BK Liepaja vs Valga Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Mar 2017

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 108-85

30-25 27-19 31-19 20-22

Position#6

Record13-15

FormLWLLW

Points / game79.0

Allowed / game80.6

BK Liepaja 🏆

Valga

Position#9

Record3-14

FormLWLWL

Points / game74.5

Allowed / game90.8

LBL

Other2016-17

Meetings · BK Liepaja v Valga

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Liepaja winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Valga winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK Liepaja Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jurmala

95-81

+14

A18/02

LBL

Tallinna Kalev

#17

86-73

+13

H21/02

Baltic League

Valmiera/ORDO

99-103 OT

103

-4

A25/02

LBL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

80-89

-9

H01/03

Baltic League

Latvijas Universitate

#10

106-82

106

+24

H04/03

LBL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

93-109

109

-16

A08/03

Baltic League

Jurmala

69-66

H11/03

LBL

Jekabpils

65-90

-25

A18/03

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

79-86

-7

H22/03

LBL

BK Ogre

87-77

+10

A25/03

LBL

21-11

23-17

24-22

27-31

15-16

25-15

25-22

21-20

19-17

20-21

23-30

25-19

19-22

19-16

25-27

17-24

30-17

22-20

30-18

24-27

20-27

29-21

17-30

27-31

18-16

13-20

22-18

16-12

15-21

17-25

19-21

14-23

25-25

22-21

15-25

17-15

20-18

16-22

23-13

28-24

171.5Avg total

85.9Scored

85.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	79.0	80.6	159.6	-1.6	46%
Season at home (13)	80.1	82.4	162.5	-2.3	46%
Season away (15)	78.1	79.1	157.2	-0.9	47%
Last 10 (10)	85.9	85.6	171.5	+0.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.6	85.6	164.2	-7.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	81.5	93.7	175.2	-12.3	0%
vs Similar (9)	80.7	79.8	160.4	+0.9	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	86.3	71.4	157.7	+14.9	90%

This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valga

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jekabpils

62-94

-32

A15/02

LBL

Audentese

108-53

108

+55

H21/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

69-85

-16

A24/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Barons Kvartals

79-98

-19

H26/02

LBL

Tal Tech

77-102

102

-25

A01/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rapla

70-72

-2

H07/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rakvere Tarvas

97-76

+21

A11/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BK Ogre

89-98

-9

A15/03

LBL

Tallinna Kalev

84-59

+25

A21/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rapla

78-80

-2

A25/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

12-18

24-28

11-34

15-14

30-9

29-8

33-15

16-21

19-24

15-19

14-28

21-14

28-26

16-19

14-24

21-29

22-34

21-17

15-28

19-23

18-19

17-20

20-15

15-18

36-19

20-30

17-13

24-14

17-30

26-23

24-24

22-21

28-17

17-13

17-15

22-14

14-19

30-27

20-18

14-16

163.0Avg total

81.3Scored

81.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	74.5	90.8	165.3	-16.4	18%
Season at home (9)	76.0	89.8	165.8	-13.8	22%
Season away (8)	72.8	92.0	164.8	-19.2	12%
Last 10 (10)	81.3	81.7	163.0	-0.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	83.6	77.0	160.6	+6.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	73.1	89.7	162.8	-16.6	5%
vs Similar (8)	79.6	86.4	166.0	-6.8	25%
vs Weaker (3)	98.0	78.3	176.3	+19.7	67%

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BK LiepajaValga

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	18.4	39.7	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	19.4	40.3	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.7	17.5	39.2	+4.2	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.4	41.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.9	21.2	41.1	-1.3	55%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.7	16.9	38.6	+4.8	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	22.6	16.6	39.2	+6.0	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	22.2	42.2	-2.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	20.9	41.2	-0.5	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	23.8	43.3	-4.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	21.5	43.9	+0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	20.8	43.4	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	17.8	22.4	40.3	-4.6	16%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.0	24.1	45.1	-3.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (3)	30.7	16.0	46.7	+14.7	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.7	39.6	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	18.6	37.8	+0.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	20.7	41.2	-0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.8	40.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.8	41.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.1	22.0	40.1	-3.9	36%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.8	21.0	39.8	-2.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	23.0	16.0	39.0	+7.0	90%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	21.7	40.4	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.0	21.4	39.4	-3.4	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	22.1	41.4	-2.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	20.4	41.9	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	22.6	44.6	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.0	22.3	40.3	-4.3	26%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.5	19.8	38.2	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.0	23.3	46.3	-0.3	33%	-

BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jurmala

44-28

+16

A18/02

LBL

Tallinna Kalev

#17

40-31

H21/02

Baltic League

Valmiera/ORDO

39-38

A25/02

LBL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

38-38

H01/03

Baltic League

Latvijas Universitate

#10

52-37

+15

H04/03

LBL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

49-48

A08/03

Baltic League

Jurmala

31-36

-5

H11/03

LBL

Jekabpils

32-46

-14

A18/03

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

47-46

H22/03

LBL

BK Ogre

36-40

-4

A25/03

LBL

79.6Avg total

40.8Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	38.1	79.3	+3.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.1	37.9	78.1	+2.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.2	38.2	80.4	+4.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	38.8	79.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	43.2	82.2	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	38.0	43.2	81.2	-5.2	36%	-
vs Similar (9)	40.4	37.9	78.3	+2.6	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	45.6	32.6	78.2	+13.0	100%	-

