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Parnu vs BK Ogre Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 73-82
22-19 11-16 18-25 22-22
Position#8
Record14-13
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game76.1
vs
BK Ogre 🏆
Position#7
Record15-12
FormLLWWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game76.3
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Parnu Spordihall (Parnu)
Other2023
Meetings · Parnu v BK Ogre
13 Dec 2026
PAR v BK O
upcoming
07 Jan 2026
PAR85
BK O71
26 Feb 2025
PAR57
BK O92
09 Mar 2024
PAR73
BK O82
15 Oct 2022
PAR85
BK O71
22 Dec 2021
PAR83
BK O78
18 Jan 2019
PAR79
BK O86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BK Ogre winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Rapla
#10
W
66-61
66
61
+5
68avg 70
H17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
87-76
87
76
+11
86avg 70
A21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
93-88
93
88
+5
88avg 70
A26/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
77-78
77
78
-1
66avg 70
A30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
92-70
92
70
+22
98avg 70
H03/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
93-63
93
63
+30
96avg 70
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
83-79
83
79
+4
81avg 70
H10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
69-64
69
64
+5
57avg 70
H02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
56-61
56
61
-5
46avg 70
A05/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
84-82
84
82
+2
79avg 70
H07/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-12
18-11
19-21
18-17
19-12
25-21
17-25
26-18
26-35
25-16
27-16
15-21
18-24
22-23
14-11
23-20
23-16
26-20
24-21
19-13
22-18
17-11
23-19
31-15
20-21
25-15
23-22
15-21
10-16
16-19
17-16
26-13
18-19
8-10
7-15
23-17
21-20
25-26
19-15
19-21
152.2Avg total
80.0Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)77.676.1153.7+1.452%
Season at home (14)78.273.5151.7+4.764%
Season away (13)76.979.0155.9-2.138%
Last 10 (10)80.072.2152.2+7.880%
Last 5 (5)77.069.8146.8+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)72.882.1154.8-9.317%
vs Similar ◀ (9)78.075.6153.6+2.467%
vs Weaker (9)82.267.3149.6+14.978%
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOgre
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
78-65
78
65
+13
79avg 76
H17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#6
W
83-78
83
78
+5
no box
A21/01
Latvian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
76-66
76
66
+10
73avg 76
H24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
89-56
89
56
+33
98avg 76
H31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
100-88
100
88
+12
104avg 76
A11/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
68-91
68
91
-23
57avg 76
H14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
L
61-72
61
72
-11
62avg 76
A21/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
83-75
83
75
+8
81avg 76
A27/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
89-65
89
65
+24
99avg 76
H02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
76-82
76
82
-6
68avg 76
A05/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-12
21-20
14-23
16-10
24-20
18-17
18-29
23-12
24-8
16-22
17-24
19-12
21-20
22-12
23-12
23-12
26-27
21-16
26-18
27-27
20-22
19-23
13-21
16-25
22-20
12-19
17-12
10-21
20-26
20-19
24-17
19-13
28-21
26-16
15-16
20-12
15-28
16-22
14-13
31-19
154.1Avg total
80.3Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)79.576.3155.8+3.156%
Season at home (14)80.374.1154.4+6.257%
Season away (13)78.678.8157.4-0.254%
Last 10 (10)80.373.8154.1+6.570%
Last 5 (5)75.477.0152.4-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.089.0158.0-20.020%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.480.2160.5+0.245%
vs Weaker (14)82.170.7152.8+11.471%
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +4.1+4.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +4.1+4.1
ParnuBK Ogre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rapla
#10
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A26/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H03/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A05/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H07/03
Latvia-Estonian League
76.0Avg total
39.5Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.237.775.9+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.736.674.3+1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)38.638.977.5-0.353%-
