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Rapla vs Prometey Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 61-102
13-30 17-25 19-21 12-26
Position#10
Record12-16
FormWWLWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#2
Record23-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game67.3
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Sadolin Spordihoone
Other2023
Meetings · Rapla v Prometey
20 Mar 2024
RAPL61
PRM102
28 Dec 2022
RAPL73
PRM95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rapla winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Prometey winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RaplaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
Parnu
#8
L
61-66
61
66
-5
52avg 67
A17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
86-94
86
94
-8
81avg 67
H20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
54-82
54
82
-28
45avg 67
A24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
98-89 OT
98
89
+9
94avg 67
H30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
72-61
72
61
+11
62avg 67
H21/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
79-78
79
78
+1
68avg 67
H28/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
72-54
72
54
+18
68avg 67
A02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
72-76
72
76
-4
70avg 67
H05/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
78-77
78
77
+1
66avg 67
A09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
76-83
76
83
-7
66avg 67
H16/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-11
11-18
21-19
17-18
25-24
19-20
21-20
21-30
11-27
18-26
12-11
13-18
21-24
25-13
20-21
17-25
20-22
19-12
12-17
21-10
21-26
16-16
20-19
22-17
20-17
19-11
13-17
20-9
9-22
16-11
29-21
18-22
14-12
16-24
21-23
27-18
13-22
24-24
13-17
26-20
150.8Avg total
74.8Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)75.077.0152.0-2.043%
Season at home (14)77.078.5155.5-1.543%
Season away (14)73.075.4148.4-2.443%
Last 10 (10)74.876.0150.8-1.250%
Last 5 (5)75.473.6149.0+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)70.278.6148.8-8.333%
vs Similar (10)77.678.6156.2-1.040%
vs Weaker (8)77.670.2147.9+7.462%
This opponent (Prometey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrometeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrometey
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#8
W
94-80
94
80
+14
92avg 86
H07/02
Eurocup
Ventspils
#4
W
86-77
86
77
+9
82avg 86
H10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
91-68
91
68
+23
97avg 86
A14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
91-77
91
77
+14
92avg 86
H16/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
83-70
83
70
+13
82avg 86
A28/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
76-83
76
83
-7
68avg 86
A02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Aris
#11
W
95-67
95
67
+28
97avg 86
H06/03
Eurocup
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
A09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
JL Bourg
#2
L
82-95
82
95
-13
81avg 86
A12/03
Eurocup
Keila KK
#12
W
113-59
113
59
+54
123avg 86
H17/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-27
20-26
11-18
36-9
14-22
28-18
20-19
24-18
22-20
23-19
21-13
25-16
22-14
23-14
21-18
25-31
21-23
16-16
26-20
20-11
29-26
10-15
19-16
18-26
28-17
23-15
23-18
21-17
–
–
–
–
17-17
27-28
13-34
25-16
31-11
30-20
30-13
22-15
150.7Avg total
81.1Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)88.267.3155.4+20.985%
Season at home (14)93.768.8162.5+24.993%
Season away (13)82.265.6147.8+16.677%
Last 10 (10)81.169.6150.7+11.570%
Last 5 (5)73.264.8138.0+8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)89.097.7186.7-8.733%
vs Similar (6)89.082.2171.2+6.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)88.868.6157.4+20.286%
This opponent (Rapla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +6.3+6.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +6.3+6.3
RaplaPrometey
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parnu
#8
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
29-53
29
53
-24
A24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H21/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H28/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H05/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H16/03
Latvia-Estonian League
73.1Avg total
34.9Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.939.575.4-3.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.540.676.1-5.127%-
Last 30 away (15)36.338.574.7-2.253%-
Last 10 (10)34.938.273.1-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)33.637.070.6-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)30.941.872.8-10.98%-
