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Rapla vs BK Ogre Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 72-61
20-22 19-12 12-17 21-10
Position#10
Record8-14
FormWLLLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game78.5
Rapla 🏆
vs
Position#7
Record13-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game76.8
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Sadolin Spordihoone (Rapla)
Other2023
Meetings · Rapla v BK Ogre
15 Mar 2025
RAPL76
BK O84
21 Feb 2024
RAPL72
BK O61
03 Dec 2022
RAPL81
BK O71
19 Feb 2022
RAPL86
BK O88
16 Mar 2019
RAPL83
BK O95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rapla winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BK Ogre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RaplaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
82-76
82
76
+6
73avg 67
A28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
68-89
68
89
-21
58avg 67
H05/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
61-71
61
71
-10
45avg 67
A09/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
86-75
86
75
+11
86avg 67
A15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
80-79
80
79
+1
78avg 67
H22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
85-64
85
64
+21
88avg 67
H06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
61-66
61
66
-5
52avg 67
A17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
86-94
86
94
-8
81avg 67
H20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
54-82
54
82
-28
45avg 67
A24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
98-89 OT
98
89
+9
94avg 67
H30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
24-18
13-23
25-20
18-27
12-28
16-14
22-20
15-22
11-17
13-12
22-20
21-17
30-22
18-19
17-17
12-21
20-22
22-14
26-22
21-19
20-19
17-13
27-13
12-11
11-18
21-19
17-18
25-24
19-20
21-20
21-30
11-27
18-26
12-11
13-18
21-24
25-13
20-21
17-25
154.6Avg total
76.1Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)75.078.5153.5-3.436%
Season at home (10)77.980.1158.0-2.240%
Season away (12)72.777.1149.8-4.433%
Last 10 (10)76.178.5154.6-2.450%
Last 5 (5)76.879.0155.8-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)68.582.2150.7-13.710%
vs Similar (13)78.080.2158.2-2.238%
vs Weaker (7)77.069.4146.4+7.671%
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOgre
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
75-87
75
87
-12
66avg 76
H29/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#6
L
74-96
74
96
-22
no box
H06/01
Latvian Cup
BK Liepaja
#11
L
61-75
61
75
-14
33avg 76
A10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
67-78
67
78
-11
55avg 76
H13/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
78-65
78
65
+13
79avg 76
H17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#6
W
83-78
83
78
+5
no box
A21/01
Latvian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
76-66
76
66
+10
73avg 76
H24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
89-56
89
56
+33
98avg 76
H31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
100-88
100
88
+12
104avg 76
A11/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
68-91
68
91
-23
57avg 76
H14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
14-21
16-24
23-22
16-28
22-18
17-22
19-28
19-19
10-21
17-21
15-14
12-16
22-22
16-18
17-22
27-12
21-20
14-23
16-10
24-20
18-17
18-29
23-12
24-8
16-22
17-24
19-12
21-20
22-12
23-12
23-12
26-27
21-16
26-18
27-27
20-22
19-23
13-21
16-25
155.1Avg total
77.1Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.976.8156.7+3.057%
Season at home (13)79.674.8154.4+4.854%
Season away (10)80.279.5159.7+0.760%
Last 10 (10)77.178.0155.1-0.950%
Last 5 (5)83.275.8159.0+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.089.0158.0-20.020%
vs Similar (13)81.583.7165.2-2.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.271.1154.3+12.275%
This opponent (Rapla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
RaplaBK Ogre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
30-55
30
55
-25
H05/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A09/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
29-53
29
53
-24
A24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
77.6Avg total
36.6Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.640.776.3-5.137%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.642.878.4-7.121%-
Last 30 away (16)35.638.974.5-3.450%-
Last 10 (10)36.641.077.6-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.640.276.8-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)29.944.374.2-14.40%-
