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Prometey vs Parnu Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 101-74
24-15 23-28 28-20 26-11
Position#2
Record24-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game67.0
Prometey 🏆
vs
Parnu
Position#8
Record15-14
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game76.3
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Arena Riga
Other2023
Meetings · Prometey v Parnu
23 Mar 2024
PRM101
PAR74
28 Jan 2023
PRM94
PAR59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Prometey winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PrometeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrometey
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#4
W
86-77
86
77
+9
82avg 86
H10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
91-68
91
68
+23
97avg 86
A14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
91-77
91
77
+14
92avg 86
H16/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
83-70
83
70
+13
82avg 86
A28/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
76-83
76
83
-7
68avg 86
A02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Aris
#11
W
95-67
95
67
+28
97avg 86
H06/03
Eurocup
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
A09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
JL Bourg
#2
L
82-95
82
95
-13
81avg 86
A12/03
Eurocup
Keila KK
#12
W
113-59
113
59
+54
123avg 86
H17/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
102-61
102
61
+41
100avg 86
A20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
28-18
20-19
24-18
22-20
23-19
21-13
25-16
22-14
23-14
21-18
25-31
21-23
16-16
26-20
20-11
29-26
10-15
19-16
18-26
28-17
23-15
23-18
21-17
–
–
–
–
17-17
27-28
13-34
25-16
31-11
30-20
30-13
22-15
30-13
25-17
21-19
26-12
149.6Avg total
81.9Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)88.767.0155.7+21.686%
Season at home (14)93.768.8162.5+24.993%
Season away (14)83.665.3148.9+18.479%
Last 10 (10)81.967.7149.6+14.270%
Last 5 (5)78.460.4138.8+18.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)89.097.7186.7-8.733%
vs Similar (5)91.682.8174.4+8.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)89.468.3157.7+21.186%
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#12
W
93-88
93
88
+5
88avg 70
A26/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
77-78
77
78
-1
66avg 70
A30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
92-70
92
70
+22
98avg 70
H03/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
93-63
93
63
+30
96avg 70
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
83-79
83
79
+4
81avg 70
H10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
69-64
69
64
+5
57avg 70
H02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
56-61
56
61
-5
46avg 70
A05/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
84-82
84
82
+2
79avg 70
H07/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
73-82
73
82
-9
65avg 70
H09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
82-75
82
75
+7
85avg 70
A17/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-35
25-16
27-16
15-21
18-24
22-23
14-11
23-20
23-16
26-20
24-21
19-13
22-18
17-11
23-19
31-15
20-21
25-15
23-22
15-21
10-16
16-19
17-16
26-13
18-19
8-10
7-15
23-17
21-20
25-26
19-15
19-21
22-19
11-16
18-25
22-22
17-14
26-14
16-22
23-25
154.4Avg total
80.2Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)77.676.3153.9+1.352%
Season at home (15)77.974.1151.9+3.860%
Season away (14)77.378.7156.0-1.443%
Last 10 (10)80.274.2154.4+6.070%
Last 5 (5)72.872.8145.6+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)72.882.1154.8-9.317%
vs Similar (8)75.977.2153.1-1.450%
vs Weaker (10)82.268.1150.3+14.180%
This opponent (Prometey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: +2.8+2.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: +2.8+2.8
PrometeyParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PrometeyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H16/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A28/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Aris
#11
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H06/03
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#2
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A12/03
Eurocup
Keila KK
#12
W
61-31
61
31
+30
H17/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
55-30
55
30
+25
A20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
82.7Avg total
46.6Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)47.938.186.0+9.876%-
Last 30 at home (12)49.436.585.9+12.992%-
Last 30 away (17)46.939.286.1+7.665%-
Last 10 (9)46.636.182.7+10.467%-
Last 5 (5)50.035.885.8+14.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)46.348.795.0-2.333%-
vs Similar (5)48.444.292.6+4.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)48.035.183.2+12.986%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#12
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A26/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H03/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A05/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H07/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A17/03
Latvia-Estonian League
77.0Avg total
39.8Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.937.375.2+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.436.573.9+0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)38.438.276.6+0.257%-
Last 10 (10)39.837.277.0+2.640%-
Last 5 (5)34.834.669.4+0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.141.177.2-5.033%-
vs Similar (8)37.236.273.5+1.062%-
vs Weaker (10)40.633.674.2+7.070%-
This opponent (Prometey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Prometeytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prometey: 90.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.525.2
59.3%
50.5%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.8
32.5%
32.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.416.7
78.0%
70.5%16.7
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.7
56.4%
50.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.0
30.3%
32.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.714.0
71.1%
70.5%14.0
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Prometey
WWLLWLWWWW
Parnu
WLWLWWWWLW
#2
League position
#8
+22.7
Net rating
+8.3
116.6
Offensive rating
106.7
93.9
Defensive rating
98.4
55.5%
Effective FG%
51.8%
46.4%
Opp. effective FG%
43.4%
16.8%
Turnover %
17.3%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.5%
3-point %
30.3%
68.8%
Assist %
64.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.6 · 106.7Defence93.9 · 98.4Shooting55.5% · 51.8%3-point %32.5% · 30.3%Ball care16.8% · 17.3%Off. rebounds33.0% · 27.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Prometey   ■ Parnu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Prometey wins
0
Parnu wins
DateGameScore
18/11/23Parnu v Prometey49-80
28/01/23Prometey v Parnu94-59
22/10/22Parnu v Prometey71-77
Prometeylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/24ARapla102-61
17/03/24HKeila KK113-59
12/03/24AJL Bourg82-95
09/03/24ATartu Ulikool0-20
06/03/24HAris95-67
02/03/24AVEF Riga76-83
28/02/24ABK Liepaja83-70
16/02/24HValmiera Glass Via91-77
14/02/24ABK Ogre91-68
10/02/24HVentspils86-77
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24ATallinna Kalev82-75
09/03/24HBK Ogre73-82
07/03/24HTartu Ulikool84-82
05/03/24AValmiera Glass Via56-61
02/03/24HRigas Zelli69-64
10/02/24HBK Liepaja83-79
07/02/24HLatvijas Universitate93-63
03/02/24HTal Tech92-70
30/01/24ABC Kalev/Cramo77-78
26/01/24AKeila KK93-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Prometey
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW86%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWLLW79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %86%93%79%
Points / game88.793.783.6
Allowed / game67.068.865.3
Point differential+21.6+24.9+18.4
Avg total155.7162.5148.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%79%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW52%
HomeWWWWL60%
AwayWWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %52%60%43%
Points / game77.677.977.3
Allowed / game76.374.178.7
Point differential+1.3+3.8-1.4
Avg total153.9151.9156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)67% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo2928197%86.769.4+17.2
2 Prometey2824486%88.767.0+21.6
3 VEF Riga2923679%85.871.8+14.0
4 Ventspils30201067%91.284.8+6.5
5 Tartu Ulikool30191163%75.469.4+6.0
6 Rigas Zelli29171259%79.073.6+5.4
7 BK Ogre30171357%80.277.1+3.1
8 Parnu29151452%77.676.3+1.3
9 Tal Tech29141548%79.279.9-0.7
10 Rapla29121741%74.577.8-3.3
11 BK Liepaja29111838%78.281.6-3.3
12 Keila KK29101934%79.286.3-7.2
13 Valmiera Glass Via2982128%74.283.0-8.8
14 Viimsi2962321%68.285.1-16.9
15 Latvijas Universitate2952417%68.183.9-15.8
16 Tallinna Kalev2942514%70.289.1-18.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Prometey24232826101
Parnu1528201174
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