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Boca Juniors vs Independiente de Oliva Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 13 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 20:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record3-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Position#8
Record1-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game100.0
Allowed / game95.0
ArgentinaLiga A· Estadio Luis Conde
Other2026-27
Meetings · Boca Juniors v Independiente de Oliva
13 Apr 2027
BOCA v INDE
upcoming
13 Apr 2026
BOCA92
INDE86
03 May 2025
BOCA80
INDE78
13 May 2024
BOCA81
INDE73
20 Jan 2023
BOCA89
INDE83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Independiente de Oliva win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A23/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A26/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
99-92
99
92
+7
H30/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
83-94
83
94
-11
H31/05
Liga A
Obera TC
#17
W
96-73
96
73
+23
H08/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
96-105
96
105
-9
A11/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#6
L
80-93
80
93
-13
A13/10
Liga A
Argentino
#7
L
82-84
82
84
-2
A22/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#11
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
95-83
95
83
+12
H28/10
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
21-20
20-23
21-23
20-27
18-25
20-20
20-19
30-17
21-21
22-29
26-25
22-25
20-27
22-20
19-22
26-21
30-11
21-21
19-20
33-23
21-26
21-31
21-25
17-35
17-20
29-19
17-19
24-25
19-21
17-12
22-26
21-15
23-28
21-12
15-17
32-14
23-20
21-25
19-24
174.0Avg total
86.5Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.285.0173.2+3.250%
Season at home (2)95.578.0173.5+17.5100%
Season away (4)84.588.5173.0-4.025%
Last 10 (10)86.587.5174.0-1.040%
Last 5 (5)86.687.4174.0-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.0105.0201.0-9.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)83.982.5166.4+1.456%
vs Weaker (13)87.077.5164.5+9.5100%
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Independiente de OlivaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Union
#10
L
62-86
62
86
-24
A27/04
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H01/05
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
97-92
97
92
+5
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A09/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A10/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H14/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H16/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
71-81
71
81
-10
A19/05
Liga A
Ferro
#14
L
92-97
92
97
-5
H09/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
108-93
108
93
+15
H20/10
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
23-17
13-25
12-17
24-12
14-27
17-20
28-19
25-20
21-25
32-25
19-22
16-23
21-25
23-16
6-14
20-15
17-16
11-30
24-16
25-21
22-16
16-21
15-18
19-19
19-22
13-15
23-10
18-23
22-21
18-18
13-19
28-33
23-14
23-27
18-23
26-18
34-22
25-25
23-28
162.7Avg total
80.3Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)100.095.0195.0+5.050%
Season at home (2)100.095.0195.0+5.050%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.382.4162.7-2.150%
Last 5 (5)84.682.6167.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)102.0110.0212.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (20)82.385.1167.4-2.845%
vs Weaker (9)93.987.7181.6+6.267%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
Boca JuniorsIndependiente de Oliva
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A23/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A26/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H30/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H31/05
Liga A
Obera TC
#17
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H08/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A11/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#6
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A13/10
Liga A
Argentino
#7
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A22/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#11
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H28/10
Liga A
89.5Avg total
45.2Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.040.484.4+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.139.284.3+5.969%-
Last 30 away (14)42.641.984.5+0.857%-
Last 10 (10)45.244.389.5+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)46.045.491.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)54.049.0103.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)42.341.884.1+0.650%-
vs Weaker (13)45.238.283.4+7.177%-
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Independiente de OlivaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Union
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A27/04
Liga A
La Union
#10
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H01/05
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A09/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A10/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H14/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H16/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A19/05
Liga A
Ferro
#14
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H09/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
60-40
60
40
+20
H20/10
Liga A
84.7Avg total
43.1Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.343.287.5+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.543.389.8+3.257%-
Last 30 away (16)42.343.285.5-0.938%-
Last 10 (10)43.141.684.7+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)47.241.889.0+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.037.081.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)43.243.887.0-0.540%-
vs Weaker (9)46.642.789.2+3.956%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.9
56.8%
54.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.1
34.5%
32.6%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.115.4
76.6%
72.7%15.4
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Independiente de Olivatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Independiente de Oliva: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.0
52.8%
54.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.0
29.3%
32.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.316.0
71.7%
72.7%16.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boca Juniors
WWLLLWLWLL
Independiente de Oliva
WLLWWLLWWL
#9
League position
#8
-1.3
Net rating
-3.2
115.8
Offensive rating
107.5
117.2
Defensive rating
110.8
54.3%
Effective FG%
49.1%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.5%
3-point %
29.3%
53.3%
Assist %
43.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.8 · 107.5Defence117.2 · 110.8Shooting54.3% · 49.1%3-point %34.5% · 29.3%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Boca Juniors   ■ Independiente de Oliva
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HRegatas95-83
24/10/26ARacing de Chivilcoy80-72
22/10/26AArgentino82-84
13/10/26AOlimpico80-93
11/10/26AQuimsa96-105
08/10/26HObera TC96-73
31/05/26HQuimsa83-94
30/05/26HQuimsa99-92
26/05/26AQuimsa78-91
23/05/26AQuimsa76-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/26HLanus108-93
09/10/26HFerro92-97
19/05/26AGimnasia71-81
16/05/26HGimnasia74-66
14/05/26HGimnasia78-76
10/05/26AGimnasia72-77
09/05/26AGimnasia66-78
03/05/26HLa Union97-92
01/05/26HLa Union83-78
27/04/26ALa Union62-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%100%25%
Points / game88.295.584.5
Allowed / game85.078.088.5
Point differential+3.2+17.5-4.0
Avg total173.2173.5173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Independiente de Oliva
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game100.0100.0-
Allowed / game95.095.0-
Point differential+5.0+5.0-
Avg total195.0195.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa550100%85.674.0+11.6
2 Penarol440100%83.273.8+9.5
3 Atenas43175%84.881.2+3.5
4 Instituto de Cordoba43175%79.078.2+0.8
5 Gimnasia75271%78.975.1+3.7
6 Olimpico53260%88.683.8+4.8
7 Argentino53260%80.678.8+1.8
8 Independiente de Oliva21150%100.095.0+5.0
9 Boca Juniors63350%88.285.0+3.2
10 Platense63350%80.380.3+0.0
11 Racing de Chivilcoy63350%80.382.5-2.2
12 Lanus83538%75.879.0-3.2
13 La Union31233%81.384.0-2.7
14 Ferro62433%82.085.5-3.5
15 Regatas41325%74.878.2-3.5
16 San Lorenzo41325%76.280.8-4.5
17 Obera TC51420%73.481.2-7.8
18 San Martin6060%84.895.2-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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