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Falcon W vs BMS Herlev W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 98-59
26-15 23-14 24-12 25-18
Position#1
Record2-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game60.5
Falcon W 🏆
Denmark
vs
BMS Herlev W
Denmark
Position#3
Record0-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game54.0
Allowed / game58.0
DenmarkDameligaen W· Bülowshallen (Frederiksberg)
Women2023-24
Meetings · Falcon W v BMS Herlev W
18 Apr 2026
FALC48
BMS 60
28 Mar 2026
FALC54
BMS 45
15 Feb 2026
FALC49
BMS 47
18 Dec 2025
FALC71
BMS 60
23 Feb 2025
FALC96
BMS 65
26 Oct 2024
FALC58
BMS 48
04 Feb 2024
FALC76
BMS 73
08 Oct 2023
FALC98
BMS 59
26 Jan 2023
FALC70
BMS 62
22 Jan 2023
FALC62
BMS 70
28 Oct 2022
FALC72
BMS 77
29 Mar 2022
FALC70
BMS 57
18 Mar 2022
FALC82
BMS 68
29 Oct 2021
FALC75
BMS 62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Falcon W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BMS Herlev W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Falcon WDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Aabyhoj W
#3
L
69-74 OT
69
74
-5
no box
A14/01
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#2
L
62-70
62
70
-8
no box
H22/01
Denmark Cup Women
BMS Herlev W
#2
W
70-62
70
62
+8
no box
H26/01
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
75-58
75
58
+17
no box
H03/02
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#3
W
69-45
69
45
+24
no box
H19/02
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
81-67
81
67
+14
no box
A26/02
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#2
L
68-89
68
89
-21
no box
A04/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
88-65
88
65
+23
no box
H16/03
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
76-57
76
57
+19
69avg 75
H23/09
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
86-64
86
64
+22
81avg 75
A30/09
Dameligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-13
16-17
18-16
15-18
–
–
–
–
20-9
19-21
16-15
15-17
16-8
25-11
24-13
10-26
25-8
16-16
12-10
16-11
17-19
21-20
17-16
26-12
16-23
19-25
12-21
21-20
20-11
26-18
22-17
20-19
19-18
17-13
18-18
22-8
28-22
17-19
17-13
24-10
139.5Avg total
74.4Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.060.5141.5+20.5100%
Season at home (1)76.057.0133.0+19.0100%
Season away (1)86.064.0150.0+22.0100%
Last 10 (10)74.465.1139.5+9.370%
Last 5 (5)79.868.4148.2+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)75.060.4135.4+14.790%
This opponent (BMS Herlev W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BMS Herlev WDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sisu W
#5
L
72-73
72
73
-1
no box
H11/01
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
78-58
78
58
+20
no box
H14/01
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#4
W
70-62
70
62
+8
no box
A22/01
Denmark Cup Women
Falcon W
#1
L
62-70
62
70
-8
no box
A26/01
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
86-71
86
71
+15
no box
A02/02
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#3
W
63-53
63
53
+10
no box
H18/02
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
W
89-68
89
68
+21
no box
H04/03
Dameligaen W
Hobas W
#1
L
74-82
74
82
-8
no box
A12/03
Denmark Cup Women
Amager W
#4
L
60-92
60
92
-32
no box
A14/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
L
54-58
54
58
-4
42avg 42
H30/09
Dameligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-19
22-17
22-20
21-17
24-12
17-20
20-15
17-11
–
–
–
–
9-20
21-19
15-16
17-15
20-28
25-18
21-11
20-14
8-10
11-17
21-8
23-18
23-16
25-19
21-12
20-21
–
–
–
–
15-22
16-29
8-24
21-17
21-8
8-21
13-15
12-14
139.5Avg total
70.8Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)54.058.0112.0-4.00%
Season at home (1)54.058.0112.0-4.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.868.7139.5+2.150%
Last 5 (5)68.070.6138.6-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)68.576.7145.3-8.227%
vs Similar (6)69.375.0144.3-5.733%
vs Weaker (11)69.164.7133.8+4.464%
This opponent (Falcon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +3.0+3.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +3.0+3.0
Falcon WBMS Herlev W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Falcon WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aabyhoj W
#3
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A14/01
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#2
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H26/01
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
41-19
41
19
+22
H03/02
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#3
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H19/02
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A26/02
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A04/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H16/03
