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BK Ogre vs Viimsi Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-71
28-15 13-18 22-17 25-21
Position#7
Record5-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game77.1
BK Ogre 🏆
vs
Position#15
Record1-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game63.2
Allowed / game89.6
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Ogres
Other2023
Meetings · BK Ogre v Viimsi
19 Jan 2027
BK O v VIIM
upcoming
19 Nov 2025
BK O77
VIIM67
08 Mar 2025
BK O93
VIIM80
15 Nov 2023
BK O88
VIIM71
07 Dec 2022
BK O88
VIIM74
12 Mar 2022
BK O100
VIIM77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Ogre winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Viimsi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOgre
Date
Competition
Rapla
#10
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
76avg 73
H29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
74-94
74
94
-20
66avg 73
H04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
78-64
78
64
+14
75avg 73
A07/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
91-59
91
59
+32
99avg 73
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
86-62
86
62
+24
86avg 73
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
71-80
71
80
-9
69avg 73
A18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
65-80
65
80
-15
56avg 73
H21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
94-73
94
73
+21
86avg 73
A27/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
W
85-76
85
76
+9
88avg 73
A04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
51-106
51
106
-55
30avg 73
A10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
25-11
12-18
16-14
22-17
14-27
20-27
18-23
21-14
19-9
18-18
20-23
23-15
29-19
18-14
21-11
22-20
22-13
22-16
20-13
11-18
14-22
26-21
20-19
29-16
16-20
6-21
14-23
19-9
22-22
24-19
29-23
29-18
15-24
25-19
16-15
13-24
13-31
14-27
11-24
154.1Avg total
77.0Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.077.1154.1-0.150%
Season at home (4)75.078.2153.2-3.225%
Season away (6)78.376.3154.7+2.067%
Last 10 (10)77.077.1154.1-0.150%
Last 5 (5)73.283.0156.2-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)70.184.2154.4-14.125%
vs Similar (10)79.285.4164.6-6.230%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)88.371.3159.7+17.075%
This opponent (Viimsi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ViimsiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormViimsi
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#12
L
72-90
72
90
-18
60avg 61
H24/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
61-106
61
106
-45
52avg 61
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
59-96
59
96
-37
45avg 61
A04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
69-56
69
56
+13
61avg 61
A08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
59-91
59
91
-32
43avg 61
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
75-104
75
104
-29
63avg 61
H15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
L
67-88
67
88
-21
58avg 61
H22/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
63-79
63
79
-16
48avg 61
A28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
46-96
46
96
-50
26avg 61
A04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
61-90
61
90
-29
54avg 61
H12/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-28
19-19
21-21
24-22
14-18
7-31
19-26
21-31
21-26
13-27
13-20
12-23
18-18
17-14
11-16
23-8
15-23
19-29
14-18
11-21
27-19
13-31
21-26
14-28
13-26
27-16
12-23
15-23
24-22
13-18
15-20
11-19
13-20
14-27
14-19
5-30
17-15
12-23
14-24
18-28
152.8Avg total
63.2Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)63.289.6152.8-26.410%
Season at home (5)66.892.6159.4-25.80%
Season away (5)59.686.6146.2-27.020%
Last 10 (10)63.289.6152.8-26.410%
Last 5 (5)62.491.4153.8-29.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)69.491.8161.2-22.45%
vs Similar (8)78.678.1156.8+0.550%
vs Weaker (3)79.772.0151.7+7.7100%
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -8.1-8.1Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -7.9-7.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -8.1-8.1Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -7.9-7.9
BK OgreViimsi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rapla
#10
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
40-23
40
23
+17
A07/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A27/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
26-55
26
55
-29
A10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
76.3Avg total
