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Boca Juniors vs Independiente de Oliva Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 May 2025
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 80-78
21-23 17-15 19-20 23-20
Position#1
Record24-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game75.3
vs
Position#17
Record14-20
FormLWLWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game87.7
ArgentinaLiga A· Estadio Luis Conde
Other2024-25
Meetings · Boca Juniors v Independiente de Oliva
13 Apr 2027
BOCA v INDE
upcoming
13 Apr 2026
BOCA92
INDE86
03 May 2025
BOCA80
INDE78
13 May 2024
BOCA81
INDE73
20 Jan 2023
BOCA89
INDE83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Independiente de Oliva winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuniors
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#4
L
72-76
72
76
-4
66avg 75
H26/03
Liga A
Riachuelo
#6
W
84-77
84
77
+7
82avg 75
H29/03
Liga A
Zarate
#19
W
73-72
73
72
+1
68avg 75
A02/04
Liga A
Atenas
#13
W
82-57
82
57
+25
82avg 75
H05/04
Liga A
Obera TC
#3
W
87-77
87
77
+10
89avg 75
H09/04
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
W
80-73
80
73
+7
74avg 75
H18/04
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#1
L
57-83
57
83
-26
46avg 75
A20/04
Champions League Americas
Gimnasia
#9
W
73-62
73
62
+11
69avg 75
H23/04
Liga A
Olimpico
#15
W
84-76
84
76
+8
78avg 75
H25/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#11
W
83-77
83
77
+6
87avg 75
A29/04
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
21-21
12-26
22-6
20-20
17-16
24-18
23-23
23-18
22-15
15-19
13-20
20-14
28-17
14-13
20-13
24-22
27-17
17-24
19-14
19-19
15-15
19-13
27-26
13-30
16-19
16-11
12-23
17-18
23-13
13-20
20-11
15-20
17-16
27-16
25-24
24-19
31-19
10-20
18-19
150.5Avg total
77.5Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)80.875.3156.1+5.577%
Season at home (16)82.272.4154.6+9.988%
Season away (15)79.378.4157.7+0.967%
Last 10 (10)77.573.0150.5+4.580%
Last 5 (5)75.474.2149.6+1.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.880.0150.8-9.225%
vs Similar (7)81.176.3157.4+4.971%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)83.673.7157.3+9.883%
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Independiente de OlivaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliva
Date
Competition
Platense
#16
W
92-86
92
86
+6
87avg 77
H03/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
101-96
101
96
+5
101avg 77
A19/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
L
79-84
79
84
-5
72avg 77
H22/03
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#11
L
100-105
100
105
-5
92avg 77
H26/03
Liga A
Riachuelo
#6
W
95-88
95
88
+7
90avg 77
A08/04
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
L
99-107
99
107
-8
94avg 77
A10/04
Liga A
Olimpico
#15
W
102-97
102
97
+5
92avg 77
A12/04
Liga A
Zarate
#19
L
95-106
95
106
-11
82avg 77
H16/04
Liga A
San Martin
#10
W
93-80
93
80
+13
88avg 77
H19/04
Liga A
La Union
#18
W
82-80
82
80
+2
73avg 77
H23/04
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
24-25
23-19
29-16
33-23
24-27
21-25
23-21
12-21
24-19
20-22
23-22
31-28
18-21
25-28
26-28
14-21
32-21
26-18
23-28
27-20
26-28
23-35
23-24
20-28
24-30
30-21
28-18
34-25
20-27
25-25
16-29
20-22
28-25
25-14
20-19
23-24
28-17
12-25
19-14
186.7Avg total
93.8Scored
92.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)86.087.7173.7-1.741%
Season at home (18)88.388.4176.7-0.239%
Season away (16)83.486.9170.3-3.444%
Last 10 (10)93.892.9186.7+0.960%
Last 5 (5)94.294.0188.2+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)86.189.9176.0-3.729%
vs Similar (13)85.989.1175.0-3.238%
vs Weaker (3)85.081.0166.0+4.067%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
Boca JuniorsIndependiente de Oliva
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H26/03
Liga A
Riachuelo
#6
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H29/03
Liga A
Zarate
#19
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A02/04
Liga A
Atenas
#13
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H05/04
Liga A
Obera TC
#3
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H09/04
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H18/04
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#1
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A20/04
Champions League Americas
Gimnasia
#9
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H23/04
Liga A
Olimpico
#15
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H25/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#11
