Bilbao vs Palencia Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 22 May 2019

Tip-off: 18:30

Scheduled

Position#2

Record26-12

FormWWLWL

Points / game77.4

Allowed / game69.9

Bilbao

Palencia

Position#9

Record21-17

FormLLWLW

Points / game78.5

Allowed / game79.1

Primera FEBLEB Oro - Quarter-finals

Other2018-19

Meetings · Bilbao v Palencia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Palencia win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bilbao

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Palencia

88-59

+29

H31/03

Primera FEB

Ourense

82-70

+12

A06/04

Primera FEB

Melilla

62-59

H14/04

Primera FEB

Granada

70-72

-2

A21/04

Primera FEB

Real Canoe

#15

93-62

+31

H26/04

Primera FEB

Barcelona B

#16

84-76

A03/05

Primera FEB

Palencia

93-73

+20

H10/05

Primera FEB

Palencia

77-86

-9

H12/05

Primera FEB

Palencia

87-81

A17/05

Primera FEB

Palencia

57-61

-4

A19/05

Primera FEB

21-15

27-14

20-14

20-16

18-16

15-21

21-16

28-17

23-14

13-18

14-22

12-5

20-23

23-19

14-14

13-16

24-17

24-16

19-10

26-19

12-11

29-21

25-22

18-22

23-19

18-19

26-20

26-15

22-17

15-20

13-26

27-23

22-21

24-20

13-16

28-24

19-18

13-22

12-10

13-11

149.2Avg total

79.3Scored

69.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (38)	77.4	69.9	147.3	+7.5	68%
Season at home (19)	82.5	70.4	152.8	+12.1	74%
Season away (19)	72.3	69.4	141.7	+2.8	63%
Last 10 (10)	79.3	69.9	149.2	+9.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	79.6	75.4	155.0	+4.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	69.8	73.8	143.5	-4.0	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	78.8	68.4	147.2	+10.4	73%

This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Palencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bilbao

59-88

-29

A31/03

Primera FEB

Caceres

#14

70-76

-6

H05/04

Primera FEB

Araberri

#18

94-82

+12

A13/04

Primera FEB

Ourense

55-52

A21/04

Primera FEB

Melilla

76-84

-8

H26/04

Primera FEB

Granada

60-73

-13

A03/05

Primera FEB

Bilbao

73-93

-20

A10/05

Primera FEB

Bilbao

86-77

A12/05

Primera FEB

Bilbao

81-87

-6

H17/05

Primera FEB

Bilbao

61-57

H19/05

Primera FEB

15-21

14-27

14-20

16-20

19-22

14-17

22-17

15-20

23-24

26-16

22-18

13-12

15-9

17-15

10-16

18-16

19-20

20-22

19-26

18-18

13-18

12-18

17-19

19-23

19-18

20-26

15-26

17-22

20-15

26-13

23-27

21-22

20-24

16-13

24-28

18-19

22-13

10-12

11-13

148.4Avg total

71.5Scored

76.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (38)	78.5	79.1	157.6	-0.5	55%
Season at home (19)	79.4	79.9	159.4	-0.5	53%
Season away (19)	77.6	78.2	155.8	-0.5	58%
Last 10 (10)	71.5	76.9	148.4	-5.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	72.2	77.4	149.6	-5.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	73.0	81.7	154.7	-8.7	33%
vs Similar (11)	73.2	75.4	148.5	-2.2	45%
vs Weaker (7)	85.6	77.7	163.3	+7.9	71%

This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BilbaoPalencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.1	38.1	-0.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	19.8	40.5	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	18.3	35.7	-1.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	17.1	37.5	+3.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.2	36.8	+2.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	16.0	23.5	39.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	19.5	18.4	37.9	+1.1	65%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.5	40.0	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	19.8	39.7	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	19.3	40.3	+1.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	19.9	38.0	-1.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.8	39.4	-2.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.9	20.6	40.5	-0.7	42%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.4	18.9	38.3	+0.5	45%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.0	18.7	41.7	+4.3	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	17.2	36.9	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	17.0	37.1	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	17.4	36.7	+1.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.0	39.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.4	40.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	18.2	19.5	37.8	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	20.0	16.8	36.8	+3.1	69%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	18.9	36.7	-1.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	18.3	36.6	+0.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.2	19.5	36.7	-2.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	18.5	36.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	17.6	36.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.4	19.4	37.8	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.1	17.5	34.5	-0.4	27%	-
vs Weaker (7)	17.7	20.3	38.0	-2.6	14%	-

BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Palencia

48-29

+19

H31/03

Primera FEB

Ourense

33-37

-4

A06/04

Primera FEB

Melilla

36-32

H14/04

Primera FEB

Granada

43-42

A21/04

Primera FEB

Real Canoe

#15

48-33

+15

H26/04

Primera FEB

Barcelona B

#16

41-32

A03/05

Primera FEB

Palencia

41-38

H10/05

Primera FEB

Palencia

37-37

H12/05

Primera FEB

Palencia

46-41

A17/05

Primera FEB

Palencia

32-40

-8

A19/05

Primera FEB

76.6Avg total

40.5Scored

36.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	36.3	75.0	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.9	36.8	77.7	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.7	35.7	72.4	+0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	36.1	76.6	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	37.6	77.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	34.2	43.0	77.2	-8.8	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	39.5	35.2	74.7	+4.2	69%	-

This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bilbao

29-48

-19

A31/03

Primera FEB

Caceres

#14

33-39

-6

H05/04

Primera FEB

Araberri

#18

46-48

-2

A13/04

Primera FEB

Ourense

28-21

A21/04

Primera FEB

Melilla

37-36

H26/04

Primera FEB

Granada

31-36

-5

A03/05

Primera FEB

Bilbao

38-41

-3

A10/05

Primera FEB

Bilbao

37-37

A12/05

Primera FEB

Bilbao

41-46

-5

H17/05

Primera FEB

Bilbao

40-32

H19/05

Primera FEB

74.4Avg total

36.0Scored

38.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	38.4	76.6	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.2	38.1	76.3	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.2	38.8	77.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	38.4	74.4	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	38.4	75.8	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	38.3	40.0	78.3	-1.7	42%	-
vs Similar (11)	36.5	36.4	72.8	+0.1	45%	-
vs Weaker (7)	40.7	39.0	79.7	+1.7	43%	-

This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	15.7	34.1	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	17.1	37.9	+3.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.1	14.3	30.4	+1.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	17.0	34.7	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	18.8	36.6	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	18.2	13.0	31.2	+5.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	18.5	16.1	34.6	+2.3	65%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	18.9	37.8	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	18.4	37.9	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	19.3	37.7	-1.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	17.2	35.5	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	16.4	33.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	17.8	19.1	36.9	-1.2	42%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.2	19.1	36.3	-1.9	36%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.4	18.1	41.6	+5.3	86%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	16.8	36.8	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	15.1	36.8	+6.5	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	18.5	36.8	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	16.8	37.9	+4.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.0	41.4	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	17.2	17.8	35.0	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	20.4	16.7	37.1	+3.8	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	20.1	38.0	-2.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	21.7	39.5	-4.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	18.5	36.5	-0.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	21.3	38.5	-4.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	22.6	40.6	-4.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	16.1	21.2	37.2	-5.1	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.5	19.6	38.1	-1.2	36%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.1	19.0	39.1	+1.1	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	32.5	70.9	+5.9	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	32.2	74.7	+10.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.4	32.8	67.2	+1.6	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	33.8	72.6	+5.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	37.8	78.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	35.5	30.8	66.2	+4.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	38.9	32.8	71.7	+6.1	77%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	39.0	75.8	-2.2	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.2	40.1	77.3	-2.9	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.4	37.8	74.2	-1.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.5	38.5	74.0	-3.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	39.0	73.8	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	33.9	40.2	74.2	-6.3	8%	-
vs Similar (11)	35.6	38.7	74.4	-3.1	18%	-
vs Weaker (7)	43.6	37.1	80.7	+6.4	57%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 74.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.4	16.9	49.1%	51.8%	33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	9.3	35.0%	33.7%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	18.4	12.4	67.4%	73.6%	12.4