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H23/09
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A30/09
Dameligaen W
71.4Avg total
39.1Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.930.269.1+8.893%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.627.967.5+11.7100%-
Last 30 away (14)38.232.670.8+5.686%-
Last 10 (9)39.132.371.4+6.878%-
Last 5 (5)40.037.677.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)38.930.269.1+8.893%-
This opponent (BMS Herlev W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BMS Herlev WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sisu W
#5
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H11/01
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H14/01
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A26/01
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A02/02
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#3
L
19-27
19
27
-8
H18/02
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H04/03
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A14/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H30/09
Dameligaen W
70.9Avg total
34.0Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)35.534.970.4+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.634.169.8+1.550%-
Last 30 away (14)35.435.771.1-0.436%-
Last 10 (8)34.036.970.9-2.925%-
Last 5 (5)34.437.672.0-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)34.037.571.5-3.518%-
vs Similar (6)39.036.575.5+2.583%-
vs Weaker (10)33.732.065.7+1.740%-
This opponent (Falcon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Falcon Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Falcon W: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.4 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.521.0
47.2%
39.8%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.0
26.9%
27.2%21.0
🏀 Free throws24.517.0
69.4%
68.3%17.0
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BMS Herlev Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BMS Herlev W: 54.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.4 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.014.0
35.0%
39.8%28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.04.0
19.0%
27.2%12.0
🏀 Free throws18.014.0
77.8%
68.3%14.0
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/1 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Falcon W
WWWLWWWWLL
BMS Herlev W
LLLWWWLWWL
#1
League position
#3
+25.4
Net rating
-2.5
99.1
Offensive rating
68.8
73.7
Defensive rating
71.3
44.7%
Effective FG%
32.8%
40.9%
Opp. effective FG%
34.6%
25.4%
Turnover %
31.6%
47.7%
Off. rebound %
38.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.30
26.9%
3-point %
19.0%
53.6%
Assist %
55.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.1 · 68.8Defence73.7 · 71.3Shooting44.7% · 32.8%3-point %26.9% · 19.0%Ball care25.4% · 31.6%Off. rebounds47.7% · 38.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Falcon W   ■ BMS Herlev W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Falcon W wins
4
BMS Herlev W wins
DateGameScore
04/03/23BMS Herlev W v Falcon W89-68
26/01/23Falcon W v BMS Herlev W70-62
22/01/23Falcon W v BMS Herlev W62-70
03/12/22BMS Herlev W v Falcon W57-64
28/10/22Falcon W v BMS Herlev W72-77
02/04/22BMS Herlev W v Falcon W78-92
29/03/22Falcon W v BMS Herlev W70-57
18/03/22Falcon W v BMS Herlev W82-68
06/03/22BMS Herlev W v Falcon W54-90
09/02/22BMS Herlev W v Falcon W74-72
Falcon Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/23AAabyhoj W86-64
23/09/23HAmager W76-57
16/03/23HSisu W88-65
04/03/23ABMS Herlev W68-89
26/02/23ASisu W81-67
19/02/23HAabyhoj W69-45
03/02/23HAmager W75-58
26/01/23HBMS Herlev W70-62
22/01/23HBMS Herlev W62-70
14/01/23AAabyhoj W69-74 OT
BMS Herlev Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/23HSisu W54-58
14/03/23AAmager W60-92
12/03/23AHobas W74-82
04/03/23HFalcon W89-68
18/02/23HAabyhoj W63-53
02/02/23ASisu W86-71
26/01/23AFalcon W62-70
22/01/23AFalcon W70-62
14/01/23HAmager W78-58
11/01/23HSisu W72-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Falcon W
Dameligaen W 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game81.076.086.0
Allowed / game60.557.064.0
Point differential+20.5+19.0+22.0
Avg total141.5133.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
BMS Herlev W
Dameligaen W 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game54.054.0-
Allowed / game58.058.0-
Point differential-4.0-4.0-
Avg total112.0112.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Falcon W220100%81.060.5+20.5
2 Aabyhoj W32167%64.764.0+0.7
3 Sisu W21150%50.553.0-2.5
4 BMS Herlev W1010%54.058.0-4.0
5 Amager W2020%60.077.0-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Falcon W2623242598
BMS Herlev W1514121859
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