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BK Ogre vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 86-62
22-20 22-13 22-16 20-13
Position#7
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game73.5
BK Ogre 🏆
vs
Position#11
Record2-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game94.7
Allowed / game86.3
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Ogres
Other2023
Meetings · BK Ogre v BK Liepaja
17 Feb 2027
BK O v BK L
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
BK O76
BK L83
01 Mar 2025
BK O91
BK L96
18 Jan 2025
BK O69
BK L78
22 Apr 2024
BK O81
BK L85
16 Apr 2024
BK O94
BK L79
10 Apr 2024
BK O89
BK L81
06 Jan 2024
BK O74
BK L96
14 Oct 2023
BK O86
BK L62
10 May 2023
BK O82
BK L81
04 May 2023
BK O66
BK L78
19 Oct 2022
BK O81
BK L68
20 Apr 2022
BK O84
BK L69
14 Apr 2022
BK O82
BK L65
23 Mar 2022
BK O90
BK L76
15 May 2021
BK O v BK L
upcoming
09 May 2021
BK O90
BK L87
10 Mar 2021
BK O75
BK L98
30 Jan 2021
BK O92
BK L74
24 Oct 2020
BK O94
BK L77
17 Nov 2018
BK O95
BK L68
31 Mar 2018
BK O110
BK L74
29 Nov 2017
BK O77
BK L73
25 Mar 2017
BK O77
BK L87
03 Dec 2016
BK O71
BK L53
12 Mar 2016
BK O77
BK L86
28 Nov 2015
BK O54
BK L92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Ogre winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BK Liepaja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOgre
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#4
L
81-94
81
94
-13
no box
A25/04
LBL
Ventspils
#4
L
79-93
79
93
-14
no box
H27/04
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
L
66-78
66
78
-12
no box
H04/05
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
L
108-111 OT
108
111
-3
no box
A07/05
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
H10/05
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
no box
A13/05
LBL
Rapla
#10
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
76avg 79
H29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
74-94
74
94
-20
66avg 79
H04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
78-64
78
64
+14
75avg 79
A07/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
91-59
91
59
+32
99avg 79
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
25-30
15-19
17-21
24-27
17-24
14-25
24-17
19-31
19-19
15-11
13-17
29-29
28-12
11-19
18-26
26-20
24-24
16-19
16-18
25-19
17-20
19-21
14-22
13-23
25-11
12-18
16-14
22-17
14-27
20-27
18-23
21-14
19-9
18-18
20-23
23-15
29-19
18-14
21-11
164.2Avg total
80.9Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.573.5153.0+6.050%
Season at home (2)74.585.5160.0-11.00%
Season away (2)84.561.5146.0+23.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.983.3164.2-2.430%
Last 5 (5)78.675.2153.8+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.984.6156.4-12.714%
vs Similar (11)81.784.4166.1-2.645%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)88.672.7161.2+15.975%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#1
W
78-75
78
75
+3
no box
A26/04
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
60-92
60
92
-32
no box
H28/04
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
61-87
61
87
-26
no box
A30/04
LBL
BK Ogre
#3
W
78-66
78
66
+12
no box
A04/05
LBL
BK Ogre
#3
W
111-108 OT
111
108
+3
no box
H07/05
LBL
BK Ogre
#3
L
81-82
81
82
-1
no box
A10/05
LBL
BK Ogre
#3
W
82-75
82
75
+7
no box
H13/05
LBL
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
92-70
92
70
+22
82avg 87
H01/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
W
102-96 OT
102
96
+6
94avg 87
A06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
90-93
90
93
-3
87avg 87
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
17-17
22-18
17-24
11-24
11-23
20-25
18-20
17-26
18-22
14-18
12-21
31-19
19-19
11-15
17-13
29-29
12-28
19-11
26-18
20-26
24-24
19-16
18-16
19-25
20-17
21-19
22-14
25-19
13-16
36-26
18-9
28-23
22-18
14-23
23-23
16-19
16-24
29-27
29-23
167.9Avg total
83.5Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)94.786.3181.0+8.367%
Season at home (2)91.081.5172.5+9.550%
Season away (1)102.096.0198.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.584.4167.9-0.960%
Last 5 (5)89.483.2172.6+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)75.587.9163.4-12.431%
vs Similar (7)85.481.9167.3+3.671%
vs Weaker (7)80.068.6148.6+11.486%
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.9+1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.9+1.9
BK OgreBK Liepaja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#4
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A25/04
LBL
Ventspils
#4
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H27/04
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H04/05
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A07/05
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H10/05
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A13/05
LBL
Rapla
#10
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
40-23
40
23
+17
A07/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
85.7Avg total