vs Similar (10)39.139.078.1+0.150%-
vs Weaker (8)39.436.876.1+2.675%-
This opponent (Prometey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrometeyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#8
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H07/02
Eurocup
Ventspils
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H16/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A28/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Aris
#11
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H06/03
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#2
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A12/03
Eurocup
Keila KK
#12
W
61-31
61
31
+30
H17/03
Latvia-Estonian League
84.3Avg total
45.7Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)47.438.285.7+9.276%-
Last 30 at home (12)49.436.585.9+12.992%-
Last 30 away (17)46.139.485.5+6.665%-
Last 10 (9)45.738.784.3+7.056%-
Last 5 (5)46.437.684.0+8.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)46.348.795.0-2.333%-
vs Similar (6)47.242.389.5+4.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)47.735.483.1+12.385%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.922.3
57.3%
50.5%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.3
28.1%
32.1%21.9
🏀 Free throws18.211.7
64.3%
70.5%11.7
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Prometeytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prometey: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.225.1
59.5%
50.5%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.5
33.0%
32.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws21.716.5
76.0%
70.5%16.5
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rapla
LWLWWWWLLL
Prometey
WLLWLWWWWW
#10
League position
#2
+4.6
Net rating
+20.0
106.8
Offensive rating
115.9
102.2
Defensive rating
95.9
51.2%
Effective FG%
56.0%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
17.8%
Turnover %
17.2%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
28.1%
3-point %
33.0%
62.2%
Assist %
70.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 115.9Defence102.2 · 95.9Shooting51.2% · 56.0%3-point %28.1% · 33.0%Ball care17.8% · 17.2%Off. rebounds31.6% · 32.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Rapla   ■ Prometey
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Rapla wins
3
Prometey wins
DateGameScore
14/10/23Prometey v Rapla90-66
21/01/23Prometey v Rapla89-81
28/12/22Rapla v Prometey73-95
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24HValmiera Glass Via76-83
09/03/24ARigas Zelli78-77
05/03/24HVentspils72-76
02/03/24ALatvijas Universitate72-54
28/02/24HTartu Ulikool79-78
21/02/24HBK Ogre72-61
30/01/24HBK Liepaja98-89 OT
24/01/24ABC Kalev/Cramo54-82
20/01/24HKeila KK86-94
17/01/24AParnu61-66
Prometeylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24HKeila KK113-59
12/03/24AJL Bourg82-95
09/03/24ATartu Ulikool0-20
06/03/24HAris95-67
02/03/24AVEF Riga76-83
28/02/24ABK Liepaja83-70
16/02/24HValmiera Glass Via91-77
14/02/24ABK Ogre91-68
10/02/24HVentspils86-77
07/02/24HJoventut Badalona94-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rapla
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL43%
HomeWWWLL43%
AwayWLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %43%43%43%
Points / game75.077.073.0
Allowed / game77.078.575.4
Point differential-2.0-1.5-2.4
Avg total152.0155.5148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%14%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %14%14%14%
Prometey
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW85%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWLL77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %85%93%77%
Points / game88.293.782.2
Allowed / game67.368.865.6
Point differential+20.9+24.9+16.6
Avg total155.4162.5147.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+74%79%69%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo2827196%87.069.6+17.4
2 Prometey2723485%88.267.3+20.9
3 VEF Riga2822679%86.071.8+14.2
4 Ventspils30201067%91.284.8+6.5
5 Tartu Ulikool29191066%75.869.1+6.7
6 Rigas Zelli29171259%79.073.6+5.4
7 BK Ogre29171259%80.477.0+3.4
8 Parnu29151452%77.676.3+1.3
9 Tal Tech29141548%79.279.9-0.7
10 Rapla28121643%75.077.0-2.0
11 BK Liepaja29111838%78.281.6-3.3
12 Keila KK2891932%79.086.8-7.8
13 Valmiera Glass Via2872125%74.483.8-9.4
14 Viimsi2862221%68.585.7-17.2
15 Latvijas Universitate2952417%68.183.9-15.8
16 Tallinna Kalev2842414%70.189.3-19.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rapla1317191261
Prometey30252126102
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