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BK Ogre vs Keila KK Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 89-65
28-21 26-16 15-16 20-12
Position#7
Record14-11
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game76.6
BK Ogre 🏆
vs
Position#12
Record9-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game86.3
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Ogres
Other2023
Meetings · BK Ogre v Keila KK
13 Nov 2026
BK O v KEIL
upcoming
04 Feb 2026
BK O112
KEIL99
08 Jan 2025
BK O99
KEIL91
02 Mar 2024
BK O89
KEIL65
21 Jan 2023
BK O97
KEIL76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Ogre winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keila KK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOgre
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#11
L
61-75
61
75
-14
33avg 76
A10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
67-78
67
78
-11
55avg 76
H13/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
78-65
78
65
+13
79avg 76
H17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#6
W
83-78
83
78
+5
no box
A21/01
Latvian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
76-66
76
66
+10
73avg 76
H24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
89-56
89
56
+33
98avg 76
H31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
100-88
100
88
+12
104avg 76
A11/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
68-91
68
91
-23
57avg 76
H14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
L
61-72
61
72
-11
62avg 76
A21/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
83-75
83
75
+8
81avg 76
A27/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
10-21
17-21
15-14
12-16
22-22
16-18
17-22
27-12
21-20
14-23
16-10
24-20
18-17
18-29
23-12
24-8
16-22
17-24
19-12
21-20
22-12
23-12
23-12
26-27
21-16
26-18
27-27
20-22
19-23
13-21
16-25
22-20
12-19
17-12
10-21
20-26
20-19
24-17
19-13
151.0Avg total
76.6Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.276.6155.8+2.756%
Season at home (13)79.674.8154.4+4.854%
Season away (12)78.878.5157.3+0.358%
Last 10 (10)76.674.4151.0+2.260%
Last 5 (5)80.276.4156.6+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.089.0158.0-20.020%
vs Similar (12)83.282.7165.8+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)81.571.2152.7+10.469%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#9
L
72-83
72
83
-11
63avg 69
A06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Siauliai
#4
L
79-107
79
107
-28
70avg 69
A10/01
ENBL
Ventspils
#4
L
87-116
87
116
-29
71avg 69
A12/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Zielona Gora
#5
L
91-95 OT
91
95
-4
72avg 69
A17/01
ENBL
Rapla
#10
W
94-86
94
86
+8
85avg 69
A20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
71-78
71
78
-7
57avg 69
H24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
88-93
88
93
-5
77avg 69
H26/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Newcastle Eagles
#7
L
84-92
84
92
-8
74avg 69
H31/01
ENBL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
79-92
79
92
-13
66avg 69
A05/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
97-89
97
89
+8
89avg 69
H09/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
20-17
19-17
19-26
20-27
21-28
23-25
15-27
20-38
29-27
21-32
17-19
21-19
20-19
22-23
17-19
24-25
20-19
20-21
30-21
17-18
15-22
20-24
19-14
35-26
16-25
16-27
21-15
21-23
22-28
14-18
27-23
15-25
23-24
22-24
19-19
26-15
31-26
21-28
19-20
177.3Avg total
84.2Scored
93.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.086.3167.3-5.438%
Season at home (12)82.286.2168.5-4.042%
Season away (12)79.786.4166.1-6.833%
Last 10 (10)84.293.1177.3-8.920%
Last 5 (5)83.888.8172.6-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)76.589.5165.9-13.010%
vs Similar (5)88.888.0176.8+0.860%
vs Weaker (5)93.681.4175.0+12.2100%
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
BK OgreKeila KK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#11
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H13/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A21/01
Latvian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A11/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A21/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A27/02
Latvia-Estonian League
77.7Avg total
39.6Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.338.179.4+3.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.137.279.3+4.967%-
Last 30 away (15)40.539.179.5+1.467%-
Last 10 (10)39.638.177.7+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.640.881.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.844.880.6-9.020%-
