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BK Liepaja vs Tallinna Kalev Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 87-63
29-16 20-15 18-20 20-12
Position#11
Record4-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game85.9
vs
Position#16
Record2-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game65.4
Allowed / game79.3
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Liepajas Olimpiskais centrs (Liep
Other2023
Meetings · BK Liepaja v Tallinna Kalev
09 Nov 2023
BK L87
TALL63
29 Oct 2022
BK L86
TALL83
19 Mar 2022
BK L79
TALL80
13 Mar 2019
BK L94
TALL88
21 Feb 2017
BK L86
TALL73
16 Oct 2010
BK L82
TALL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Liepaja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tallinna Kalev winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#3
W
111-108 OT
111
108
+3
no box
H07/05
LBL
BK Ogre
#3
L
81-82
81
82
-1
no box
A10/05
LBL
BK Ogre
#3
W
82-75
82
75
+7
no box
H13/05
LBL
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
92-70
92
70
+22
82avg 75
H01/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
W
102-96 OT
102
96
+6
94avg 75
A06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
90-93
90
93
-3
87avg 75
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
62-86
62
86
-24
52avg 75
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
70-103
70
103
-33
53avg 75
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
99-88
99
88
+11
96avg 75
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
72-65
72
65
+7
62avg 75
H02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-29
12-28
19-11
26-18
20-26
24-24
19-16
18-16
19-25
20-17
21-19
22-14
25-19
13-16
36-26
18-9
28-23
22-18
14-23
23-23
16-19
16-24
29-27
29-23
20-22
13-22
16-22
13-20
15-26
17-28
21-27
17-22
35-21
18-24
17-18
29-25
21-21
19-22
16-12
16-10
172.7Avg total
86.1Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.985.9169.7-2.057%
Season at home (4)88.279.0167.2+9.275%
Season away (3)78.095.0173.0-17.033%
Last 10 (10)86.186.6172.7-0.560%
Last 5 (5)78.687.0165.6-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)73.990.1164.0-16.127%
vs Similar (8)85.880.6166.4+5.175%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)80.068.6148.6+11.486%
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tallinna KalevLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKalev
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
73-84
73
84
-11
62avg 54
A16/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
64-92
64
92
-28
54avg 54
H19/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
38-84
38
84
-46
27avg 54
A22/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#10
W
78-72
78
72
+6
80avg 54
A22/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
87-79
87
79
+8
75avg 54
H30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
L
56-69
56
69
-13
50avg 54
H08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
51-98
51
98
-47
33avg 54
A13/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
50-78
50
78
-28
41avg 54
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
73-82
73
82
-9
63avg 54
H29/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
63-77
63
77
-14
57avg 54
H01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
24-23
17-15
10-23
16-24
18-22
10-22
20-24
9-21
11-21
7-21
11-21
27-9
14-21
22-22
15-20
25-21
14-19
25-23
23-16
18-18
14-17
16-11
8-23
16-24
13-28
14-23
8-23
12-16
6-15
12-24
20-23
21-22
25-19
10-17
17-24
12-21
19-17
19-20
13-19
144.8Avg total
63.3Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)65.479.3144.7-13.929%
Season at home (4)69.876.8146.5-7.025%
Season away (3)59.782.7142.3-23.033%
Last 10 (10)63.381.5144.8-18.220%
Last 5 (5)58.680.8139.4-22.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)66.782.9149.6-16.215%
vs Similar (7)79.682.6162.1-3.014%
vs Weaker (3)91.376.3167.7+15.067%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -7.1-7.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -7.1-7.1
BK LiepajaTallinna Kalev
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#3
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H07/05
LBL
BK Ogre
#3
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A10/05
LBL
BK Ogre
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H13/05
LBL
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H01/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
85.6Avg total
40.2Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.881.6-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.141.082.1+0.150%-
