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BK Ogre vs Rapla Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 75-77 (OT)
13-23 25-11 12-18 16-14 9-11
Position#7
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
BK Ogre
vs
Rapla 🏆
Position#10
Record0-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game78.0
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Ogres
Other2023
Meetings · BK Ogre v Rapla
18 Dec 2024
BK O71
RAPL57
29 Sep 2023
BK O75
RAPL77
07 Jan 2023
BK O92
RAPL75
02 Oct 2021
BK O107
RAPL84
11 Apr 2021
BK O75
RAPL73
15 Dec 2018
BK O84
RAPL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Ogre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rapla winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOgre
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#6
W
92-79
92
79
+13
no box
A09/04
LBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#6
W
102-81
102
81
+21
no box
H12/04
LBL
Ventspils
#4
W
79-76
79
76
+3
no box
A19/04
LBL
Ventspils
#4
L
76-91
76
91
-15
no box
H22/04
LBL
Ventspils
#4
L
81-94
81
94
-13
no box
A25/04
LBL
Ventspils
#4
L
79-93
79
93
-14
no box
H27/04
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
L
66-78
66
78
-12
no box
H04/05
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
L
108-111 OT
108
111
-3
no box
A07/05
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
H10/05
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
no box
A13/05
LBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
28-27
23-12
24-16
23-26
28-21
19-22
32-12
20-23
22-22
18-15
19-16
21-26
15-27
20-20
20-18
24-24
25-30
15-19
17-21
24-27
17-24
14-25
24-17
19-31
19-19
15-11
13-17
29-29
28-12
11-19
18-26
26-20
24-24
16-19
16-18
25-19
17-20
19-21
14-22
170.6Avg total
84.0Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.086.6170.6-2.640%
Last 5 (5)82.089.0171.0-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.683.4156.0-10.914%
vs Similar (12)81.583.8165.3-2.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.971.7157.6+14.282%
This opponent (Rapla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
W
96-64
96
64
+32
no box
H11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
66-61
66
61
+5
no box
A15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
54-77
54
77
-23
no box
A24/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
89-94
89
94
-5
no box
H28/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#3
W
95-93 OT
95
93
+2
no box
H13/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
71-83
71
83
-12
62avg 61
A17/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
72-80
72
80
-8
65avg 61
H21/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
W
75-58
75
58
+17
65avg 61
A25/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
65-78
65
78
-13
55avg 61
H28/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#16
L
72-78
72
78
-6
57avg 61
H22/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
17-15
33-19
19-11
17-16
15-14
17-15
17-16
9-26
13-13
18-23
14-15
14-30
23-17
26-19
26-28
19-27
13-23
24-11
23-18
16-20
24-21
13-19
18-23
19-33
16-15
14-14
23-18
16-13
21-18
16-14
22-13
14-21
14-21
20-16
17-20
9-27
21-14
22-22
20-15
152.1Avg total
75.5Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)72.078.0150.0-6.00%
Season at home (1)72.078.0150.0-6.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.576.6152.1-1.140%
Last 5 (5)71.075.4146.4-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)75.284.3159.5-9.217%
vs Similar (12)73.777.5151.2-3.833%
vs Weaker (12)83.668.0151.6+15.692%
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -7.2-7.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +2.2+2.2
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -7.2-7.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +2.2+2.2
BK OgreRapla
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#6
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A09/04
LBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#6
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H12/04
LBL
Ventspils
#4
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A19/04
LBL
Ventspils
#4
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H22/04
LBL
Ventspils
#4
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A25/04
LBL
Ventspils
#4
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H27/04
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H04/05
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A07/05
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H10/05
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A13/05
LBL
92.6Avg total
45.1Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.842.783.6-1.933%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.145.487.6-3.329%-
Last 30 away (16)39.740.480.1-0.738%-
Last 10 (10)45.147.592.6-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)45.645.090.6+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.043.980.9-6.914%-
vs Similar (12)41.745.887.4-4.125%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.438.781.1+3.655%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A24/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H28/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#3
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H13/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A17/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H21/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A25/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H28/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#16
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H22/09
Latvia-Estonian League
74.0Avg total
33.7Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.038.476.4-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.939.275.1-3.438%-
Last 30 away (14)40.437.577.9+2.957%-
Last 10 (10)33.740.374.0-6.630%-
Last 5 (5)34.040.674.6-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.042.377.3-7.317%-
vs Similar (12)36.240.176.2-3.933%-
vs Weaker (12)41.234.876.1+6.475%-
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Ogre: 13.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀77%
🏀🏀🏀
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers10.0 pts a game · 77% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers0.0 pts a game · 0% of the points
🏀 Free throws3.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers5.05.0
100.0%
50.5%10.0
🏀 Free throws3.03.0
100.0%
70.5%3.0
They take 5.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 0.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 0% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 70.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.8
54.3%
50.5%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.07.8
26.0%
32.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws14.89.6
64.9%
70.5%9.6
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/5 games with a box score before 29 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Ogre
LWLLLLLWWW
Rapla
LLWLLWLLWW
#7
League position
#10
+154.2
Net rating
-5.2
286.3
Offensive rating
101.4
132.2
Defensive rating
106.5
100.0%
Effective FG%
47.2%
100.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
0.0%
Turnover %
17.5%
0.60
Free-throw rate
0.23
0.0%
Assist %
61.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence286.3 · 101.4Defence132.2 · 106.5Shooting100.0% · 47.2%3-point %- · 26.0%Ball care0.0% · 17.5%Off. rebounds- · 33.5%Free throws0.60 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ BK Ogre   ■ Rapla
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
BK Ogre wins
1
Rapla wins
DateGameScore
07/01/23BK Ogre v Rapla92-75
03/12/22Rapla v BK Ogre81-71
19/02/22Rapla v BK Ogre86-88 OT
02/10/21BK Ogre v Rapla107-84
11/04/21BK Ogre v Rapla75-73
16/03/19Rapla v BK Ogre83-95
15/12/18BK Ogre v Rapla84-77
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/23ABK Liepaja75-82
10/05/23HBK Liepaja82-81
07/05/23ABK Liepaja108-111 OT
04/05/23HBK Liepaja66-78
27/04/23HVentspils79-93
25/04/23AVentspils81-94
22/04/23HVentspils76-91
19/04/23AVentspils79-76
12/04/23HValmiera Glass Via102-81
09/04/23AValmiera Glass Via92-79
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/09/23HTallinna Kalev72-78
28/04/23HParnu65-78
25/04/23AParnu75-58
21/04/23HParnu72-80
17/04/23AParnu71-83
13/04/23HParnu95-93 OT
28/03/23HVEF Riga89-94
24/03/23AVEF Riga54-77
15/03/23ALatvijas Universitate66-61
11/03/23HValmiera Glass Via96-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Rapla
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game72.072.0-
Allowed / game78.078.0-
Point differential-6.0-6.0-
Avg total150.0150.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Parnu220100%80.070.5+9.5
2 Tallinna Kalev110100%78.072.0+6.0
3 BC Kalev/Cramo110100%74.071.0+3.0
4 Keila KK21150%78.077.5+0.5
5 Tal Tech1010%75.077.0-2.0
6 Tartu Ulikool1010%71.074.0-3.0
7 Rapla1010%72.078.0-6.0
8 Viimsi1010%72.090.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
BK Ogre13251216975
Rapla231118141177
← all games of the day
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