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Vaerlose vs BMS Herlev Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 93-76
19-25 25-17 26-20 23-14
Position#6
Record4-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game90.4
vs
Position#10
Record3-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game88.1
DenmarkBasketligaen· Sondersohallen
Other2025-26
Meetings · Vaerlose v BMS Herlev
18 Feb 2027
VAER v BMS
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
VAER74
BMS 97
06 Nov 2025
VAER93
BMS 76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BMS Herlev winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#11
W
104-93
104
93
+11
102avg 70
H12/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
74-90
74
90
-16
62avg 70
A24/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
88-81
88
81
+7
82avg 70
A23/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
80-76
80
76
+4
76avg 70
H04/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
68-124
68
124
-56
59avg 70
H09/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
91-72
91
72
+19
91avg 70
A12/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
57-115
57
115
-58
44avg 70
A15/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
60-74
60
74
-14
48avg 70
H26/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
87-83
87
83
+4
76avg 70
H29/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
72-98
72
98
-26
56avg 70
A02/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-24
30-27
15-18
30-24
16-20
22-27
17-29
19-14
29-19
23-21
17-18
19-23
21-23
24-17
21-23
14-13
18-36
13-31
24-25
13-32
20-23
18-14
35-17
18-18
10-28
15-29
12-24
20-34
17-19
9-20
17-18
17-17
24-23
22-20
27-25
14-15
16-35
15-14
24-29
17-20
168.7Avg total
78.1Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.490.4165.8-15.050%
Season at home (4)73.889.2163.0-15.550%
Season away (4)77.091.5168.5-14.550%
Last 10 (10)78.190.6168.7-12.550%
Last 5 (5)73.488.4161.8-15.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)71.493.5164.9-22.113%
vs Similar (14)87.483.6171.0+3.964%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (BMS Herlev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BMS HerlevDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHerlev
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#7
L
79-100
79
100
-21
no box
A23/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
75-94
75
94
-19
no box
H27/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
92-89
92
89
+3
no box
H06/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
68-90
68
90
-22
no box
H10/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
98-80
98
80
+18
no box
H25/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
103-70
103
70
+33
no box
H28/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
72-94
72
94
-22
no box
H01/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-28
23-30
19-24
23-18
18-23
15-26
17-20
25-25
28-25
28-16
25-25
11-23
25-27
15-14
16-25
12-24
33-22
17-9
22-20
26-29
21-12
29-18
32-16
21-24
13-30
21-22
21-20
17-22
172.0Avg total
83.9Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.988.1172.0-4.343%
Season at home (6)84.786.2170.8-1.550%
Season away (1)79.0100.0179.0-21.00%
Last 10 (7)83.988.1172.0-4.343%
Last 5 (5)86.684.6171.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)78.491.6170.0-13.220%
vs Similar (2)97.579.5177.0+18.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -4.3-4.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -4.3-4.3
VaerloseBMS Herlev
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#11
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H12/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A24/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A23/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H04/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
31-67
31
67
-36
H09/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A12/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
25-57
25
57
-32
A15/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H26/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H29/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A02/11
Basketligaen
86.1Avg total
39.1Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.346.086.3-5.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.045.987.9-3.944%-
Last 30 away (14)38.446.084.4-7.636%-
Last 10 (10)39.147.086.1-7.950%-
Last 5 (5)33.245.078.2-11.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)34.449.183.5-14.77%-
vs Similar (14)45.743.288.9+2.571%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (BMS Herlev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BMS HerlevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#7
L
37-58
37
58
-21
A23/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H27/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H06/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H10/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H25/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H28/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H01/11
Basketligaen
86.0Avg total
42.9Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (7)42.943.186.0-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (6)43.840.784.5+3.250%-
Last 30 away (1)37.058.095.0-21.00%-
Last 10 (7)42.943.186.0-0.343%-
Last 5 (5)46.039.085.0+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)38.846.285.0-7.420%-
vs Similar (2)53.035.588.5+17.5100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.8
53.1%
54.6%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.16.6
26.3%
32.9%19.8
🏀 Free throws22.715.7
69.2%
70.1%15.7
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BMS Herlevtheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Vaerlose wins
0
BMS Herlev wins
No previous meetings.
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/25AHorsens72-98
29/10/25HHolbaek-Stenhus87-83
26/10/25HHorsens60-74
15/10/25ATeam FOG Naestved57-115
12/10/25ABears Academy91-72
09/10/25HSvendborg68-124
04/10/25HVejen80-76
23/09/25AHolbaek-Stenhus88-81
24/04/25AAmager74-90
12/04/25HBears Academy104-93
BMS Herlevlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/25HSvendborg72-94
28/10/25HAmager103-70
25/10/25HBears Academy98-80
10/10/25HHorsens68-90
06/10/25HHolbaek-Stenhus92-89
27/09/25HRanders75-94
23/09/25ACopenhagen79-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game75.473.877.0
Allowed / game90.489.291.5
Point differential-15.0-15.5-14.5
Avg total165.8163.0168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
BMS Herlev
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Losses (last 7)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL43%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games761
Win %43%50%0%
Points / game83.984.779.0
Allowed / game88.186.2100.0
Point differential-4.3-1.5-21.0
Avg total172.0170.8179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears770100%111.772.4+39.3
2 Team FOG Naestved98189%110.084.0+26.0
3 Horsens98189%87.070.6+16.4
4 Randers97278%97.383.7+13.7
5 Svendborg86275%94.876.9+17.9
6 Copenhagen95456%89.886.4+3.3
7 Vaerlose84450%75.490.4-15.0
8 BMS Herlev73443%83.988.1-4.3
9 Holbaek-Stenhus81712%77.092.2-15.2
10 Vejen81712%73.595.4-21.9
11 Amager9090%79.7105.8-26.1
12 Bears Academy9090%74.7104.8-30.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose1925262393
BMS Herlev2517201476
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