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Rapla vs Parnu Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 65-78
14-21 14-21 20-16 17-20
Position#5
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Parnu 🏆
Estonia
Position#3
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game78.2
EstoniaKorvpalli MeistriliigaKorvpalli Meistriliiga - Quarter-finals· Sadolin Spordihoone
Other2022-23
Meetings · Rapla v Parnu
29 Apr 2025
RAPL95
PAR69
23 Apr 2025
RAPL100
PAR69
16 Apr 2025
RAPL87
PAR66
08 Feb 2025
RAPL113
PAR76
25 May 2024
RAPL82
PAR66
21 May 2024
RAPL55
PAR65
11 Nov 2023
RAPL81
PAR89
28 Apr 2023
RAPL65
PAR78
21 Apr 2023
RAPL72
PAR80
13 Apr 2023
RAPL95
PAR93
24 Jan 2023
RAPL73
PAR76
04 May 2022
RAPL76
PAR86
29 Apr 2022
RAPL80
PAR67
29 Jan 2022
RAPL107
PAR79
01 May 2021
RAPL72
PAR79
16 Mar 2021
RAPL64
PAR72
16 Jan 2021
RAPL88
PAR93
18 Oct 2020
RAPL79
PAR86
16 Apr 2019
RAPL82
PAR80
10 Apr 2019
RAPL60
PAR83
07 Feb 2019
RAPL94
PAR85
19 May 2018
RAPL90
PAR79
14 May 2018
RAPL84
PAR77
10 Apr 2018
RAPL73
PAR80
30 Dec 2017
RAPL74
PAR71
18 Mar 2017
RAPL93
PAR91
26 Nov 2016
RAPL75
PAR62
18 Oct 2016
RAPL85
PAR67
05 Apr 2016
RAPL77
PAR61
08 Dec 2015
RAPL78
PAR75
28 Nov 2015
RAPL83
PAR76
14 Mar 2015
RAPL80
PAR75
29 Nov 2014
RAPL92
PAR68
29 Mar 2014
RAPL66
PAR74
09 Nov 2013
RAPL86
PAR75
16 Feb 2013
RAPL81
PAR76
24 Nov 2012
RAPL54
PAR73
07 Jan 2012
RAPL101
PAR69
13 Dec 2011
RAPL93
PAR74
08 Jan 2011
RAPL75
PAR65
06 Oct 2010
RAPL82
PAR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rapla winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RaplaEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#10
W
83-70
83
70
+13
no box
H18/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
A01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
W
96-64
96
64
+32
no box
H11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
66-61
66
61
+5
no box
A15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
54-77
54
77
-23
no box
A24/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
89-94
89
94
-5
no box
H28/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#3
W
95-93 OT
95
93
+2
no box
H13/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
71-83
71
83
-12
62avg 64
A17/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
72-80
72
80
-8
65avg 64
H21/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
W
75-58
75
58
+17
65avg 64
A25/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
15-21
24-18
23-11
28-26
9-14
20-26
26-11
27-19
17-15
33-19
19-11
17-16
15-14
17-15
17-16
9-26
13-13
18-23
14-15
14-30
23-17
26-19
26-28
19-27
13-23
24-11
23-18
16-20
24-21
13-19
18-23
19-33
16-15
14-14
23-18
16-13
21-18
16-14
22-13
154.1Avg total
78.4Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.278.5156.8-0.250%
Season at home (2)83.586.5170.0-3.050%
Season away (2)73.070.5143.5+2.550%
Last 10 (10)78.475.7154.1+2.760%
Last 5 (5)80.481.6162.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.583.2155.8-10.812%
vs Similar ◀ (11)74.577.5151.9-3.036%
vs Weaker (11)84.667.1151.7+17.5100%
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
81-65
81
65
+16
no box
H04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
L
84-91
84
91
-7
no box
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
98-102 OT
98
102
-4
no box
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
68-81
68
81
-13
no box
A12/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#14
L
77-93
77
93
-16
no box
H15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
78-83
78
83
-5
no box
H18/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#5
L
93-95 OT
93
95
-2
no box
A13/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#5
W
83-71
83
71
+12
75avg 68
H17/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#5
W
80-72
80
72
+8
73avg 68
A21/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#5
L
58-75
58
75
-17
49avg 68
H25/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
24-14
22-15
16-20
19-17
17-24
21-23
27-27
18-20
29-26
18-20
22-21
20-10
19-23
15-22
14-26
14-15
23-15
20-36
20-27
16-19
14-29
27-17
21-18
27-19
23-13
11-24
18-23
20-16
21-24
19-13
23-18
33-19
15-16
14-14
18-23
13-16
18-21
14-16
13-22
162.8Avg total
80.0Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.578.2156.8+0.250%
Season at home (2)70.573.0143.5-2.550%
Season away (2)86.583.5170.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)80.082.8162.8-2.830%
Last 5 (5)78.479.2157.6-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.684.5158.1-10.920%
vs Similar ◀ (11)75.678.3153.9-2.636%
vs Weaker (9)91.376.4167.8+14.967%
This opponent (Rapla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: -3.3-3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: -3.3-3.3
RaplaParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#10
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H18/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A24/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H28/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#3
