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BK Ogre vs Valga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 86-73
24-10 18-23 17-21 27-19
Position#4
Record12-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game80.7
BK Ogre 🏆
vs
Position#13
Record4-12
FormLWLLW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game80.4
Meetings · BK Ogre v Valga
26 Jan 2019
BK O86
VALG73
02 May 2018
BK O85
VALG51
25 Apr 2018
BK O94
VALG79
25 Nov 2017
BK O65
VALG61
15 Mar 2017
BK O98
VALG89
30 Mar 2016
BK O74
VALG81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Ogre winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jurmala
#7
W
104-83
104
83
+21
H03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#11
W
86-60
86
60
+26
A11/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#14
W
95-68
95
68
+27
H17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
W
92-84
92
84
+8
A24/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#12
W
86-71
86
71
+15
A08/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
108-111 OT
108
111
-3
A20/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#10
W
94-77
94
77
+17
H09/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Jurmala
#7
L
84-90
84
90
-6
A12/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
86-79
86
79
+7
A18/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
28-17
32-17
20-21
18-14
17-16
26-11
25-19
16-18
25-20
32-12
22-18
22-22
24-23
21-13
25-26
22-14
25-20
11-22
28-15
24-25
23-17
20-20
17-15
24-23
20-20
17-21
26-23
20-18
19-18
32-21
23-20
23-22
17-19
19-22
25-27
20-22
23-18
17-23
26-16
171.9Avg total
91.9Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)91.280.7171.9+10.571%
Season at home (8)94.079.8173.8+14.275%
Season away (9)88.781.6170.2+7.167%
Last 10 (10)91.980.0171.9+11.980%
Last 5 (5)91.286.8178.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)87.192.8179.9-5.625%
vs Similar (4)75.884.2160.0-8.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)89.875.4165.2+14.489%
This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValgaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#14
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#1
L
65-82
65
82
-17
H09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
78-96
78
96
-18
A15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
W
83-81
83
81
+2
A24/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H08/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
L
64-87
64
87
-23
H15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Jekabpils
#15
W
79-61
79
61
+18
A23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
L
70-85
70
85
-15
H09/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#1
L
56-77
56
77
-21
A12/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Jurmala
#7
W
85-66
85
66
+19
A19/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
16-8
11-20
27-29
22-17
13-24
18-26
12-15
17-23
9-19
28-25
24-29
23-25
20-19
26-16
14-21
24-18
12-24
20-16
23-25
18-20
16-28
17-18
13-21
22-14
20-17
20-15
17-15
15-23
18-20
18-24
19-18
13-20
21-22
12-16
10-19
22-23
16-21
18-15
29-7
153.8Avg total
73.5Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)71.580.4151.9-8.925%
Season at home (8)67.880.6148.4-12.912%
Season away (8)75.280.1155.4-4.938%
Last 10 (10)73.580.3153.8-6.830%
Last 5 (5)70.875.2146.0-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)69.585.7155.2-16.210%
vs Similar (8)75.979.4155.2-3.538%
vs Weaker (2)92.074.5166.5+17.5100%
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -1.1-1.1
BK OgreValga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jurmala
#7
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#11
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A11/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#14
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A24/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#12
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A08/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A20/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#10
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H09/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Jurmala
#7
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A12/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A18/01
Latvia-Estonian League
82.8Avg total
43.4Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.738.481.1+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.138.583.5+6.669%-
Last 30 away (17)40.938.379.2+2.665%-
Last 10 (10)43.439.482.8+4.090%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.483.0+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.044.184.1-4.138%-
vs Similar (4)37.538.876.2-1.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)45.135.780.8+9.389%-
This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#14
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A24/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H08/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Jekabpils
#15
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H09/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#1
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A12/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Jurmala
#7
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A19/01
Latvia-Estonian League
77.2Avg total
35.9Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.142.878.9-6.723%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.943.077.9-8.120%-
Last 30 away (15)37.342.679.9-5.327%-
Last 10 (10)35.941.377.2-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)36.241.677.8-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)34.644.679.3-10.05%-
vs Similar (8)36.938.675.5-1.850%-
vs Weaker (2)47.541.088.5+6.5100%-
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
BK Ogre wins
3
Valga wins
DateGameScore
12/10/18Valga v BK Ogre65-81
02/05/18BK Ogre v Valga85-51
29/04/18Valga v BK Ogre81-93
25/04/18BK Ogre v Valga94-79
24/03/18Valga v BK Ogre63-78
25/11/17BK Ogre v Valga65-61
15/03/17BK Ogre v Valga98-89
08/11/16Valga v BK Ogre89-66
30/03/16BK Ogre v Valga74-81 OT
09/01/16Valga v BK Ogre98-83
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/19AParnu86-79
12/01/19AJurmala84-90
09/01/19HTallinna Kalev94-77
20/12/18AVEF Riga108-111 OT
15/12/18HRapla84-77
08/12/18AValmiera Glass Via86-71
24/11/18ATal Tech92-84
17/11/18HBK Liepaja95-68
11/11/18ALatvijas Universitate86-60
03/11/18HJurmala104-83
Valgalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/19AJurmala85-66
12/01/19AVentspils56-77
09/01/19HRapla70-85
23/12/18AJekabpils79-61
15/12/18HTal Tech64-87
08/12/18HTartu Ulikool79-83
24/11/18ARapla83-81
15/11/18AVEF Riga78-96
09/11/18HVentspils65-82
03/11/18ABK Liepaja76-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW71%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game91.294.088.7
Allowed / game80.779.881.6
Point differential+10.5+14.2+7.1
Avg total171.9173.8170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%62%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Valga
Latvia-Estonian League 2018
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW25%
HomeLLLLL12%
AwayLWWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %25%12%38%
Points / game71.567.875.2
Allowed / game80.480.680.1
Point differential-8.9-12.9-4.9
Avg total151.9148.4155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ventspils1918195%88.270.8+17.3
2 VEF Riga1917289%89.771.4+18.3
3 BC Kalev/Cramo1816289%90.371.2+19.1
4 BK Ogre1712571%91.280.7+10.5
5 Tal Tech1810856%80.781.7-1.0
6 Tallinna Kalev189950%78.377.5+0.8
7 Jurmala21101148%77.779.7-2.0
8 Tartu Ulikool157847%79.981.7-1.8
9 Rapla1881044%77.480.7-3.3
10 Parnu1981142%73.978.7-4.8
11 Valmiera Glass Via1861233%82.387.8-5.5
12 Latvijas Universitate1751229%69.279.2-10.1
13 Valga1641225%71.580.4-8.9
14 BK Liepaja1741324%76.889.8-13.0
15 Jekabpils180180%67.987.0-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BK Ogre2418172786
Valga1023211973
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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