Last 30 away (14)38.442.781.1-4.436%-
Last 10 (10)40.245.485.6-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)38.045.883.8-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)36.744.681.3-7.927%-
vs Similar (8)44.144.488.5-0.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.632.974.4+8.786%-
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tallinna KalevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A16/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H19/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
20-42
20
42
-22
A22/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#10
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A22/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A13/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
18-31
18
31
-13
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H29/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
73.7Avg total
33.6Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.539.875.3-4.327%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.839.676.4-2.825%-
Last 30 away (14)34.040.174.1-6.129%-
Last 10 (10)33.640.173.7-6.520%-
Last 5 (5)31.239.470.6-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)32.640.072.7-7.420%-
vs Similar (7)41.040.081.0+1.029%-
vs Weaker (3)42.037.779.7+4.367%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.7 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.9
53.1%
50.5%39.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.6
33.5%
32.1%28.7
🏀 Free throws19.614.6
74.5%
70.5%14.6
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tallinna Kalevtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tallinna Kalev: 62.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.015.0
44.1%
50.5%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.26.6
26.2%
32.1%19.8
🏀 Free throws18.012.6
70.0%
70.5%12.6
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/10 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Liepaja
WWLLLWWWLW
Tallinna Kalev
LLLLLWWLLL
#11
League position
#16
-2.2
Net rating
-25.6
106.5
Offensive rating
85.4
108.7
Defensive rating
111.0
51.8%
Effective FG%
42.1%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
20.2%
Turnover %
22.7%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.5%
3-point %
26.2%
57.3%
Assist %
60.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 85.4Defence108.7 · 111.0Shooting51.8% · 42.1%3-point %33.5% · 26.2%Ball care20.2% · 22.7%Off. rebounds31.8% · 27.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ BK Liepaja   ■ Tallinna Kalev
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
BK Liepaja wins
3
Tallinna Kalev wins
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/23HRapla72-65
28/10/23HKeila KK99-88
21/10/23APrometey70-103
14/10/23ABK Ogre62-86
10/10/23HBC Kalev/Cramo90-93
06/10/23AVentspils102-96 OT
01/10/23HLatvijas Universitate92-70
13/05/23HBK Ogre82-75
10/05/23ABK Ogre81-82
07/05/23HBK Ogre111-108 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/23HTartu Ulikool63-77
29/10/23HTal Tech73-82
21/10/23ARigas Zelli50-78
13/10/23ABC Kalev/Cramo51-98
08/10/23HViimsi56-69
30/09/23HValmiera Glass Via87-79
22/09/23ARapla78-72
22/04/23ABC Kalev/Cramo38-84
19/04/23HBC Kalev/Cramo64-92
16/04/23ABC Kalev/Cramo73-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Liepaja
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW57%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game83.988.278.0
Allowed / game85.979.095.0
Point differential-2.0+9.2-17.0
Avg total169.7167.2173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %14%0%33%
Tallinna Kalev
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game65.469.859.7
Allowed / game79.376.882.7
Point differential-13.9-7.0-23.0
Avg total144.7146.5142.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo770100%92.667.6+25.0
2 Rigas Zelli76186%78.062.7+15.3
3 Prometey65183%89.070.3+18.7
4 Tartu Ulikool86275%78.970.0+8.9
5 Tal Tech96367%81.078.6+2.4
6 VEF Riga74357%84.768.0+16.7
7 Parnu74357%74.072.9+1.1
8 BK Liepaja74357%83.985.9-2.0
9 BK Ogre95456%79.973.9+6.0
10 Ventspils84450%90.088.5+1.5
11 Keila KK83538%78.881.1-2.4
12 Rapla103730%73.876.7-2.9
13 Tallinna Kalev72529%65.479.3-13.9
14 Valmiera Glass Via92722%73.986.9-13.0
15 Latvijas Universitate102820%68.284.9-16.7
16 Viimsi91811%63.489.6-26.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BK Liepaja2920182087
Tallinna Kalev1615201263
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