PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Boca Juniors vs Independiente de Oliva Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 13 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 20:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record5-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#7
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game99.5
Allowed / game89.0
ArgentinaLiga A· Estadio Luis Conde
Other2026-27
Meetings · Boca Juniors v Independiente de Oliva
13 Apr 2027
BOCA v INDE
upcoming
13 Apr 2026
BOCA92
INDE86
03 May 2025
BOCA80
INDE78
13 May 2024
BOCA81
INDE73
20 Jan 2023
BOCA89
INDE83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Independiente de Oliva win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuniors
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
W
99-92
99
92
+7
92avg 82
H30/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
83-94
83
94
-11
76avg 82
H31/05
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
W
96-73
96
73
+23
91avg 82
H08/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
96-105
96
105
-9
95avg 82
A11/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
L
80-93
80
93
-13
73avg 82
A13/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
82-84
82
84
-2
71avg 82
A22/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
W
80-72
80
72
+8
75avg 82
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
95-83
95
83
+12
90avg 82
H28/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
90-63
90
63
+27
no box
H07/11
Liga A
La Union
#14
W
97-93
97
93
+4
no box
H09/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-17
21-21
22-29
26-25
22-25
20-27
22-20
19-22
26-21
30-11
21-21
19-20
33-23
21-26
21-31
21-25
17-35
17-20
29-19
17-19
24-25
19-21
17-12
22-26
21-15
23-28
21-12
15-17
32-14
23-20
21-25
19-24
14-13
28-17
21-14
27-19
27-24
23-17
30-26
17-26
175.0Avg total
89.8Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.583.2172.8+6.262%
Season at home (4)94.578.0172.5+16.5100%
Season away (4)84.588.5173.0-4.025%
Last 10 (10)89.885.2175.0+4.660%
Last 5 (5)88.879.0167.8+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (15)85.183.2168.3+1.960%
vs Weaker (15)86.378.4164.7+7.987%
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Independiente de OlivaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliva
Date
Competition
La Union
#10
W
97-92
97
92
+5
88avg 73
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
66-78
66
78
-12
54avg 73
A09/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
72-77
72
77
-5
57avg 73
A10/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
78-76
78
76
+2
66avg 73
H14/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
74-66
74
66
+8
64avg 73
H16/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
71-81
71
81
-10
55avg 73
A19/05
Liga A
Ferro
#16
L
92-97
92
97
-5
86avg 73
H09/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
108-93
108
93
+15
106avg 73
H20/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
76-77 OT
76
77
-1
no box
H06/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
122-89
122
89
+33
no box
H15/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
21-25
32-25
19-22
16-23
21-25
23-16
6-14
20-15
17-16
11-30
24-16
25-21
22-16
16-21
15-18
19-19
19-22
13-15
23-10
18-23
22-21
18-18
13-19
28-33
23-14
23-27
18-23
26-18
34-22
25-25
23-28
21-19
22-15
6-14
13-14
21-27
32-11
30-24
39-27
168.2Avg total
85.6Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)99.589.0188.5+10.550%
Season at home (4)99.589.0188.5+10.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.682.6168.2+3.050%
Last 5 (5)93.887.4181.2+6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)102.0110.0212.0-8.00%
vs Similar (19)83.186.1169.1-3.042%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)95.487.4182.8+8.060%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
Boca JuniorsIndependiente de Oliva
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H30/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H31/05
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H08/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A11/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A13/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A22/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H28/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H07/11
Liga A
La Union
#14
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H09/11
Liga A
89.1Avg total
47.1Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.040.584.5+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.238.984.1+6.471%-
Last 30 away (13)42.442.685.0-0.254%-
Last 10 (10)47.142.089.1+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)46.838.885.6+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (15)43.641.184.7+2.560%-
vs Weaker (15)44.439.984.3+4.567%-
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Independiente de OlivaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Union
#10
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A09/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A10/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H14/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H16/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A19/05
Liga A
Ferro
#16
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H09/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
60-40
60
40
+20
H20/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H06/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H15/11
Liga A
85.7Avg total
45.2Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.643.087.7+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.642.288.8+4.460%-
Last 30 away (15)42.743.986.5-1.233%-
Last 10 (10)45.240.585.7+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)49.440.690.0+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.037.081.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (19)43.644.487.9-0.837%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)46.741.187.8+5.660%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.9
56.8%
54.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.1
34.5%
32.6%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.115.4
76.6%
72.7%15.4
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Independiente de Olivatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Independiente de Oliva: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.0
52.8%
54.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.0
29.3%
32.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.316.0
71.7%
72.7%16.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boca Juniors
WWWWLLLWLW
Independiente de Oliva
WLWLLWWLLW
#6
League position
#7
-1.3
Net rating
-3.2
115.8
Offensive rating
107.5
117.2
Defensive rating
110.8
54.3%
Effective FG%
49.1%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.5%
3-point %
29.3%
53.3%
Assist %
43.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.8 · 107.5Defence117.2 · 110.8Shooting54.3% · 49.1%3-point %34.5% · 29.3%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Boca Juniors   ■ Independiente de Oliva
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26HLa Union97-93
07/11/26HSan Martin90-63
28/10/26HRegatas95-83
24/10/26ARacing de Chivilcoy80-72
22/10/26AArgentino82-84
13/10/26AOlimpico80-93
11/10/26AQuimsa96-105
08/10/26HObera TC96-73
31/05/26HQuimsa83-94
30/05/26HQuimsa99-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HSan Lorenzo122-89
06/11/26HGimnasia76-77 OT
20/10/26HLanus108-93
09/10/26HFerro92-97
19/05/26AGimnasia71-81
16/05/26HGimnasia74-66
14/05/26HGimnasia78-76
10/05/26AGimnasia72-77
09/05/26AGimnasia66-78
03/05/26HLa Union97-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%100%25%
Points / game89.594.584.5
Allowed / game83.278.088.5
Point differential+6.2+16.5-4.0
Avg total172.8172.5173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Independiente de Oliva
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLWLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game99.599.5-
Allowed / game89.089.0-
Point differential+10.5+10.5-
Avg total188.5188.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %25%25%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa87188%85.275.8+9.5
2 Penarol87188%82.174.8+7.4
3 Gimnasia129375%77.274.0+3.2
4 Instituto de Cordoba86275%77.976.5+1.4
5 Atenas75271%84.479.0+5.4
6 Boca Juniors85362%89.583.2+6.2
7 Independiente de Oliva42250%99.589.0+10.5
8 Olimpico84450%86.885.4+1.4
9 Argentino84450%77.979.5-1.6
10 Obera TC73443%80.083.1-3.1
11 Platense83538%76.978.6-1.8
12 Lanus114736%78.579.3-0.7
13 Racing de Chivilcoy93633%79.482.8-3.3
14 La Union62433%78.283.2-5.0
15 Regatas72529%73.375.7-2.4
16 Ferro82625%81.585.6-4.1
17 San Lorenzo82625%70.183.2-13.1
18 San Martin92722%81.687.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.