vs Similar (13)38.340.779.0-2.438%-
vs Weaker (7)38.735.774.4+3.086%-
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H29/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#6
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H06/01
Latvian Cup
BK Liepaja
#11
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H13/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A21/01
Latvian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A11/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
78.0Avg total
39.6Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.780.1+2.767%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.838.880.5+3.059%-
Last 30 away (13)41.038.679.6+2.477%-
Last 10 (10)39.638.478.0+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.237.479.6+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.844.880.6-9.020%-
vs Similar (13)44.040.684.6+3.469%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.034.175.1+6.983%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.321.0
52.1%
50.5%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.5
28.8%
32.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws16.510.6
64.2%
70.5%10.6
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Ogre: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.119.7
47.9%
50.5%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.5
34.4%
32.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.113.2
72.9%
70.5%13.2
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rapla
WLLLWWWLLW
BK Ogre
LWWWWWLLLL
#10
League position
#7
-3.2
Net rating
+4.5
98.9
Offensive rating
106.9
102.1
Defensive rating
102.4
48.6%
Effective FG%
49.3%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
19.1%
Turnover %
19.8%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
36.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
28.8%
3-point %
34.4%
67.7%
Assist %
70.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.9 · 106.9Defence102.1 · 102.4Shooting48.6% · 49.3%3-point %28.8% · 34.4%Ball care19.1% · 19.8%Off. rebounds31.0% · 36.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Rapla   ■ BK Ogre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Rapla wins
6
BK Ogre wins
DateGameScore
29/09/23BK Ogre v Rapla75-77 OT
07/01/23BK Ogre v Rapla92-75
03/12/22Rapla v BK Ogre81-71
19/02/22Rapla v BK Ogre86-88 OT
02/10/21BK Ogre v Rapla107-84
11/04/21BK Ogre v Rapla75-73
16/03/19Rapla v BK Ogre83-95
15/12/18BK Ogre v Rapla84-77
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/24HBK Liepaja98-89 OT
24/01/24ABC Kalev/Cramo54-82
20/01/24HKeila KK86-94
17/01/24AParnu61-66
06/01/24HViimsi85-64
22/12/23HTal Tech80-79
15/12/23AKeila KK86-75
09/12/23ATartu Ulikool61-71
05/12/23HRigas Zelli68-89
28/11/23ATallinna Kalev82-76
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/24HPrometey68-91
11/02/24ATallinna Kalev100-88
31/01/24HTal Tech89-56
24/01/24HValmiera Glass Via76-66
21/01/24ABK Liepaja83-78
17/01/24HLatvijas Universitate78-65
13/01/24HBC Kalev/Cramo67-78
10/01/24ABK Liepaja61-75
06/01/24HBK Liepaja74-96
29/12/23HRigas Zelli75-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rapla
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW36%
HomeLWWLW40%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %36%40%33%
Points / game75.077.972.7
Allowed / game78.580.177.1
Point differential-3.4-2.2-4.4
Avg total153.5158.0149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%10%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %18%20%17%
BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL57%
HomeLWWWL54%
AwayLWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %57%54%60%
Points / game79.979.680.2
Allowed / game76.874.879.5
Point differential+3.0+4.8+0.7
Avg total156.7154.4159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%54%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo2423196%87.069.8+17.2
2 Prometey2321291%91.768.9+22.8
3 VEF Riga2419579%86.471.0+15.4
4 Ventspils2316770%92.883.7+9.0
5 Tartu Ulikool2316770%78.070.6+7.4
6 Rigas Zelli2516964%80.674.0+6.7
7 BK Ogre23131057%79.976.8+3.0
8 Parnu24121250%78.677.0+1.5
9 Tal Tech24111346%77.480.0-2.6
10 BK Liepaja23101343%79.581.4-1.9
11 Keila KK2491538%81.086.3-5.4
12 Rapla2281436%75.078.5-3.4
13 Viimsi2552020%67.185.4-18.2
14 Valmiera Glass Via2341917%73.485.7-12.3
15 Tallinna Kalev2332013%69.689.8-20.2
16 Latvijas Universitate2532212%67.885.6-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rapla2019122172
BK Ogre2212171061
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