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BK Liepaja vs Rapla Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 72-65
21-21 19-22 16-12 16-10
Position#11
Record3-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game89.3
vs
Position#10
Record3-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game75.9
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Liepajas Olimpiskais centrs (Liep
Other2023
Meetings · BK Liepaja v Rapla
15 Jan 2025
BK L81
RAPL99
02 Nov 2023
BK L72
RAPL65
22 Dec 2022
BK L69
RAPL71
12 Mar 2022
BK L61
RAPL63
28 Oct 2018
BK L82
RAPL89
25 Oct 2016
BK L78
RAPL54
06 Jan 2015
BK L87
RAPL68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Liepaja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rapla winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#3
W
78-66
78
66
+12
no box
A04/05
LBL
BK Ogre
#3
W
111-108 OT
111
108
+3
no box
H07/05
LBL
BK Ogre
#3
L
81-82
81
82
-1
no box
A10/05
LBL
BK Ogre
#3
W
82-75
82
75
+7
no box
H13/05
LBL
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
92-70
92
70
+22
82avg 77
H01/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
W
102-96 OT
102
96
+6
94avg 77
A06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
90-93
90
93
-3
87avg 77
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
62-86
62
86
-24
52avg 77
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
70-103
70
103
-33
53avg 77
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
99-88
99
88
+11
96avg 77
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-19
19-19
11-15
17-13
29-29
12-28
19-11
26-18
20-26
24-24
19-16
18-16
19-25
20-17
21-19
22-14
25-19
13-16
36-26
18-9
28-23
22-18
14-23
23-23
16-19
16-24
29-27
29-23
20-22
13-22
16-22
13-20
15-26
17-28
21-27
17-22
35-21
18-24
17-18
29-25
173.4Avg total
86.7Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.889.3175.2-3.550%
Season at home (3)93.783.7177.3+10.067%
Season away (3)78.095.0173.0-17.033%
Last 10 (10)86.786.7173.4+0.060%
Last 5 (5)84.693.2177.8-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)72.989.7162.6-16.825%
vs Similar ◀ (7)87.782.9170.6+4.971%
vs Weaker (7)80.068.6148.6+11.486%
This opponent (Rapla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
Parnu
#3
W
75-58
75
58
+17
65avg 65
A25/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
65-78
65
78
-13
55avg 65
H28/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#16
L
72-78
72
78
-6
57avg 65
H22/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
61avg 65
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
70avg 65
A06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
66-90
66
90
-24
55avg 65
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
71-63
71
63
+8
68avg 65
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
88-67
88
67
+21
92avg 65
A22/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
79-86
79
86
-7
72avg 65
A25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
67-71
67
71
-4
55avg 65
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
21-18
16-14
22-13
14-21
14-21
20-16
17-20
9-27
21-14
22-22
20-15
23-13
11-25
18-12
14-16
21-20
19-14
14-19
14-15
8-28
18-22
25-21
15-19
20-16
22-18
23-17
6-12
26-13
16-27
23-12
23-15
32-16
15-28
21-21
11-21
16-16
18-19
13-15
20-21
147.8Avg total
73.5Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.475.9150.2-1.538%
Season at home (3)70.070.7140.7-0.733%
Season away (5)77.079.0156.0-2.040%
Last 10 (10)73.574.3147.8-0.840%
Last 5 (5)74.275.4149.6-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.482.4155.9-9.022%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.080.6155.6-5.620%
vs Weaker (11)83.268.8152.0+14.482%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
BK LiepajaRapla
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#3
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A04/05
LBL
BK Ogre
#3
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H07/05
LBL
BK Ogre
#3
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A10/05
LBL
BK Ogre
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H13/05
LBL
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H01/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
86.1Avg total
41.2Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.981.7-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.240.982.1+0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)38.443.081.4-4.633%-
Last 10 (10)41.244.986.1-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)40.045.485.4-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)36.944.881.6-7.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)44.744.689.3+0.143%-