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A29/04
Liga A
78.0Avg total
40.9Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.838.380.1+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.736.880.5+6.969%-
Last 30 away (14)39.640.179.6-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)40.937.178.0+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.037.675.6+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.842.881.5-4.050%-
vs Similar (7)40.339.679.9+0.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.037.280.2+5.867%-
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Independiente de OlivaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Platense
#16
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H03/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A19/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H22/03
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#11
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H26/03
Liga A
Riachuelo
#6
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A08/04
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A10/04
Liga A
Olimpico
#15
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A12/04
Liga A
Zarate
#19
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H16/04
Liga A
San Martin
#10
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H19/04
Liga A
La Union
#18
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H23/04
Liga A
95.6Avg total
47.8Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.245.289.4-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.445.290.5+0.241%-
Last 30 away (13)42.745.287.8-2.546%-
Last 10 (10)47.847.895.6+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)50.049.299.2+0.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)43.644.688.2-1.150%-
vs Similar (13)43.947.090.9-3.123%-
vs Weaker (3)48.339.788.0+8.7100%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.117.3
55.6%
53.8%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.111.1
39.5%
32.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws18.112.4
68.5%
71.7%12.4
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Independiente de Olivatheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Boca Juniors wins
0
Independiente de Oliva wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/25AUnion De Santa Fe83-77
25/04/25HOlimpico84-76
23/04/25HGimnasia73-62
20/04/25AFlamengo57-83
18/04/25HInstituto de Cordoba80-73
09/04/25HObera TC87-77
05/04/25HAtenas82-57
02/04/25AZarate73-72
29/03/25HRiachuelo84-77
26/03/25HQuimsa72-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/25HLa Union82-80
19/04/25HSan Martin93-80
16/04/25HZarate95-106
12/04/25AOlimpico102-97
10/04/25AQuimsa99-107
08/04/25ARiachuelo95-88
26/03/25HUnion De Santa Fe100-105
22/03/25HGimnasia79-84
19/03/25AInstituto de Cordoba101-96
03/03/25HPlatense92-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW77%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %77%88%67%
Points / game80.882.279.3
Allowed / game75.372.478.4
Point differential+5.5+9.9+0.9
Avg total156.1154.6157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%44%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)67% (6)62% (8)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Independiente de Oliva
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW41%
HomeLLLWW39%
AwayWWWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %41%39%44%
Points / game86.088.383.4
Allowed / game87.788.486.9
Point differential-1.7-0.2-3.4
Avg total173.7176.7170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%22%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)20% (5)57% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boca Juniors3124777%80.875.3+5.5
2 Instituto de Cordoba3021970%81.072.1+8.9
3 Quimsa36241267%87.477.8+9.6
4 Riachuelo32211166%82.476.8+5.6
5 Obera TC33211264%81.677.5+4.0
6 Obras Sanitarias34211362%82.679.9+2.8
7 Gimnasia33191458%82.878.5+4.4
8 Regatas33181555%79.479.0+0.4
9 Atenas36181850%78.880.5-1.7
10 San Martin37181949%74.573.4+1.1
11 Union De Santa Fe37181949%81.985.3-3.4
12 Ferro35171849%81.583.0-1.5
13 Penarol34151944%79.978.6+1.2
14 San Lorenzo34151944%76.979.9-3.0
15 Olimpico35152043%80.082.9-2.9
16 Independiente de Oliva34142041%86.087.7-1.7
17 Platense36142239%79.181.9-2.9
18 La Union34122235%83.685.5-1.9
19 Zarate34102429%73.482.8-9.4
20 Argentino3462818%72.285.2-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boca Juniors2117192380
Independiente de Oliva2315202078
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