BMS Herlev will host Copenhagen on 4 November 2026 in the Basketligaen, with Copenhagen the clear favourite as the Pythia model rates them 95% to win, reflecting their 4-3 record and 81.9 points per game compared with Herlev's 1-7 record and 77.0 points per game. Herlev has struggled all season, allowing 98.1 points per game and winning only one of eight games, while on home soil they have lost every game, 0-4, and have been outscored 108.0 to 79.8 points. Their last five games yielded no victories, including a 99-107 loss to Vaerlose at home on 30 October, a 67-105 defeat to Bakken Bears away on 24 October, and a 71-93 loss to Randers away on 18 October. Copenhagen, meanwhile, has posted a 4-3 record, averaging 81.6 points allowed and 81.9 scored, and has won two of its last three road outings, with a 78-66 victory over Bears Academy on 17 October. In the two meetings between the clubs, Copenhagen has won both, most recently 96-72 on 18 December 2025. Pythia projects a 74-94 score, a total of 167.8 points, and a 44% chance that Copenhagen will cover the 17.5-point home line; the game has a 1% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 77.0 | 98.1 | 175.1 | -21.1 | 12% |
| Season at home (4) | 79.8 | 108.0 | 187.8 | -28.2 | 0% |
| Season away (4) | 74.2 | 88.2 | 162.5 | -14.0 | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 78.8 | 92.0 | 170.8 | -13.2 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 73.8 | 100.4 | 174.2 | -26.6 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (24) | 76.1 | 97.0 | 173.1 | -20.9 | 12% |
| vs Similar (6) | 84.0 | 80.7 | 164.7 | +3.3 | 67% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 81.9 | 81.6 | 163.4 | +0.3 | 57% |
| Season at home (4) | 88.0 | 88.2 | 176.2 | -0.2 | 50% |
| Season away (3) | 73.7 | 72.7 | 146.3 | +1.0 | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 80.2 | 84.5 | 164.7 | -4.3 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 81.6 | 87.0 | 168.6 | -5.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (19) | 81.3 | 90.8 | 172.1 | -9.5 | 16% |
| vs Similar | no games | ||||
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 89.4 | 78.1 | 167.5 | +11.3 | 91% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 83.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.4 | 47.4 | 87.7 | -7.0 | 33% | 63% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 40.3 | 47.8 | 88.1 | -7.5 | 38% | 62% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 40.4 | 46.9 | 87.3 | -6.4 | 29% | 64% |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.0 | 47.4 | 88.4 | -6.4 | 50% | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 38.2 | 49.8 | 88.0 | -11.6 | 40% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (24) | 39.3 | 49.6 | 88.9 | -10.3 | 21% | 71% |
| vs Similar (6) | 44.7 | 38.3 | 83.0 | +6.3 | 83% | 33% |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 83.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.1 | 42.6 | 83.8 | -1.5 | 43% | 57% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 43.1 | 43.7 | 86.8 | -0.6 | 38% | 75% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 38.9 | 41.4 | 80.3 | -2.6 | 50% | 36% |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.7 | 40.9 | 78.6 | -3.2 | 50% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 40.2 | 43.4 | 83.6 | -3.2 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (19) | 37.9 | 44.4 | 82.3 | -6.5 | 21% | 58% |
| vs Similar | no games | |||||
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 46.7 | 39.5 | 86.3 | +7.2 | 82% | 55% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Copenhagen -9.5 | 80.6% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +10.1pp | Won |
| Copenhagen -11.5 | 75.4% | 1.38 | 1.40 | 1.36 | - | - | - | +10.1pp | Won |
| Copenhagen over 80.5 | 90.6% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +10.1pp | Won |
| Copenhagen over 86.5 | 76.2% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +10.0pp | Won |
| Copenhagen -12.5 | 72.5% | 1.46 | 1.47 | 1.47 | 1.44 | - | - | +10.0pp | Won |
| Copenhagen -10.5 | 78.1% | 1.33 | 1.35 | 1.30 | - | - | - | +9.9pp | Won |
| Copenhagen (regulation) | 94.1% | 1.07 | 1.07 | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | +9.3pp | Won |
| Copenhagen over 85.5 | 79.2% | 1.30 | 1.32 | 1.28 | - | - | - | +9.3pp | Won |
| Copenhagen over 81.5 | 88.8% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +9.3pp | Won |
| Copenhagen over 83.5 | 84.5% | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | - | - | +9.2pp | Won |
| Copenhagen -13 | 71.7% | 1.50 | 1.50 | - | - | - | - | +9.2pp | Won |
| Copenhagen over 87.5 | 72.9% | 1.41 | 1.43 | 1.39 | - | - | - | +9.0pp | Won |
| Copenhagen over 82.5 | 86.8% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +9.0pp | Won |
| Copenhagen -7.5 | 85.0% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +8.8pp | Won |
| Copenhagen over 78.5 | 93.5% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +8.5pp | Won |
| Copenhagen over 79.5 | 92.1% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +8.3pp | Won |
| Copenhagen over 76.5 | 95.6% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +8.1pp | Won |
| Copenhagen over 74.5 | 97.2% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +7.8pp | Won |
| Copenhagen over 77.5 | 94.7% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +7.5pp | Won |
| Copenhagen over 75.5 | 96.5% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +7.5pp | Won |
| Copenhagen over 72.5 | 98.2% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +7.5pp | Won |
| Copenhagen win | 95.0% | 1.06 | 1.07 | 1.07 | 1.06 | 1.06 | 1.06 | +7.5pp | Won |
| Copenhagen over 73.5 | 97.7% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| Copenhagen over 71.5 | 98.6% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +7.1pp | Won |
