PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

BK Ogre vs Prometey Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 82-90
23-25 19-22 21-20 19-23
Position#7
Record17-14
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game77.8
BK Ogre
vs
Prometey 🏆
Position#2
Record27-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game68.2
EuropeLatvia-Estonian LeagueLatvia-Estonian League - Quarter-finals· Ogres
Other2023
Meetings · BK Ogre v Prometey
03 Apr 2024
BK O82
PRM90
14 Feb 2024
BK O68
PRM91
17 Dec 2022
BK O79
PRM86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Ogre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Prometey winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOgre
Date
Competition
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
100-88
100
88
+12
104avg 76
A11/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
68-91
68
91
-23
57avg 76
H14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
L
61-72
61
72
-11
62avg 76
A21/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
83-75
83
75
+8
81avg 76
A27/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
89-65
89
65
+24
99avg 76
H02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
76-82
76
82
-6
68avg 76
A05/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
82-73
82
73
+9
76avg 76
A09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
W
105-99
105
99
+6
95avg 76
H13/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
74-81
74
81
-7
64avg 76
A20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
82-97
82
97
-15
74avg 76
A30/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
21-16
26-18
27-27
20-22
19-23
13-21
16-25
22-20
12-19
17-12
10-21
20-26
20-19
24-17
19-13
28-21
26-16
15-16
20-12
15-28
16-22
14-13
31-19
19-22
16-11
25-18
22-22
21-27
26-21
31-26
27-25
24-21
18-19
22-20
10-21
20-20
19-27
21-28
22-22
164.3Avg total
82.0Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)80.377.8158.1+2.555%
Season at home (15)81.975.7157.7+6.260%
Season away (16)78.879.7158.4-0.950%
Last 10 (10)82.082.3164.3-0.350%
Last 5 (5)83.886.4170.2-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)71.288.2159.3-17.017%
vs Similar (12)83.081.0164.0+2.058%
vs Weaker (12)83.070.8153.8+12.275%
This opponent (Prometey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrometeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrometey
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#11
W
83-70
83
70
+13
82avg 87
A28/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
76-83
76
83
-7
68avg 87
A02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Aris
#11
W
95-67
95
67
+28
97avg 87
H06/03
Eurocup
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
A09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
JL Bourg
#2
L
82-95
82
95
-13
81avg 87
A12/03
Eurocup
Keila KK
#12
W
113-59
113
59
+54
123avg 87
H17/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
102-61
102
61
+41
100avg 87
A20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
101-74
101
74
+27
103avg 87
H23/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
104-81
104
81
+23
101avg 87
A27/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
97-82
97
82
+15
99avg 87
H30/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
16-16
26-20
20-11
29-26
10-15
19-16
18-26
28-17
23-15
23-18
21-17
–
–
–
–
17-17
27-28
13-34
25-16
31-11
30-20
30-13
22-15
30-13
25-17
21-19
26-12
24-15
23-28
28-20
26-11
23-11
30-20
17-20
34-30
20-20
27-19
28-21
22-22
154.5Avg total
85.3Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)89.868.2158.0+21.687%
Season at home (16)94.469.9164.3+24.494%
Season away (15)85.066.3151.3+18.780%
Last 10 (10)85.369.2154.5+16.170%
Last 5 (5)103.471.4174.8+32.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)89.097.7186.7-8.733%
vs Similar (5)91.682.8174.4+8.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)89.769.3159.0+20.486%
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +7.8+7.8Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +6.0+6.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +7.8+7.8Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +6.0+6.0
BK OgrePrometey
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A11/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A21/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A27/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A05/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H13/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A30/03
Latvia-Estonian League
83.5Avg total
40.8Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.839.179.9+1.660%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.437.280.6+6.264%-
Last 30 away (16)38.440.879.2-2.456%-