vs Weaker (7)41.632.974.4+8.786%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parnu
#3
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A25/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H28/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#16
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H22/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
26-50
26
50
-24
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A22/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
74.9Avg total
36.0Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.339.877.1-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.940.676.5-4.733%-
Last 30 away (15)38.739.177.7-0.453%-
Last 10 (10)36.038.974.9-2.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.678.8-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.841.975.7-8.111%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.942.279.1-5.330%-
vs Weaker (11)40.536.076.5+4.582%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.3 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.2
53.8%
50.5%40.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.8
34.3%
32.1%29.5
🏀 Free throws19.815.0
75.6%
70.5%15.0
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.119.5
48.6%
50.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.0
30.0%
32.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws14.99.5
63.8%
70.5%9.5
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 02 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Liepaja
WLLLWWWLWW
Rapla
LLWWLLWLLW
#11
League position
#10
-4.4
Net rating
-1.7
107.5
Offensive rating
97.3
111.9
Defensive rating
99.1
52.8%
Effective FG%
47.2%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
20.8%
Turnover %
18.7%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.22
34.3%
3-point %
30.0%
56.7%
Assist %
64.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 97.3Defence111.9 · 99.1Shooting52.8% · 47.2%3-point %34.3% · 30.0%Ball care20.8% · 18.7%Off. rebounds31.9% · 30.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ BK Liepaja   ■ Rapla
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
BK Liepaja wins
7
Rapla wins
DateGameScore
22/12/22BK Liepaja v Rapla69-71
07/10/22Rapla v BK Liepaja75-71
12/03/22BK Liepaja v Rapla61-63
11/12/21Rapla v BK Liepaja105-69
26/01/19Rapla v BK Liepaja99-96
28/10/18BK Liepaja v Rapla82-89
10/01/17Rapla v BK Liepaja83-71
25/10/16BK Liepaja v Rapla78-54
06/01/15BK Liepaja v Rapla87-68
04/11/14Rapla v BK Liepaja72-76
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23HKeila KK99-88
21/10/23APrometey70-103
14/10/23ABK Ogre62-86
10/10/23HBC Kalev/Cramo90-93
06/10/23AVentspils102-96 OT
01/10/23HLatvijas Universitate92-70
13/05/23HBK Ogre82-75
10/05/23ABK Ogre81-82
07/05/23HBK Ogre111-108 OT
04/05/23ABK Ogre78-66
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23HBC Kalev/Cramo67-71
25/10/23ATal Tech79-86
22/10/23AViimsi88-67
17/10/23HLatvijas Universitate71-63
14/10/23APrometey66-90
06/10/23AValmiera Glass Via75-77 OT
29/09/23ABK Ogre77-75 OT
22/09/23HTallinna Kalev72-78
28/04/23HParnu65-78
25/04/23AParnu75-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Liepaja
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game85.893.778.0
Allowed / game89.383.795.0
Point differential-3.5+10.0-17.0
Avg total175.2177.3173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %17%0%33%
Rapla
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL38%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %38%33%40%
Points / game74.470.077.0
Allowed / game75.970.779.0
Point differential-1.5-0.7-2.0
Avg total150.2140.7156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %25%0%40%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Prometey550100%91.667.4+24.2
2 BC Kalev/Cramo660100%91.367.2+24.2
3 Tal Tech76186%86.477.9+8.6
4 Rigas Zelli65183%77.564.7+12.8
5 Tartu Ulikool75271%76.969.9+7.0
6 Parnu64267%74.768.3+6.3
7 VEF Riga63350%82.871.7+11.2
8 BK Ogre84450%79.273.6+5.6
9 BK Liepaja63350%85.889.3-3.5
10 Ventspils73443%90.390.0+0.3
11 Rapla83538%74.475.9-1.5
12 Keila KK72529%76.482.4-6.0
13 Tallinna Kalev72529%65.479.3-13.9
14 Valmiera Glass Via82625%74.286.1-11.9
15 Latvijas Universitate81712%66.185.1-19.0
16 Viimsi81712%65.688.8-23.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BK Liepaja2119161672
Rapla2122121065
← all games of the day
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