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BMS Herlev W vs Falcon W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 55-106
13-29 21-28 14-24 7-25
Position#3
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game59.0
Allowed / game68.3
BMS Herlev W
Denmark
vs
Falcon W 🏆
Denmark
Position#1
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game61.2
DenmarkDameligaen W· Rosenlund Ny Hal (Copenhagen)
Women2023-24
Meetings · BMS Herlev W v Falcon W
11 Apr 2026
BMS 82
FALC67
25 Oct 2025
BMS 62
FALC77
21 Dec 2024
BMS 67
FALC91
21 Sep 2024
BMS 81
FALC86
23 Mar 2024
BMS 68
FALC57
22 Oct 2023
BMS 55
FALC106
04 Mar 2023
BMS 89
FALC68
03 Dec 2022
BMS 57
FALC64
02 Apr 2022
BMS 78
FALC92
06 Mar 2022
BMS 54
FALC90
09 Feb 2022
BMS 74
FALC72
19 Jan 2022
BMS 55
FALC80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BMS Herlev W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Falcon W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BMS Herlev WDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Falcon W
#4
W
70-62
70
62
+8
no box
A22/01
Denmark Cup Women
Falcon W
#1
L
62-70
62
70
-8
no box
A26/01
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
86-71
86
71
+15
no box
A02/02
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#3
W
63-53
63
53
+10
no box
H18/02
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
W
89-68
89
68
+21
no box
H04/03
Dameligaen W
Hobas W
#1
L
74-82
74
82
-8
no box
A12/03
Denmark Cup Women
Amager W
#4
L
60-92
60
92
-32
no box
A14/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
L
54-58
54
58
-4
42avg 49
H30/09
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
59-98
59
98
-39
43avg 49
A08/10
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
64-49
64
49
+15
63avg 49
H14/10
Dameligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
9-20
21-19
15-16
17-15
20-28
25-18
21-11
20-14
8-10
11-17
21-8
23-18
23-16
25-19
21-12
20-21
–
–
–
–
15-22
16-29
8-24
21-17
21-8
8-21
13-15
12-14
15-26
14-23
12-24
18-25
16-12
21-13
12-13
15-11
138.4Avg total
68.1Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)59.068.3127.3-9.333%
Season at home (2)59.053.5112.5+5.550%
Season away (1)59.098.0157.0-39.00%
Last 10 (10)68.170.3138.4-2.250%
Last 5 (5)62.275.8138.0-13.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)66.679.3145.9-12.720%
vs Similar (7)68.671.3139.9-2.743%
vs Weaker (11)69.164.7133.8+4.464%
This opponent (Falcon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Falcon WDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
BMS Herlev W
#2
W
70-62
70
62
+8
no box
H26/01
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
75-58
75
58
+17
no box
H03/02
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#3
W
69-45
69
45
+24
no box
H19/02
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
81-67
81
67
+14
no box
A26/02
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#2
L
68-89
68
89
-21
no box
A04/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
88-65
88
65
+23
no box
H16/03
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
76-57
76
57
+19
69avg 80
H23/09
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
86-64
86
64
+22
81avg 80
A30/09
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#3
W
98-59
98
59
+39
98avg 80
H08/10
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
78-65
78
65
+13
73avg 80
A15/10
Dameligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-9
19-21
16-15
15-17
16-8
25-11
24-13
10-26
25-8
16-16
12-10
16-11
17-19
21-20
17-16
26-12
16-23
19-25
12-21
21-20
20-11
26-18
22-17
20-19
19-18
17-13
18-18
22-8
28-22
17-19
17-13
24-10
26-15
23-14
24-12
25-18
19-11
15-13
25-22
19-19
142.0Avg total
78.9Scored
63.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.561.2145.8+23.2100%
Season at home (2)87.058.0145.0+29.0100%
Season away (2)82.064.5146.5+17.5100%
Last 10 (10)78.963.1142.0+15.890%
Last 5 (5)85.262.0147.2+23.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)76.760.8137.6+15.990%
This opponent (BMS Herlev W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +3.8+3.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +3.8+3.8
BMS Herlev WFalcon W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BMS Herlev WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Falcon W
#1
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A26/01
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A02/02
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#3
L
19-27
19
27
-8
H18/02
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H04/03
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A14/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H30/09
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A08/10
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H14/10
Dameligaen W
71.1Avg total
33.5Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)35.135.070.1+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.433.468.8+1.950%-