Last 10 (10)40.842.783.5-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.843.682.4-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.344.581.8-7.233%-
vs Similar (12)41.439.981.3+1.558%-
vs Weaker (12)41.835.777.5+6.275%-
This opponent (Prometey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrometeyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A28/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Aris
#11
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H06/03
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#2
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A12/03
Eurocup
Keila KK
#12
W
61-31
61
31
+30
H17/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
55-30
55
30
+25
A20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H23/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A27/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H30/03
Latvia-Estonian League
85.0Avg total
48.2Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)47.638.486.1+9.276%-
Last 30 at home (13)49.236.986.1+12.292%-
Last 30 away (16)46.439.786.1+6.762%-
Last 10 (9)48.236.885.0+11.467%-
Last 5 (5)52.634.887.4+17.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)46.348.795.0-2.333%-
vs Similar (5)48.444.292.6+4.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)47.635.683.2+12.086%-
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Ogre: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.719.8
48.6%
50.5%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.3
34.7%
32.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.613.5
65.5%
70.5%13.5
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Prometeytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prometey: 93.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.724.8
59.5%
50.5%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.1
35.0%
32.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.016.7
79.5%
70.5%16.7
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Ogre
LLWWLWWLLW
Prometey
WWWWWLLWLW
#7
League position
#2
-1.6
Net rating
+25.2
107.2
Offensive rating
121.1
108.8
Defensive rating
95.9
50.0%
Effective FG%
56.8%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
18.0%
Turnover %
15.1%
35.5%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.7%
3-point %
35.0%
69.4%
Assist %
70.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 121.1Defence108.8 · 95.9Shooting50.0% · 56.8%3-point %34.7% · 35.0%Ball care18.0% · 15.1%Off. rebounds35.5% · 33.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ BK Ogre   ■ Prometey
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
BK Ogre wins
4
Prometey wins
DateGameScore
30/03/24Prometey v BK Ogre97-82
14/02/24BK Ogre v Prometey68-91
04/11/23Prometey v BK Ogre76-85
17/12/22BK Ogre v Prometey79-86
01/10/22Prometey v BK Ogre109-56
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24APrometey82-97
20/03/24AVEF Riga74-81
13/03/24HVentspils105-99
09/03/24AParnu82-73
05/03/24ATartu Ulikool76-82
02/03/24HKeila KK89-65
27/02/24ARigas Zelli83-75
21/02/24ARapla61-72
14/02/24HPrometey68-91
11/02/24ATallinna Kalev100-88
Prometeylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24HBK Ogre97-82
27/03/24ATal Tech104-81
23/03/24HParnu101-74
20/03/24ARapla102-61
17/03/24HKeila KK113-59
12/03/24AJL Bourg82-95
09/03/24ATartu Ulikool0-20
06/03/24HAris95-67
02/03/24AVEF Riga76-83
28/02/24ABK Liepaja83-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL55%
HomeWWLWW60%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %55%60%50%
Points / game80.381.978.8
Allowed / game77.875.779.7
Point differential+2.5+6.2-0.9
Avg total158.1157.7158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%53%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Prometey
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW87%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWLLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %87%94%80%
Points / game89.894.485.0
Allowed / game68.269.966.3
Point differential+21.6+24.4+18.7
Avg total158.0164.3151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+77%81%73%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo3231197%86.269.3+16.8
2 Prometey3127487%89.868.2+21.6
3 VEF Riga3226681%85.972.5+13.4
4 Ventspils31211068%91.684.3+7.4
5 Tartu Ulikool31191261%75.270.5+4.7
6 Rigas Zelli32181456%79.174.8+4.2
7 BK Ogre31171455%80.377.8+2.5
8 Parnu32151747%77.077.3-0.3
9 Tal Tech30141647%79.380.7-1.5
10 Rapla30121840%74.677.9-3.3
11 BK Liepaja30111937%78.281.5-3.3
12 Keila KK30102033%79.186.1-7.0
13 Valmiera Glass Via3092130%74.482.8-8.4
14 Latvijas Universitate3062420%68.683.5-14.8
15 Viimsi3062420%68.385.0-16.8
16 Tallinna Kalev3042613%70.188.9-18.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BK Ogre2319211982
Prometey2522202390
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.