| Copenhagen over 70.5 | 98.9% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| BMS Herlev under 80.5 | 73.6% | 1.36 | 1.40 | 1.37 | 1.32 | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| BMS Herlev under 85.5 | 86.9% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +6.4pp | Won |
| BMS Herlev under 81.5 | 76.8% | 1.24 | 1.24 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| BMS Herlev under 79.5 | 70.3% | 1.40 | 1.42 | 1.37 | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Won |
| BMS Herlev under 84.5 | 84.7% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| BMS Herlev under 82.5 | 79.7% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| BMS Herlev under 86.5 | 88.8% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| Copenhagen -2.5 | 92.9% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| BMS Herlev under 92.5 | 96.1% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| BMS Herlev under 90.5 | 94.4% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| BMS Herlev under 88.5 | 92.0% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Copenhagen +2.5 | 96.3% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| BMS Herlev under 94.5 | 97.4% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| BMS Herlev under 95.5 | 97.9% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Copenhagen +7.5 | 98.4% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| BMS Herlev under 96.5 | 98.3% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.6pp | Won |
| Under 192.5 | 93.6% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.9pp | Won |
| Over 142.5 | 94.1% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.9pp | Won |
| Over 152.5 | 82.7% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +3.2pp | Won |
| Over 147.5 | 89.5% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +2.9pp | Won |
| Under 182.5 | 82.0% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +2.5pp | Won |
| Under 187.5 | 88.9% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +2.2pp | Won |
| Over 157.5 | 73.7% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +1.8pp | Won |
| Under 177.5 | 72.8% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +0.9pp | Won |
| Copenhagen under 99.5 | 72.8% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +0.4pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.9 | 19.2 | 55.2% | 38.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.1 | 9.0 | 31.2% | 27.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.8 | 13.2 | 68.0% | 13.2 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.2 | 20.8 | 55.2% | 41.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 31.4 | 8.6 | 31.2% | 25.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.9 | 12.8 | 68.0% | 12.8 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18/12/25 | BMS Herlev v Copenhagen | 72-96 |
| 23/09/25 | Copenhagen v BMS Herlev | 100-79 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/26 | H | Vaerlose | 99-107 OT |
| 24/10/26 | A | Bakken Bears | 67-105 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Randers | 71-93 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Team FOG Naestved | 55-117 |
| 01/10/26 | A | Holbaek-Stenhus | 77-80 |
| 26/09/26 | H | Vejen | 95-106 |
| 23/09/26 | H | Gladsaxe | 70-102 |
| 20/09/26 | A | Bears Academy | 82-75 |
| 23/04/26 | H | Amager | 75-61 |
| 19/04/26 | A | Vaerlose | 97-74 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | H | Svendborg | 98-103 OT |
| 24/10/26 | H | Vejen | 97-96 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Bears Academy | 78-66 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Horsens | 69-80 |
| 30/09/26 | A | Team FOG Naestved | 66-90 |
| 26/09/26 | A | Gladsaxe | 77-62 |
| 22/09/26 | H | Vaerlose | 88-74 |
| 20/04/26 | A | Randers | 63-97 |
| 17/04/26 | H | Team FOG Naestved | 98-104 OT |
| 09/04/26 | A | Svendborg | 68-73 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLL | 12% |
| Home | LLLL | 0% |
| Away | WLLL | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Win % | 12% | 0% | 25% |
| Points / game | 77.0 | 79.8 | 74.2 |
| Allowed / game | 98.1 | 108.0 | 88.2 |
| Point differential | -21.1 | -28.2 | -14.0 |
| Avg total | 175.1 | 187.8 | 162.5 |
| Over 169.25 | 62% | 100% | 25% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 12% | 25% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWWL | 57% |
| Home | WLWL | 50% |
| Away | WLW | 67% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Win % | 57% | 50% | 67% |
| Points / game | 81.9 | 88.0 | 73.7 |
| Allowed / game | 81.6 | 88.2 | 72.7 |
| Point differential | +0.3 | -0.2 | +1.0 |
| Avg total | 163.4 | 176.2 | 146.3 |
| Over 169.25 | 29% | 50% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 50% (2) | - |
| Overtime % | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 100% | 103.8 | 70.2 | +33.5 | |
| 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 105.6 | 76.1 | +29.4 | |
| 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 88.2 | 79.9 | +8.3 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 91.1 | 82.5 | +8.6 | |
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 95.2 | 85.8 | +9.5 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 81.9 | 81.6 | +0.3 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 76.1 | 89.1 | -13.0 | |
| 8 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 82.4 | 92.0 | -9.6 | |
| 9 | Gladsaxe | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 77.9 | 90.0 | -12.1 |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 81.0 | 95.5 | -14.5 | |
| 11 | BMS Herlev | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 77.0 | 98.1 | -21.1 |
| 12 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 11% | 78.1 | 92.9 | -14.8 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BMS Herlev | 17 | 20 | 11 | 19 | 67 |
| 12 | 18 | 33 | 30 | 93 |
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