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BK Liepaja vs Valga Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 29 Dec 2015
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 96-73
18-19 24-15 26-14 28-25
Position#4
Record12-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game67.6
vs
Position#7
Record4-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game86.9
LatviaLBL
Other2015-16
Meetings · BK Liepaja v Valga
03 Nov 2018
BK L85
VALG76
10 Mar 2018
BK L81
VALG89
29 Mar 2017
BK L108
VALG85
29 Dec 2015
BK L96
VALG73
04 Oct 2012
BK L96
VALG66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Liepaja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK LiepajaLatviaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skycop
#2
L
60-89
60
89
-29
A25/11
Baltic League
BK Ogre
#10
W
92-54
92
54
+38
A28/11
LBL
Jurmala
#11
L
68-90
68
90
-22
H01/12
Baltic League
Latvijas Universitate
#11
W
80-56
80
56
+24
H05/12
LBL
Jelgava
#9
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H08/12
LBL
Skycop
#2
L
102-107 OT
102
107
-5
H11/12
Baltic League
Tal Tech
#16
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A15/12
Baltic League
Rakvere Tarvas
#9
W
77-59
77
59
+18
A16/12
Baltic League
Ventspils
#2
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A23/12
LBL
Valmiera/ORDO
#1
W
91-87
91
87
+4
H26/12
LBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-18
14-24
13-31
23-16
24-8
20-16
29-18
19-12
18-19
21-31
12-16
17-24
24-9
14-14
17-19
25-14
22-13
11-22
16-18
24-19
20-16
17-17
24-18
14-24
20-15
12-11
21-19
12-18
24-16
18-13
23-15
12-15
19-18
12-28
23-10
11-21
19-14
21-30
25-24
26-19
152.7Avg total
77.3Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.967.6148.5+13.380%
Season at home (8)83.568.1151.6+15.4100%
Season away (7)78.067.0145.0+11.057%
Last 10 (10)77.375.4152.7+1.960%
Last 5 (5)80.078.6158.6+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.684.8157.4-12.220%
vs Similar (10)77.275.3152.5+1.970%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)81.465.3146.7+16.180%
This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValgaLatviaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barons Kvartals
#8
W
96-91
96
91
+5
A15/11
LBL
Tal Tech
#7
W
92-73
92
73
+19
A17/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
72-86
72
86
-14
H20/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Jelgava
#9
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H25/11
LBL
Jekabpils
#5
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A28/11
LBL
Rakvere Tarvas
#5
L
82-104
82
104
-22
H05/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Latvijas Universitate
#11
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H09/12
LBL
Parnu
#6
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H11/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
L
68-84
68
84
-16
H15/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valmiera/ORDO
#1
L
80-97
80
97
-17
H23/12
LBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
27-32
21-20
25-12
24-20
25-20
22-19
21-14
8-22
24-20
14-17
26-27
19-20
28-21
20-17
19-22
21-19
19-20
15-23
18-21
20-30
31-21
21-23
10-30
26-21
24-16
10-25
16-10
27-26
18-15
19-18
15-12
14-21
18-23
19-28
17-12
21-34
18-17
16-23
25-23
164.5Avg total
80.4Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.586.9162.4-11.450%
Season at home (4)77.277.5154.8-0.275%
Season away (4)73.896.2170.0-22.525%
Last 10 (10)80.484.1164.5-3.750%
Last 5 (5)77.085.6162.6-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)72.186.8158.9-14.818%
vs Similar (7)88.684.0172.6+4.671%
vs Weaker (6)90.372.7163.0+17.783%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.9+0.9
BK LiepajaValga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skycop
#2
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A25/11
Baltic League
BK Ogre
#10
W
44-24
44
24
+20
A28/11
LBL
Jurmala
#11
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H01/12
Baltic League
Latvijas Universitate
#11
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H05/12
LBL
Jelgava
#9
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H08/12
LBL
Skycop
#2
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H11/12
Baltic League
Tal Tech
#16
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A15/12
Baltic League
Rakvere Tarvas
#9
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A16/12
Baltic League
Ventspils
#2
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A23/12
LBL
Valmiera/ORDO
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H26/12
LBL
71.2Avg total
36.0Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.334.671.9+2.848%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.535.373.8+3.244%-
Last 30 away (13)35.833.669.5+2.254%-
Last 10 (10)36.035.271.2+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)36.435.672.0+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.439.671.0-8.220%-
vs Similar (10)39.339.578.8-0.230%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)38.029.267.2+8.871%-
This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barons Kvartals
#8
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A15/11
LBL
Tal Tech
#7
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A17/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H20/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Jelgava
#9
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H25/11
LBL
Jekabpils
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A28/11
LBL
Rakvere Tarvas
#5
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H05/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Latvijas Universitate
#11
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H09/12
LBL
Parnu
#6
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H11/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H15/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valmiera/ORDO
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H23/12
LBL
88.0Avg total
43.5Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.042.683.6-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.242.984.1-1.740%-
Last 30 away (15)40.942.283.1-1.347%-
Last 10 (10)43.544.588.0-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)43.444.888.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.843.880.6-7.029%-
vs Similar (7)45.643.388.9+2.357%-
vs Weaker (6)47.738.285.8+9.567%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
BK Liepaja wins
1
Valga wins
DateGameScore
16/11/12Valga v BK Liepaja60-57
04/10/12BK Liepaja v Valga96-66
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/15HValmiera/ORDO91-87
23/12/15AVentspils65-77
16/12/15ARakvere Tarvas77-59
15/12/15ATal Tech65-63
11/12/15HSkycop102-107 OT
08/12/15HJelgava73-72
05/12/15HLatvijas Universitate80-56
01/12/15HJurmala68-90
28/11/15ABK Ogre92-54
25/11/15ASkycop60-89
Valgalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/15HValmiera/ORDO80-97
15/12/15HRapla68-84
11/12/15HParnu79-71
09/12/15HLatvijas Universitate76-72
05/12/15HRakvere Tarvas82-104
28/11/15AJekabpils73-83
25/11/15HJelgava86-80
20/11/15HTartu Ulikool72-86
17/11/15ATal Tech92-73
15/11/15ABarons Kvartals96-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Liepaja
LBL 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %80%100%57%
Points / game80.983.578.0
Allowed / game67.668.167.0
Point differential+13.3+15.4+11.0
Avg total148.5151.6145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valga
LBL 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game75.577.273.8
Allowed / game86.977.596.2
Point differential-11.4-0.2-22.5
Avg total162.4154.8170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ventspils1614288%86.964.2+22.8
2 BK Liepaja1512380%80.967.6+13.3
3 VEF Riga97278%86.671.7+14.9
4 Valmiera/ORDO1611569%82.175.9+6.1
5 Valga84450%75.586.9-11.4
6 Jurmala157847%79.077.3+1.7
7 Jekabpils157847%73.376.0-2.7
8 Jelgava1661038%71.177.9-6.8
9 Barons Kvartals1541127%78.385.3-7.1
10 BK Ogre1431121%70.890.7-19.9
11 Latvijas Universitate1521313%74.087.1-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BK Liepaja1824262896
Valga1915142573
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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