Last 30 away (14)34.936.671.4-1.736%-
Last 10 (8)33.537.671.1-4.125%-
Last 5 (5)34.837.872.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)32.638.971.5-6.310%-
vs Similar (7)38.734.973.6+3.986%-
vs Weaker (10)33.732.065.7+1.740%-
This opponent (Falcon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Falcon WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BMS Herlev W
#2
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H26/01
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
41-19
41
19
+22
H03/02
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#3
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H19/02
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A26/02
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A04/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H16/03
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H23/09
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A30/09
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#3
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H08/10
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A15/10
Dameligaen W
71.8Avg total
40.4Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.330.069.3+9.493%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.528.268.7+12.3100%-
Last 30 away (14)38.131.970.0+6.386%-
Last 10 (10)40.431.471.8+9.080%-
Last 5 (5)42.030.872.8+11.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)39.330.069.3+9.493%-
This opponent (BMS Herlev W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BMS Herlev Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BMS Herlev W: 58.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.3 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.4 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.716.7
41.0%
39.8%33.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.74.0
19.4%
27.2%12.0
🏀 Free throws17.013.0
76.5%
68.3%13.0
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Falcon Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Falcon W: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.4 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.025.5
52.0%
39.8%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.87.0
26.2%
27.2%21.0
🏀 Free throws17.211.5
66.7%
68.3%11.5
They take 75.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/4 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BMS Herlev W
WLLLLWWWLW
Falcon W
WWWWWLWWWW
#3
League position
#1
-11.5
Net rating
+29.4
77.1
Offensive rating
105.5
88.6
Defensive rating
76.1
37.0%
Effective FG%
47.5%
43.5%
Opp. effective FG%
40.8%
28.1%
Turnover %
21.4%
36.9%
Off. rebound %
47.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.23
19.4%
3-point %
26.2%
62.9%
Assist %
63.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence77.1 · 105.5Defence88.6 · 76.1Shooting37.0% · 47.5%3-point %19.4% · 26.2%Ball care28.1% · 21.4%Off. rebounds36.9% · 47.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ BMS Herlev W   ■ Falcon W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
BMS Herlev W wins
7
Falcon W wins
DateGameScore
08/10/23Falcon W v BMS Herlev W98-59
04/03/23BMS Herlev W v Falcon W89-68
26/01/23Falcon W v BMS Herlev W70-62
22/01/23Falcon W v BMS Herlev W62-70
03/12/22BMS Herlev W v Falcon W57-64
28/10/22Falcon W v BMS Herlev W72-77
02/04/22BMS Herlev W v Falcon W78-92
29/03/22Falcon W v BMS Herlev W70-57
18/03/22Falcon W v BMS Herlev W82-68
06/03/22BMS Herlev W v Falcon W54-90
BMS Herlev Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23HAmager W64-49
08/10/23AFalcon W59-98
30/09/23HSisu W54-58
14/03/23AAmager W60-92
12/03/23AHobas W74-82
04/03/23HFalcon W89-68
18/02/23HAabyhoj W63-53
02/02/23ASisu W86-71
26/01/23AFalcon W62-70
22/01/23AFalcon W70-62
Falcon Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23ASisu W78-65
08/10/23HBMS Herlev W98-59
30/09/23AAabyhoj W86-64
23/09/23HAmager W76-57
16/03/23HSisu W88-65
04/03/23ABMS Herlev W68-89
26/02/23ASisu W81-67
19/02/23HAabyhoj W69-45
03/02/23HAmager W75-58
26/01/23HBMS Herlev W70-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BMS Herlev W
Dameligaen W 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game59.059.059.0
Allowed / game68.353.598.0
Point differential-9.3+5.5-39.0
Avg total127.3112.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Falcon W
Dameligaen W 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.587.082.0
Allowed / game61.258.064.5
Point differential+23.2+29.0+17.5
Avg total145.8145.0146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Falcon W440100%84.561.2+23.2
2 Aabyhoj W43175%66.260.8+5.5
3 Sisu W31233%55.361.3-6.0
4 BMS Herlev W31233%59.068.3-9.3
5 Amager W4040%55.072.2-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BMS Herlev W132114755
Falcon W29282425106
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