44.3Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.742.384.0-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.744.185.7-2.433%-
Last 30 away (15)41.840.582.3+1.347%-
Last 10 (10)44.341.485.7+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)41.634.876.4+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.642.679.1-6.014%-
vs Similar (11)41.946.188.0-4.227%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.638.783.2+5.967%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#1
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A26/04
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
22-47
22
47
-25
H28/04
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A30/04
LBL
BK Ogre
#3
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A04/05
LBL
BK Ogre
#3
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H07/05
LBL
BK Ogre
#3
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A10/05
LBL
BK Ogre
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H13/05
LBL
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H01/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
82.4Avg total
39.0Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.781.8-1.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.940.781.6+0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)39.342.782.1-3.440%-
Last 10 (10)39.043.482.4-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.282.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.244.682.8-6.431%-
vs Similar (7)43.144.087.1-0.943%-
vs Weaker (7)41.632.974.4+8.786%-
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Ogre: 65.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.2
52.6%
50.5%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.05.0
29.4%
32.1%15.0
🏀 Free throws19.614.0
71.4%
70.5%14.0
They take 51.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 94.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.3 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.723.7
58.2%
50.5%47.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.0
33.7%
32.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.316.7
78.1%
70.5%16.7
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/3 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Ogre
WWLLLWLLLL
BK Liepaja
LWWWLWWLLW
#7
League position
#11
+9.8
Net rating
+11.2
103.5
Offensive rating
117.1
93.7
Defensive rating
105.9
49.8%
Effective FG%
55.0%
46.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
22.4%
Turnover %
18.8%
36.2%
Off. rebound %
36.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.4%
3-point %
33.7%
74.1%
Assist %
56.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 117.1Defence93.7 · 105.9Shooting49.8% · 55.0%3-point %29.4% · 33.7%Ball care22.4% · 18.8%Off. rebounds36.2% · 36.0%Free throws0.38 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ BK Ogre   ■ BK Liepaja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
BK Ogre wins
3
BK Liepaja wins
DateGameScore
13/05/23BK Liepaja v BK Ogre82-75
10/05/23BK Ogre v BK Liepaja82-81
07/05/23BK Liepaja v BK Ogre111-108 OT
04/05/23BK Ogre v BK Liepaja66-78
10/02/23BK Liepaja v BK Ogre68-99
19/10/22BK Ogre v BK Liepaja81-68
20/04/22BK Ogre v BK Liepaja84-69
16/04/22BK Liepaja v BK Ogre84-89
14/04/22BK Ogre v BK Liepaja82-65
23/03/22BK Ogre v BK Liepaja90-76
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/23AViimsi91-59
07/10/23ALatvijas Universitate78-64
04/10/23HVEF Riga74-94
29/09/23HRapla75-77 OT
13/05/23ABK Liepaja75-82
10/05/23HBK Liepaja82-81
07/05/23ABK Liepaja108-111 OT
04/05/23HBK Liepaja66-78
27/04/23HVentspils79-93
25/04/23AVentspils81-94
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/23HBC Kalev/Cramo90-93
06/10/23AVentspils102-96 OT
01/10/23HLatvijas Universitate92-70
13/05/23HBK Ogre82-75
10/05/23ABK Ogre81-82
07/05/23HBK Ogre111-108 OT
04/05/23ABK Ogre78-66
30/04/23AVEF Riga61-87
28/04/23HVEF Riga60-92
26/04/23AVEF Riga78-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game79.574.584.5
Allowed / game73.585.561.5
Point differential+6.0-11.0+23.0
Avg total153.0160.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
BK Liepaja
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game94.791.0102.0
Allowed / game86.381.596.0
Point differential+8.3+9.5+6.0
Avg total181.0172.5198.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %33%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Prometey220100%97.567.5+30.0
2 BC Kalev/Cramo440100%92.267.0+25.2
3 Tal Tech32167%83.771.3+12.3
4 VEF Riga32167%84.072.7+11.3
5 BK Liepaja32167%94.786.3+8.3
6 Rigas Zelli32167%70.363.3+7.0
7 Parnu32167%74.773.7+1.0
8 BK Ogre42250%79.573.5+6.0
9 Ventspils21150%92.092.5-0.5
10 Tallinna Kalev42250%68.079.5-11.5
11 Tartu Ulikool31233%72.372.7-0.3
12 Rapla31233%74.776.7-2.0
13 Valmiera Glass Via41325%77.281.8-4.5
14 Keila KK41325%71.580.2-8.8
15 Latvijas Universitate41325%69.289.0-19.8
16 Viimsi51420%64.087.8-23.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BK Ogre2222222086
BK Liepaja2013161362
← all games of the day
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