ACB
Chemnitz
#2
L
73-98
73
98
-25
66avg 77
H27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#16
W
80-68
80
68
+12
78avg 77
A30/03
ACB
Chemnitz
#2
W
82-73
82
73
+9
75avg 77
A03/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Gran Canaria
#7
W
81-71
81
71
+10
79avg 77
H06/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
84-101
84
101
-17
83avg 77
A13/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
72-75
72
75
-3
63avg 77
H21/04
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
68-81
68
81
-13
64avg 77
A27/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-17
19-15
11-10
22-11
22-20
22-20
22-18
26-13
28-22
15-19
16-22
23-17
29-16
17-25
12-30
15-27
16-9
21-23
19-16
24-20
18-21
21-15
18-23
25-14
19-21
17-13
24-13
21-24
21-20
30-27
15-25
18-29
18-19
22-19
19-22
13-15
15-14
12-22
21-23
20-22
156.6Avg total
79.5Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)79.081.2160.2-2.342%
Season at home (15)80.976.3157.2+4.767%
Season away (16)77.185.9163.0-8.819%
Last 10 (10)79.577.1156.6+2.460%
Last 5 (5)77.480.2157.6-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)81.387.5168.8-6.240%
vs Similar (13)77.274.8152.0+2.554%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)82.373.7156.0+8.671%
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#7
W
82-58
82
58
+24
83avg 71
H10/02
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
93-111
93
111
-18
87avg 71
A03/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
77-70
77
70
+7
65avg 71
H10/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
96-103
96
103
-7
84avg 71
A17/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
72avg 71
H24/03
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
68-89
68
89
-21
60avg 71
H30/03
ACB
Breogan
#16
L
65-73
65
73
-8
44avg 71
A06/04
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
77-90
77
90
-13
63avg 71
A13/04
ACB
Granada
#17
L
83-91
83
91
-8
75avg 71
H20/04
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
94-101
94
101
-7
94avg 71
H27/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
25-12
21-11
16-15
25-25
31-28
20-27
17-31
18-8
22-20
22-23
15-19
17-30
25-16
23-31
31-26
13-17
17-26
26-23
22-20
17-29
15-11
22-19
14-30
16-16
19-17
12-15
18-25
11-19
19-20
29-22
18-29
14-21
20-26
21-19
28-25
32-27
25-21
15-28
22-25
168.5Avg total
81.3Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)78.787.5166.2-8.716%
Season at home (16)77.881.9159.8-4.125%
Season away (15)79.793.4173.1-13.77%
Last 10 (10)81.387.2168.5-5.920%
Last 5 (5)77.488.8166.2-11.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)79.287.5166.7-8.317%
vs Similar (6)79.388.0167.3-8.717%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -4.4-4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -4.4-4.4
BilbaoPalencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Legia
#6
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H17/03
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H24/03
ACB
Chemnitz
#2
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#16
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A30/03
ACB
Chemnitz
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A03/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Gran Canaria
#7
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H06/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A13/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H21/04
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A27/04
ACB
78.8Avg total
41.1Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.278.7+0.263%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.637.078.6+4.679%-
Last 30 away (16)37.641.278.8-3.650%-
Last 10 (10)41.137.778.8+3.490%-
Last 5 (5)38.638.276.8+0.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.541.282.7+0.380%-
vs Similar (13)38.837.075.8+1.869%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)37.940.678.4-2.729%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#7
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H10/02
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A03/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H10/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A17/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H24/03
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H30/03
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A06/04
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A13/04
ACB
Granada
#17
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H20/04
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H27/04
ACB
81.0Avg total
40.1Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.442.080.4-3.637%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.938.976.9-1.044%-
Last 30 away (14)38.945.584.4-6.629%-
Last 10 (10)40.140.981.0-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)37.641.479.0-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)39.141.880.9-2.738%-
vs Similar (6)35.742.878.5-7.233%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.2
52.0%
53.0%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.8
34.4%
34.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.015.9
79.5%
75.6%15.9
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.4
52.6%
53.0%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.4
34.7%
34.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.314.5
75.1%
75.6%14.5
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
LLLWWWLWWW
Palencia
LLLLLLLWLW
#13
League position
#18
+3.5
Net rating
-7.7
106.8
Offensive rating
108.5
103.3
Defensive rating
116.1
51.8%
Effective FG%
52.4%
45.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
20.7%
Turnover %
16.9%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.4%
3-point %
34.7%
63.7%
Assist %
61.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 108.5Defence103.3 · 116.1Shooting51.8% · 52.4%3-point %34.4% · 34.7%Ball care20.7% · 16.9%Off. rebounds32.8% · 27.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Bilbao   ■ Palencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bilbao wins
4
Palencia wins
DateGameScore
30/12/23Palencia v Bilbao78-72
19/05/19Palencia v Bilbao61-57
17/05/19Palencia v Bilbao81-87
12/05/19Bilbao v Palencia77-86
10/05/19Bilbao v Palencia93-73
31/03/19Bilbao v Palencia88-59
07/12/18Palencia v Bilbao78-71
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24ABasquet Girona68-81
21/04/24HObradoiro CAB72-75
13/04/24ATenerife84-101
06/04/24HGran Canaria81-71
03/04/24AChemnitz82-73
30/03/24ABreogan80-68
27/03/24HChemnitz73-98
24/03/24HBaskonia82-80
17/03/24HJoventut Badalona92-71
13/03/24HLegia81-53
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24HBaskonia94-101
20/04/24HGranada83-91
13/04/24AMurcia77-90
06/04/24ABreogan65-73
30/03/24HTenerife68-89
24/03/24HReal Madrid78-86
17/03/24ABasket Zaragoza96-103
10/03/24HMoraBanc Andorra77-70
03/03/24AValencia93-111
10/02/24HGran Canaria82-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL42%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLLWLL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %42%67%19%
Points / game79.080.977.1
Allowed / game81.276.385.9
Point differential-2.3+4.7-8.8
Avg total160.2157.2163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%33%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Palencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL16%
HomeWLLLL25%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %16%25%7%
Points / game78.777.879.7
Allowed / game87.581.993.4
Point differential-8.7-4.1-13.7
Avg total166.2159.8173.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3126584%87.478.3+9.0
2 Unicaja3125681%88.277.3+10.9
3 Barcelona31211068%88.081.3+6.7
4 Murcia31201165%84.280.1+4.1
5 Tenerife31201165%84.580.9+3.6
6 Gran Canaria31201165%84.781.2+3.5
7 Valencia31191261%84.081.3+2.7
8 Manresa31181358%84.884.5+0.3
9 Baskonia31171455%87.887.8-0.0
10 Joventut Badalona31151648%81.786.2-4.5
11 Bilbao31131842%79.081.2-2.3
12 MoraBanc Andorra31121939%84.084.7-0.7
13 Basket Zaragoza31112035%82.085.5-3.5
14 Basquet Girona31112035%80.485.6-5.2
15 Breogan3192229%74.179.4-5.3
16 Granada3192229%81.186.8-5.7
17 Obradoiro CAB3182326%80.084.9-4.9
18 Palencia3152616%78.787.5-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bilbao1720212280
Palencia2427222497
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