They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.2	18.4	52.3%	51.8%	36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	10.0	38.5%	33.7%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	19.4	14.9	76.8%	73.6%	14.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.5	16.9	50.5%	51.8%	33.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	8.9	34.5%	33.7%	26.8
🏀 Free throws	20.1	14.3	71.3%	73.6%	14.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.1	18.7	55.0%	51.8%	37.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	9.7	37.3%	33.7%	29.0
🏀 Free throws	21.8	16.5	75.7%	73.6%	16.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bilbao wins

Palencia wins

Date	Game	Score
19/05/19	Palencia v Bilbao	61-57
17/05/19	Palencia v Bilbao	81-87
12/05/19	Bilbao v Palencia	77-86
10/05/19	Bilbao v Palencia	93-73
31/03/19	Bilbao v Palencia	88-59
07/12/18	Palencia v Bilbao	78-71

Bilbaolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/05/19	A	Palencia	57-61
17/05/19	A	Palencia	87-81
12/05/19	H	Palencia	77-86
10/05/19	H	Palencia	93-73
03/05/19	A	Barcelona B	84-76
26/04/19	H	Real Canoe	93-62
21/04/19	A	Granada	70-72
14/04/19	H	Melilla	62-59
06/04/19	A	Ourense	82-70
31/03/19	H	Palencia	88-59

Palencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/05/19	H	Bilbao	61-57
17/05/19	H	Bilbao	81-87
12/05/19	A	Bilbao	86-77
10/05/19	A	Bilbao	73-93
03/05/19	A	Granada	60-73
26/04/19	H	Melilla	76-84
21/04/19	A	Ourense	55-52
13/04/19	A	Araberri	94-82
05/04/19	H	Caceres	70-76
31/03/19	A	Bilbao	59-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao

Primera FEB 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	68%
Home	WWWWL	74%
Away	WLWWL	63%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	38	19	19
Win %	68%	74%	63%
Points / game	77.4	82.5	72.3
Allowed / game	69.9	70.4	69.4
Point differential	+7.5	+12.1	+2.8
Avg total	147.3	152.8	141.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	42%	53%	32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	33% (3)	60% (5)
Overtime %	5%	0%	11%

Palencia

Primera FEB 2018-19

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	55%
Home	WLLLW	53%
Away	WWLLW	58%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	38	19	19
Win %	55%	53%	58%
Points / game	78.5	79.4	77.6
Allowed / game	79.1	79.9	78.2
Point differential	-0.5	-0.5	-0.5
Avg total	157.6	159.4	155.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	16%	5%	26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	79% (14)	78% (9)	80% (5)
Overtime %	11%	21%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Betis	34	30	4	88%	82.2	73.1	+9.1
2	Bilbao	38	26	12	68%	77.4	69.9	+7.5
3	Iberojet Palma	38	24	14	63%	77.7	73.4	+4.3
4	Ourense	37	23	14	62%	74.6	71.3	+3.3
5	Melilla	38	23	15	61%	74.4	74.2	+0.2
6	Oviedo	37	22	15	59%	76.5	71.4	+5.1
7	Valladolid	38	22	16	58%	78.0	74.4	+3.6
8	Granada	38	22	16	58%	74.8	71.3	+3.4
9	Palencia	38	21	17	55%	78.5	79.1	-0.5
10	Huesca	34	18	16	53%	76.4	75.8	+0.6
11	Forca Lleida	34	16	18	47%	73.5	72.8	+0.6
12	Leyma Coruna	34	14	20	41%	76.4	77.6	-1.2
13	Castello	34	13	21	38%	75.5	77.8	-2.3
14	Caceres	34	11	23	32%	70.2	75.5	-5.3
15	Real Canoe	34	11	23	32%	68.3	77.9	-9.6
16	Barcelona B	34	9	25	26%	70.1	74.5	-4.4
17	Prat Joventut	34	9	25	26%	71.2	80.1	-8.9
18	Araberri	34	7	27	21%	74.0	82.4	-8.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

← all games of the day

Bilbao vs Palencia Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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