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Parnu vs Rapla Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 58-75
13-16 18-21 14-16 13-22
Position#3
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game79.3
vs
Rapla 🏆
Estonia
Position#5
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game85.3
EstoniaKorvpalli MeistriliigaKorvpalli Meistriliiga - Quarter-finals· Parnu Spordihall
Other2022-23
Meetings · Parnu v Rapla
26 Apr 2025
PAR92
RAPL82
19 Apr 2025
PAR82
RAPL75
03 Dec 2024
PAR78
RAPL80
23 May 2024
PAR65
RAPL68
17 May 2024
PAR59
RAPL68
17 Jan 2024
PAR66
RAPL61
25 Apr 2023
PAR58
RAPL75
17 Apr 2023
PAR83
RAPL71
26 Nov 2022
PAR66
RAPL81
02 May 2022
PAR97
RAPL81
27 Apr 2022
PAR75
RAPL64
18 Apr 2022
PAR79
RAPL72
04 Dec 2021
PAR78
RAPL83
04 May 2021
PAR67
RAPL60
29 Apr 2021
PAR76
RAPL69
06 Apr 2021
PAR v RAPL
upcoming
10 Jan 2021
PAR78
RAPL58
11 Nov 2020
PAR83
RAPL69
20 Apr 2019
PAR88
RAPL76
14 Apr 2019
PAR82
RAPL57
08 Dec 2018
PAR62
RAPL73
22 May 2018
PAR75
RAPL79
16 May 2018
PAR73
RAPL67
10 Feb 2018
PAR70
RAPL75
18 Oct 2017
PAR73
RAPL78
28 Feb 2017
PAR64
RAPL49
24 Jan 2017
PAR65
RAPL59
06 Dec 2016
PAR65
RAPL71
04 Mar 2016
PAR68
RAPL69
17 Jan 2016
PAR79
RAPL80
31 Oct 2015
PAR65
RAPL86
07 Feb 2015
PAR68
RAPL76
05 Oct 2014
PAR77
RAPL75
09 Feb 2014
PAR74
RAPL47
02 Oct 2013
PAR78
RAPL72
30 Mar 2013
PAR61
RAPL63
31 Oct 2012
PAR64
RAPL70
10 Mar 2012
PAR72
RAPL87
16 Nov 2011
PAR61
RAPL68
12 Feb 2011
PAR74
RAPL88
06 Nov 2010
PAR72
RAPL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rapla winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#10
L
79-85
79
85
-6
no box
A01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
81-65
81
65
+16
no box
H04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
L
84-91
84
91
-7
no box
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
98-102 OT
98
102
-4
no box
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
68-81
68
81
-13
no box
A12/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#14
L
77-93
77
93
-16
no box
H15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
78-83
78
83
-5
no box
H18/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#5
L
93-95 OT
93
95
-2
no box
A13/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#5
W
83-71
83
71
+12
75avg 75
H17/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#5
W
80-72
80
72
+8
73avg 75
A21/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
18-16
17-18
25-25
19-16
24-14
22-15
16-20
19-17
17-24
21-23
27-27
18-20
29-26
18-20
22-21
20-10
19-23
15-22
14-26
14-15
23-15
20-36
20-27
16-19
14-29
27-17
21-18
27-19
23-13
11-24
18-23
20-16
21-24
19-13
23-18
33-19
15-16
14-14
18-23
165.9Avg total
82.1Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.379.3164.7+6.067%
Season at home (1)83.071.0154.0+12.0100%
Season away (2)86.583.5170.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)82.183.8165.9-1.730%
Last 5 (5)82.282.8165.0-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)72.683.3155.9-10.618%
vs Similar ◀ (10)77.478.6156.0-1.240%
vs Weaker (9)91.376.4167.8+14.967%
This opponent (Rapla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
Rakvere Tarvas
#16
W
102-59
102
59
+43
no box
A11/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
83-70
83
70
+13
no box
H18/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
A01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
W
96-64
96
64
+32
no box
H11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
66-61
66
61
+5
no box
A15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
54-77
54
77
-23
no box
A24/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
89-94
89
94
-5
no box
H28/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#3
W
95-93 OT
95
93
+2
no box
H13/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
71-83
71
83
-12
62avg 64
A17/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
72-80
72
80
-8
65avg 64
H21/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-14
21-21
33-11
15-13
21-20
15-21
24-18
23-11
28-26
9-14
20-26
26-11
27-19
17-15
33-19
19-11
17-16
15-14
17-15
17-16
9-26
13-13
18-23
14-15
14-30
23-17
26-19
26-28
19-27
13-23
24-11
23-18
16-20
24-21
13-19
18-23
19-33
16-15
14-14
23-18
156.9Avg total
81.1Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.385.3164.7-6.033%
Season at home (2)83.586.5170.0-3.050%
Season away (1)71.083.0154.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)81.175.8156.9+5.360%
Last 5 (5)76.285.4161.6-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.583.2155.8-10.812%
vs Similar ◀ (10)74.479.4153.8-5.030%
vs Weaker (12)84.067.5151.5+16.5100%
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +4.0+4.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +4.0+4.0
ParnuRapla
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A12/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#14
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H18/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#5