39.1Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.982.9+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.041.584.5+1.554%-
Last 30 away (17)41.240.581.7+0.653%-
Last 10 (10)39.137.276.3+1.970%-
Last 5 (5)36.240.877.0-4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.642.178.8-5.525%-
vs Similar (10)43.345.288.5-1.940%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.436.681.0+7.883%-
This opponent (Viimsi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ViimsiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#12
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H24/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
21-49
21
49
-28
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H22/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H12/11
Latvia-Estonian League
77.4Avg total
32.4Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.242.179.3-5.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.641.778.2-5.144%-
Last 30 away (14)37.942.680.5-4.843%-
Last 10 (10)32.445.077.4-12.610%-
Last 5 (5)34.643.478.0-8.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)35.645.481.0-9.721%-
vs Similar (8)40.037.677.6+2.475%-
vs Weaker (3)39.333.773.0+5.7100%-
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Ogre: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.020.5
50.0%
50.5%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.26.9
31.1%
32.1%20.7
🏀 Free throws19.214.1
73.4%
70.5%14.1
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Viimsitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Viimsi: 62.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.015.7
43.6%
50.5%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.76.3
24.5%
32.1%18.9
🏀 Free throws18.612.1
65.1%
70.5%12.1
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Ogre
LWWLLWWWLL
Viimsi
LLLLLLWLLL
#7
League position
#15
-0.7
Net rating
-34.8
100.1
Offensive rating
82.3
100.7
Defensive rating
117.1
48.8%
Effective FG%
40.8%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
21.6%
Turnover %
19.3%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
22.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.1%
3-point %
24.5%
70.4%
Assist %
73.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence100.1 · 82.3Defence100.7 · 117.1Shooting48.8% · 40.8%3-point %31.1% · 24.5%Ball care21.6% · 19.3%Off. rebounds32.2% · 22.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ BK Ogre   ■ Viimsi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
BK Ogre wins
1
Viimsi wins
DateGameScore
11/10/23Viimsi v BK Ogre59-91
07/12/22BK Ogre v Viimsi88-74
02/11/22Viimsi v BK Ogre78-70
12/03/22BK Ogre v Viimsi100-77
05/02/22Viimsi v BK Ogre67-74
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/23ABC Kalev/Cramo51-106
04/11/23APrometey85-76
27/10/23AValmiera Glass Via94-73
21/10/23HTartu Ulikool65-80
18/10/23AKeila KK71-80
14/10/23HBK Liepaja86-62
11/10/23AViimsi91-59
07/10/23ALatvijas Universitate78-64
04/10/23HVEF Riga74-94
29/09/23HRapla75-77 OT
Viimsilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23HTartu Ulikool61-90
04/11/23AVEF Riga46-96
28/10/23AParnu63-79
22/10/23HRapla67-88
15/10/23HVentspils75-104
11/10/23HBK Ogre59-91
08/10/23ATallinna Kalev69-56
04/10/23ATal Tech59-96
30/09/23APrometey61-106
24/09/23HKeila KK72-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayWLWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %50%25%67%
Points / game77.075.078.3
Allowed / game77.178.276.3
Point differential-0.1-3.2+2.0
Avg total154.1153.2154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %10%25%0%
Viimsi
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL10%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %10%0%20%
Points / game63.266.859.6
Allowed / game89.692.686.6
Point differential-26.4-25.8-27.0
Avg total152.8159.4146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo880100%94.265.5+28.8
2 Prometey76186%89.471.6+17.9
3 Tartu Ulikool97278%80.169.0+11.1
4 Rigas Zelli86275%78.166.4+11.8
5 VEF Riga96367%84.869.6+15.2
6 Tal Tech96367%81.078.6+2.4
7 Parnu85362%75.973.9+2.0
8 Ventspils95456%90.386.0+4.3
9 BK Liepaja95456%83.683.2+0.3
10 BK Ogre105550%77.077.1-0.1
11 Keila KK94544%80.081.0-1.0
12 Rapla113827%74.577.8-3.4
13 Tallinna Kalev92722%65.281.7-16.4
14 Valmiera Glass Via102820%74.587.2-12.7
15 Latvijas Universitate112918%68.584.9-16.4
16 Viimsi101910%63.289.6-26.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BK Ogre2813222588
Viimsi1518172171
← all games of the day
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