Last 10 (10)39.536.576.0+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)36.435.071.4+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.141.177.2-5.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.836.875.6+2.067%-
vs Weaker (9)40.334.274.6+6.167%-
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A21/01
Latvian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A11/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A21/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A27/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A05/03
Latvia-Estonian League
80.8Avg total
41.8Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.538.278.7+2.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.336.779.1+5.667%-
Last 30 away (15)38.739.778.4-0.960%-
Last 10 (10)41.839.080.8+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.643.282.8-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.844.880.6-9.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.539.781.3+1.864%-
vs Weaker (14)41.434.676.1+6.879%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.021.4
57.8%
50.5%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.2
30.7%
32.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.612.3
69.9%
70.5%12.3
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Ogre: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.218.8
49.2%
50.5%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.4
35.1%
32.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws18.212.5
68.7%
70.5%12.5
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parnu
WLWWWWLWWW
BK Ogre
LWWLLWWWWW
#8
League position
#7
+11.4
Net rating
+7.1
106.5
Offensive rating
106.2
95.2
Defensive rating
99.1
52.9%
Effective FG%
50.6%
43.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
17.2%
Turnover %
20.2%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
35.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.7%
3-point %
35.1%
64.5%
Assist %
73.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 106.2Defence95.2 · 99.1Shooting52.9% · 50.6%3-point %30.7% · 35.1%Ball care17.2% · 20.2%Off. rebounds26.4% · 35.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Parnu   ■ BK Ogre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Parnu wins
6
BK Ogre wins
DateGameScore
20/12/23BK Ogre v Parnu93-72
12/03/23BK Ogre v Parnu81-68
15/10/22Parnu v BK Ogre85-71
10/04/22BK Ogre v Parnu77-84
16/02/22BK Ogre v Parnu74-71
22/12/21Parnu v BK Ogre83-78
08/04/21BK Ogre v Parnu77-68
18/01/19Parnu v BK Ogre79-86
29/09/18BK Ogre v Parnu99-74
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24HTartu Ulikool84-82
05/03/24AValmiera Glass Via56-61
02/03/24HRigas Zelli69-64
10/02/24HBK Liepaja83-79
07/02/24HLatvijas Universitate93-63
03/02/24HTal Tech92-70
30/01/24ABC Kalev/Cramo77-78
26/01/24AKeila KK93-88
21/01/24AViimsi87-76
17/01/24HRapla66-61
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/24ATartu Ulikool76-82
02/03/24HKeila KK89-65
27/02/24ARigas Zelli83-75
21/02/24ARapla61-72
14/02/24HPrometey68-91
11/02/24ATallinna Kalev100-88
31/01/24HTal Tech89-56
24/01/24HValmiera Glass Via76-66
21/01/24ABK Liepaja83-78
17/01/24HLatvijas Universitate78-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW52%
HomeWWWWW64%
AwayLWWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %52%64%38%
Points / game77.678.276.9
Allowed / game76.173.579.0
Point differential+1.4+4.7-2.1
Avg total153.7151.7155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%36%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)67% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL56%
HomeWWWLW57%
AwayLWLWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %56%57%54%
Points / game79.580.378.6
Allowed / game76.374.178.8
Point differential+3.1+6.2-0.2
Avg total155.8154.4157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%57%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo2625196%87.469.8+17.7
2 Prometey2522388%90.769.5+21.2
3 VEF Riga2621581%85.971.2+14.7
4 Ventspils2619773%92.583.4+9.1
5 Tartu Ulikool2617965%78.371.7+6.7
6 Rigas Zelli27161159%79.874.1+5.7
7 BK Ogre27151256%79.576.3+3.1
8 Parnu27141352%77.676.1+1.4
9 Tal Tech27131448%78.880.4-1.6
10 Rapla26111542%74.876.7-1.9
11 BK Liepaja26101638%78.381.8-3.5
12 Keila KK2791833%79.885.8-6.0
13 Valmiera Glass Via2662023%74.184.2-10.0
14 Viimsi2652119%67.285.7-18.5
15 Latvijas Universitate2742315%67.784.7-17.0
16 Tallinna Kalev2532212%69.790.2-20.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parnu2211182273
BK Ogre1916252282
← all games of the day
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