vs Similar (12)44.439.383.8+5.175%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)40.534.574.9+6.077%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#9
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Siauliai
#4
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A10/01
ENBL
Ventspils
#4
L
49-65
49
65
-16
A12/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Zielona Gora
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A17/01
ENBL
Rapla
#10
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H26/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Newcastle Eagles
#7
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H31/01
ENBL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A05/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H09/02
Latvia-Estonian League
90.4Avg total
43.0Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.243.984.1-3.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.643.984.5-3.333%-
Last 30 away (15)39.943.983.8-4.133%-
Last 10 (10)43.047.490.4-4.420%-
Last 5 (5)44.246.490.6-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.544.081.4-6.525%-
vs Similar (5)44.644.889.4-0.240%-
vs Weaker (5)47.042.889.8+4.260%-
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Ogre: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.418.9
48.0%
50.5%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.5
33.3%
32.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.512.1
69.1%
70.5%12.1
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.9
49.7%
50.5%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.49.6
32.7%
32.1%28.8
🏀 Free throws24.018.4
76.7%
70.5%18.4
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Ogre
WLLWWWWWLL
Keila KK
WLLLLWLLLL
#7
League position
#12
+1.1
Net rating
-11.7
103.7
Offensive rating
104.5
102.6
Defensive rating
116.2
48.8%
Effective FG%
49.4%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
19.8%
Turnover %
17.0%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.37
33.3%
3-point %
32.7%
69.0%
Assist %
56.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 104.5Defence102.6 · 116.2Shooting48.8% · 49.4%3-point %33.3% · 32.7%Ball care19.8% · 17.0%Off. rebounds34.4% · 25.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ BK Ogre   ■ Keila KK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
BK Ogre wins
1
Keila KK wins
DateGameScore
18/10/23Keila KK v BK Ogre80-71
21/01/23BK Ogre v Keila KK97-76
30/10/22Keila KK v BK Ogre81-87
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/24ARigas Zelli83-75
21/02/24ARapla61-72
14/02/24HPrometey68-91
11/02/24ATallinna Kalev100-88
31/01/24HTal Tech89-56
24/01/24HValmiera Glass Via76-66
21/01/24ABK Liepaja83-78
17/01/24HLatvijas Universitate78-65
13/01/24HBC Kalev/Cramo67-78
10/01/24ABK Liepaja61-75
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/24HBK Liepaja97-89
05/02/24ABC Kalev/Cramo79-92
31/01/24HNewcastle Eagles84-92
26/01/24HParnu88-93
24/01/24HRigas Zelli71-78
20/01/24ARapla94-86
17/01/24AZielona Gora91-95 OT
12/01/24AVentspils87-116
10/01/24ASiauliai79-107
06/01/24ATal Tech72-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW56%
HomeLWWWL54%
AwayLLWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %56%54%58%
Points / game79.279.678.8
Allowed / game76.674.878.5
Point differential+2.7+4.8+0.3
Avg total155.8154.4157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%54%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Keila KK
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW38%
HomeLWLLW42%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %38%42%33%
Points / game81.082.279.7
Allowed / game86.386.286.4
Point differential-5.4-4.0-6.8
Avg total167.3168.5166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%8%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo2423196%87.069.8+17.2
2 Prometey2422292%91.368.9+22.4
3 VEF Riga2419579%86.471.0+15.4
4 Ventspils2417771%93.184.0+9.1
5 Tartu Ulikool2416867%78.071.0+7.0
6 Rigas Zelli26161062%80.474.3+6.1
7 BK Ogre25141156%79.276.6+2.7
8 Parnu24121250%78.677.0+1.5
9 Rapla25111444%75.076.8-1.8
10 Tal Tech25111444%77.980.9-3.0
11 BK Liepaja24101442%79.181.5-2.4
12 Keila KK2491538%81.086.3-5.4
13 Valmiera Glass Via2451921%74.484.7-10.3
14 Viimsi2552020%67.185.4-18.2
15 Tallinna Kalev2432112%69.390.0-20.8
16 Latvijas Universitate2632312%67.385.1-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BK Ogre2826152089
Keila KK2116161265
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