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H13/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A17/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H21/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A25/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
75.3Avg total
35.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.138.476.5-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.239.075.2-2.840%-
Last 30 away (15)39.937.977.8+2.153%-
Last 10 (10)35.240.175.3-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)36.243.479.6-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.942.176.0-8.212%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)36.939.976.8-3.036%-
vs Weaker (11)42.334.376.5+8.082%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A12/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#14
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H18/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#5
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A13/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H17/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#5
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A21/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#5
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H25/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
77.4Avg total
40.2Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.438.278.6+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.036.376.3+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)40.740.180.8+0.747%-
Last 10 (10)40.237.277.4+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.478.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.741.877.5-6.130%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.336.076.3+4.355%-
vs Weaker (9)45.736.982.6+8.878%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.7 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.719.3
55.8%
51.6%38.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.36.7
25.3%
29.1%20.0
🏀 Free throws19.712.7
64.4%
69.1%12.7
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.5 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.817.8
49.7%
51.6%35.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.5
35.1%
29.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws16.513.2
80.3%
69.1%13.2
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/4 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rapla
WLLWLLWWWW
Parnu
LWWLLLLLLW
#5
League position
#3
-2.5
Net rating
+0.4
104.9
Offensive rating
107.6
107.3
Defensive rating
107.3
48.1%
Effective FG%
50.8%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
19.5%
Turnover %
18.5%
39.3%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
25.3%
3-point %
35.1%
53.8%
Assist %
59.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 107.6Defence107.3 · 107.3Shooting48.1% · 50.8%3-point %25.3% · 35.1%Ball care19.5% · 18.5%Off. rebounds39.3% · 33.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Rapla   ■ Parnu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Rapla wins
6
Parnu wins
DateGameScore
25/04/23Parnu v Rapla58-75
21/04/23Rapla v Parnu72-80
17/04/23Parnu v Rapla83-71
13/04/23Rapla v Parnu95-93 OT
24/01/23Rapla v Parnu73-76
26/11/22Parnu v Rapla66-81
04/05/22Rapla v Parnu76-86
02/05/22Parnu v Rapla97-81
29/04/22Rapla v Parnu80-67
27/04/22Parnu v Rapla75-64
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/23AParnu75-58
21/04/23HParnu72-80
17/04/23AParnu71-83
13/04/23HParnu95-93 OT
28/03/23HVEF Riga89-94
24/03/23AVEF Riga54-77
15/03/23ALatvijas Universitate66-61
11/03/23HValmiera Glass Via96-64
01/03/23ABC Kalev/Cramo83-77
18/02/23HTal Tech83-70
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/23HRapla58-75
21/04/23ARapla80-72
17/04/23HRapla83-71
13/04/23ARapla93-95 OT
18/03/23HBC Kalev/Cramo78-83
15/03/23HTallinna Kalev77-93
12/03/23ABK Ogre68-81
11/03/23ABK Liepaja98-102 OT
08/03/23AVentspils84-91
04/03/23HLatvijas Universitate81-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rapla
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game78.283.573.0
Allowed / game78.586.570.5
Point differential-0.2-3.0+2.5
Avg total156.8170.0143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
Parnu
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game78.570.586.5
Allowed / game78.273.083.5
Point differential+0.2-2.5+3.0
Avg total156.8143.5170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %25%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo330100%86.758.3+28.3
2 Tartu Ulikool330100%81.065.0+16.0
3 Viimsi330100%79.772.0+7.7
4 Parnu42250%78.578.2+0.2
5 Rapla42250%78.278.5-0.2
6 Tal Tech3030%72.079.7-7.7
7 Keila KK3030%65.081.0-16.0
8 Tallinna Kalev3030%58.386.7-28.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rapla1414201765
Parnu2121162078
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