This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jekabpils

36-46

-10

A15/02

LBL

Audentese

59-17

+42

H21/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

34-43

-9

A24/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Barons Kvartals

44-45

-1

H26/02

LBL

Tal Tech

43-51

-8

A01/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rapla

35-39

-4

H07/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rakvere Tarvas

56-49

A11/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BK Ogre

43-53

-10

A15/03

LBL

Tallinna Kalev

45-30

+15

A21/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rapla

44-46

-2

A25/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

85.8Avg total

43.9Scored

41.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	44.0	82.6	-5.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.4	42.3	80.7	-3.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.9	45.9	84.7	-7.0	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	41.9	85.8	+2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	43.4	88.0	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	35.8	44.7	80.6	-8.9	21%	-
vs Similar (8)	39.5	43.9	83.4	-4.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (3)	53.7	39.3	93.0	+14.3	67%	-

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.5	42.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	20.9	43.0	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	22.1	41.6	-2.7	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	22.6	44.9	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.4	40.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.3	24.2	44.5	-3.9	18%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.8	20.2	42.0	+1.6	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	21.5	39.8	-3.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.4	21.6	39.0	-4.1	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	21.4	40.6	-2.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	21.4	39.9	-2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.0	36.6	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	17.5	22.2	39.7	-4.6	21%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.6	20.8	39.4	-2.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.0	19.3	41.3	+2.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.4	39.7	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	19.7	38.1	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	22.6	44.2	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.0	41.4	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.5	21.9	41.5	-2.4	36%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.3	20.6	39.9	-1.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	18.9	18.6	37.5	+0.3	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.8	42.1	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	22.2	42.8	-1.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	21.2	41.4	-1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	18.4	37.3	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	16.6	36.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	19.5	22.1	41.6	-2.6	37%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.5	21.8	43.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.3	19.7	42.0	+2.7	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	41.9	81.9	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.6	40.6	81.1	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.4	43.1	82.6	-3.7	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	45.2	89.1	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	42.4	82.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	39.8	46.1	85.9	-6.3	18%	-
vs Similar (9)	39.3	40.3	79.7	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	40.7	38.8	79.5	+1.9	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	43.3	81.9	-4.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.9	43.8	81.8	-5.9	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.4	42.6	82.0	-3.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	39.8	77.2	-2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	33.6	72.6	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	37.1	44.3	81.3	-7.2	21%	-
vs Similar (8)	40.1	42.5	82.6	-2.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (3)	44.3	39.0	83.3	+5.3	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

BK Liepaja wins

Valga wins

Date	Game	Score
21/12/16	Valga v BK Liepaja	58-93
02/04/16	Valga v BK Liepaja	84-67
29/12/15	BK Liepaja v Valga	96-73
16/11/12	Valga v BK Liepaja	60-57
04/10/12	BK Liepaja v Valga	96-66

BK Liepajalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/03/17	A	BK Ogre	87-77
22/03/17	H	Valmiera/ORDO	79-86
18/03/17	A	Jekabpils	65-90
11/03/17	H	Jurmala	69-66
08/03/17	A	Pieno Zvaigzdes	93-109
04/03/17	H	Latvijas Universitate	106-82
01/03/17	H	Pieno Zvaigzdes	80-89
25/02/17	A	Valmiera/ORDO	99-103 OT
21/02/17	H	Tallinna Kalev	86-73
18/02/17	A	Jurmala	95-81

Valgalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/03/17	A	Rapla	78-80
21/03/17	A	Tallinna Kalev	84-59
15/03/17	A	BK Ogre	89-98
11/03/17	A	Rakvere Tarvas	97-76
07/03/17	H	Rapla	70-72
01/03/17	A	Tal Tech	77-102
26/02/17	H	Barons Kvartals	79-98
24/02/17	A	Tartu Ulikool	69-85
21/02/17	H	Audentese	108-53
15/02/17	A	Jekabpils	62-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Liepaja

LBL 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	46%
Home	LLWWL	46%
Away	WWLLW	47%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	13	15
Win %	46%	46%	47%
Points / game	79.0	80.1	78.1
Allowed / game	80.6	82.4	79.1
Point differential	-1.6	-2.3	-0.9
Avg total	159.6	162.5	157.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	23%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	67% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	7%	8%	7%

Valga

LBL 2016-17

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	18%
Home	LLLLL	22%
Away	LLLLL	12%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	18%	22%	12%
Points / game	74.5	76.0	72.8
Allowed / game	90.8	89.8	92.0
Point differential	-16.4	-13.8	-19.2
Avg total	165.3	165.8	164.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	11%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	6%	11%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ventspils	27	24	3	89%	91.5	75.3	+16.2
2	VEF Riga	16	12	4	75%	83.4	72.5	+10.9
3	Valmiera/ORDO	29	19	10	66%	81.6	78.3	+3.3
4	Jekabpils	28	16	12	57%	78.0	72.7	+5.4
5	Barons Kvartals	26	13	13	50%	81.7	79.6	+2.1
6	BK Liepaja	28	13	15	46%	79.0	80.6	-1.6
7	BK Ogre	29	12	17	41%	77.1	82.3	-5.2
8	Jurmala	28	11	17	39%	75.4	78.2	-2.8
9	Latvijas Universitate	28	5	23	18%	69.8	82.6	-12.9
10	Valga	17	3	14	18%	74.5	90.8	-16.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
BK Liepaja	30	27	31	20	108
Valga	25	19	19	22	85

← all games of the day

BK Liepaja vs Valga Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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