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A13/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H17/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#5
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A21/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
78.5Avg total
40.8Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.438.278.6+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.136.376.4+3.960%-
Last 30 away (15)40.740.180.8+0.747%-
Last 10 (10)40.837.778.5+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)41.237.078.2+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.541.376.7-5.827%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.235.977.1+5.360%-
vs Weaker (9)45.736.982.6+8.878%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rakvere Tarvas
#16
W
54-35
54
35
+19
A11/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H18/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A24/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H28/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#3
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H13/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A17/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H21/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
77.4Avg total
36.9Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.138.776.8-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.239.075.2-2.840%-
Last 30 away (15)40.138.378.4+1.753%-
Last 10 (10)36.940.577.4-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)33.245.078.2-11.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.942.176.0-8.212%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.940.877.7-3.930%-
vs Weaker (12)42.034.676.6+7.483%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.3 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.7
50.4%
51.6%39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.0
37.0%
29.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.713.3
80.0%
69.1%13.3
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 70.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀17%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.521.5
60.6%
51.6%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.54.0
17.0%
29.1%12.0
🏀 Free throws24.015.5
64.6%
69.1%15.5
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/2 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parnu
WWLLLLLLWL
Rapla
LLWLLWWWWW
#3
League position
#5
+7.6
Net rating
-14.3
113.0
Offensive rating
101.0
105.4
Defensive rating
115.3
52.4%
Effective FG%
46.6%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
16.0%
Turnover %
19.4%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
37.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.41
37.0%
3-point %
17.0%
62.8%
Assist %
54.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 101.0Defence105.4 · 115.3Shooting52.4% · 46.6%3-point %37.0% · 17.0%Ball care16.0% · 19.4%Off. rebounds33.0% · 37.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Parnu   ■ Rapla
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Parnu wins
3
Rapla wins
DateGameScore
21/04/23Rapla v Parnu72-80
17/04/23Parnu v Rapla83-71
13/04/23Rapla v Parnu95-93 OT
24/01/23Rapla v Parnu73-76
26/11/22Parnu v Rapla66-81
04/05/22Rapla v Parnu76-86
02/05/22Parnu v Rapla97-81
29/04/22Rapla v Parnu80-67
27/04/22Parnu v Rapla75-64
18/04/22Parnu v Rapla79-72
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/23ARapla80-72
17/04/23HRapla83-71
13/04/23ARapla93-95 OT
18/03/23HBC Kalev/Cramo78-83
15/03/23HTallinna Kalev77-93
12/03/23ABK Ogre68-81
11/03/23ABK Liepaja98-102 OT
08/03/23AVentspils84-91
04/03/23HLatvijas Universitate81-65
01/03/23ATal Tech79-85
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/23HParnu72-80
17/04/23AParnu71-83
13/04/23HParnu95-93 OT
28/03/23HVEF Riga89-94
24/03/23AVEF Riga54-77
15/03/23ALatvijas Universitate66-61
11/03/23HValmiera Glass Via96-64
01/03/23ABC Kalev/Cramo83-77
18/02/23HTal Tech83-70
11/02/23ARakvere Tarvas102-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game85.383.086.5
Allowed / game79.371.083.5
Point differential+6.0+12.0+3.0
Avg total164.7154.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %33%0%50%
Rapla
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game79.383.571.0
Allowed / game85.386.583.0
Point differential-6.0-3.0-12.0
Avg total164.7170.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %33%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo330100%86.758.3+28.3
2 Tartu Ulikool330100%81.065.0+16.0
3 Viimsi330100%79.772.0+7.7
4 Parnu32167%85.379.3+6.0
5 Rapla31233%79.385.3-6.0
6 Tal Tech3030%72.079.7-7.7
7 Keila KK3030%65.081.0-16.0
8 Tallinna Kalev3030%58.386.7-28.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parnu1318141358
Rapla1621162275
← all games of the day
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