PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Keila KK vs BK Ogre Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 80-71
18-11 22-14 21-26 19-20
Position#12
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#7
Record3-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game71.2
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Keila Tervisekeskus (Keila)
Other2023
Meetings · Keila KK v BK Ogre
06 Mar 2027
KEIL v BK O
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
KEIL74
BK O90
12 Oct 2024
KEIL83
BK O96
18 Oct 2023
KEIL80
BK O71
30 Oct 2022
KEIL81
BK O87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keila KK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BK Ogre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keila KKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#4
W
80-75
80
75
+5
no box
H03/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
56-83
56
83
-27
no box
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
W
94-88
94
88
+6
no box
A17/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
60-65
60
65
-5
45avg 55
A14/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
61-83
61
83
-22
46avg 55
H18/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
74-95
74
95
-21
55avg 55
A23/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Viimsi
#15
W
90-72
90
72
+18
86avg 55
A24/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
66-83
66
83
-17
50avg 55
A27/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
56-77
56
77
-21
40avg 55
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
74-89
74
89
-15
61avg 55
H06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-15
17-21
12-19
23-20
16-19
12-25
16-18
12-21
34-17
20-23
24-30
16-18
18-15
16-22
17-12
9-16
21-23
22-19
10-27
8-14
23-19
13-33
16-28
22-15
28-8
19-19
21-21
22-24
15-22
20-21
9-22
22-18
12-19
17-7
9-29
18-22
11-16
15-23
25-21
23-29
152.1Avg total
71.1Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.580.2151.8-8.825%
Season at home (1)74.089.0163.0-15.00%
Season away (3)70.777.3148.0-6.733%
Last 10 (10)71.181.0152.1-9.930%
Last 5 (5)72.083.2155.2-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)69.087.1156.0-18.114%
vs Similar (4)88.588.0176.5+0.575%
vs Weaker (4)95.579.0174.5+16.5100%
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOgre
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#4
L
79-93
79
93
-14
no box
H27/04
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
L
66-78
66
78
-12
no box
H04/05
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
L
108-111 OT
108
111
-3
no box
A07/05
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
H10/05
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
no box
A13/05
LBL
Rapla
#10
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
76avg 80
H29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
74-94
74
94
-20
66avg 80
H04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
78-64
78
64
+14
75avg 80
A07/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
91-59
91
59
+32
99avg 80
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
86-62
86
62
+24
86avg 80
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
17-24
14-25
24-17
19-31
19-19
15-11
13-17
29-29
28-12
11-19
18-26
26-20
24-24
16-19
16-18
25-19
17-20
19-21
14-22
13-23
25-11
12-18
16-14
22-17
14-27
20-27
18-23
21-14
19-9
18-18
20-23
23-15
29-19
18-14
21-11
22-20
22-13
22-16
20-13
161.5Avg total
81.4Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.871.2152.0+9.660%
Season at home (3)78.377.7156.0+0.733%
Season away (2)84.561.5146.0+23.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.480.1161.5+1.340%
Last 5 (5)80.871.2152.0+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.984.6156.4-12.714%
vs Similar (10)80.785.3166.0-4.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)88.471.8160.2+16.577%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -6.8-6.8Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -6.8-6.8Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
Keila KKBK Ogre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#4
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H03/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A17/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A14/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H18/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A23/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Viimsi
#15
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A24/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A27/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
76.3Avg total
37.7Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.941.480.3-2.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.442.283.6-0.850%-
Last 30 away (16)36.740.677.3-3.944%-
Last 10 (10)37.738.676.3-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)34.637.472.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)35.742.378.0-6.636%-
vs Similar (4)42.843.085.8-0.250%-
vs Weaker (4)52.834.587.2+18.2100%-
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#4
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H27/04
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H04/05
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A07/05
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H10/05
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A13/05
LBL
Rapla
#10
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
40-23
40
23
+17
A07/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
83.1Avg total
43.8Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.983.6-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.743.284.9-1.540%-
Last 30 away (15)41.840.582.3+1.347%-
Last 10 (10)43.839.383.1+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)42.033.675.6+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.642.679.1-6.014%-
vs Similar (10)41.746.187.8-4.430%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.538.282.8+6.369%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 67.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.7 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.416.9
42.8%
50.5%33.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.77.6
26.4%
32.1%22.7
🏀 Free throws16.411.1
67.8%
70.5%11.1
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Ogre: 68.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.7 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.3
54.0%
50.5%38.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.05.3
29.6%
32.1%16.0
🏀 Free throws19.314.2
73.3%
70.5%14.2
They take 53.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/6 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keila KK
LLLWLLLWLW
BK Ogre
WWWLLLWLLL
#12
League position
#7
-15.8
Net rating
+14.5
86.0
Offensive rating
105.0
101.8
Defensive rating
90.5
41.4%
Effective FG%
50.8%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
45.7%
17.5%
Turnover %
22.0%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
35.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.36
26.4%
3-point %
29.6%
53.8%
Assist %
71.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence86.0 · 105.0Defence101.8 · 90.5Shooting41.4% · 50.8%3-point %26.4% · 29.6%Ball care17.5% · 22.0%Off. rebounds24.4% · 35.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Keila KK   ■ BK Ogre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Keila KK wins
2
BK Ogre wins
DateGameScore
21/01/23BK Ogre v Keila KK97-76
30/10/22Keila KK v BK Ogre81-87
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/23HPrometey74-89
30/09/23ARigas Zelli56-77
27/09/23AParnu66-83
24/09/23AViimsi90-72
23/04/23ATartu Ulikool74-95
18/04/23HTartu Ulikool61-83
14/04/23ATartu Ulikool60-65
17/03/23AValmiera Glass Via94-88
11/03/23ABC Kalev/Cramo56-83
03/03/23HTartu Ulikool80-75
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23HBK Liepaja86-62
11/10/23AViimsi91-59
07/10/23ALatvijas Universitate78-64
04/10/23HVEF Riga74-94
29/09/23HRapla75-77 OT
13/05/23ABK Liepaja75-82
10/05/23HBK Liepaja82-81
07/05/23ABK Liepaja108-111 OT
04/05/23HBK Liepaja66-78
27/04/23HVentspils79-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keila KK
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeL0%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%0%33%
Points / game71.574.070.7
Allowed / game80.289.077.3
Point differential-8.8-15.0-6.7
Avg total151.8163.0148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%33%100%
Points / game80.878.384.5
Allowed / game71.277.761.5
Point differential+9.6+0.7+23.0
Avg total152.0156.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %20%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Prometey330100%95.067.0+28.0
2 BC Kalev/Cramo440100%92.267.0+25.2
3 Rigas Zelli43175%74.563.0+11.5
4 Tal Tech43175%87.878.0+9.8
5 BK Ogre53260%80.871.2+9.6
6 VEF Riga42250%81.073.0+8.0
7 Ventspils42250%96.590.0+6.5
8 BK Liepaja42250%86.586.2+0.2
9 Parnu42250%73.072.8+0.2
10 Tartu Ulikool42250%72.872.5+0.2
11 Tallinna Kalev42250%68.079.5-11.5
12 Valmiera Glass Via52340%75.879.0-3.2
13 Rapla52340%72.276.6-4.4
14 Keila KK41325%71.580.2-8.8
15 Latvijas Universitate61517%67.085.7-18.7
16 Viimsi61517%65.890.5-24.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keila KK1822211980
BK Ogre1114262071
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.