Boca Juniors vs Libertad Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Dec 2016

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 77-98

18-28 19-21 21-25 19-24

Position#19

Record6-15

FormLLWWL

Points / game74.1

Allowed / game80.5

Boca Juniors

Libertad 🏆

Position#9

Record8-13

FormWLLWL

Points / game79.8

Allowed / game80.2

Liga A

Other2016-17

Meetings · Boca Juniors v Libertad

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Libertad winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

67-84

-17

A04/11

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#17

64-70

-6

H08/11

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

86-107

107

-21

A11/11

Liga A

Weber Bahia

68-75

-7

A15/11

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#17

88-84

A18/11

Liga A

San Lorenzo

71-75

-4

H23/11

Liga A

Argentino

#10

68-74

-6

A29/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

#11

102-82

102

+20

H02/12

Liga A

Argentino

#10

71-69

A06/12

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

96-97 OT

-1

H09/12

Liga A

20-25

8-23

19-19

20-17

13-15

8-10

18-16

25-29

19-27

21-31

27-23

19-26

14-15

18-17

16-22

20-21

22-15

25-21

26-23

15-25

19-25

30-15

6-24

16-11

16-16

18-16

13-24

21-18

25-19

19-16

25-30

33-17

12-18

18-18

20-15

21-18

24-24

21-22

17-22

21-15

159.8Avg total

78.1Scored

81.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	74.1	80.5	154.7	-6.4	29%
Season at home (11)	76.4	79.0	155.4	-2.6	36%
Season away (10)	71.7	82.2	153.9	-10.5	20%
Last 10 (10)	78.1	81.7	159.8	-3.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	79.4	161.0	+2.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	76.9	82.8	159.7	-5.9	27%
vs Similar (15)	73.5	77.3	150.8	-3.7	40%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Libertad) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atletico Echague Parana

#20

84-74

+10

H12/11

Liga A

Estudiantes

84-82

H14/11

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

97-66

+31

A17/11

Liga A

Atenas

#16

79-89

-10

A19/11

Liga A

Olimpico

89-70

+19

H21/11

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

89-79

+10

H23/11

Liga A

Atenas

#16

82-95

-13

H26/11

Liga A

Regatas

75-84

-9

H04/12

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

76-66

+10

H09/12

Liga A

Ferro

86-92

-6

A13/12

Liga A

17-16

20-18

20-20

27-20

17-19

23-18

16-16

28-29

18-11

26-12

25-20

28-23

18-19

22-22

21-27

18-21

30-9

22-26

18-21

19-14

23-18

20-14

25-18

21-29

17-29

26-25

22-21

17-20

24-23

13-23

15-13

23-25

21-16

20-14

18-15

17-21

23-19

16-19

22-26

25-28

163.8Avg total

84.1Scored

79.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	79.8	80.2	160.0	-0.4	38%
Season at home (11)	83.6	80.2	163.8	+3.5	64%
Season away (10)	75.5	80.2	155.7	-4.7	10%
Last 10 (10)	84.1	79.7	163.8	+4.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	83.2	164.8	-1.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	89.5	91.5	181.0	-2.0	0%
vs Similar (24)	80.1	83.1	163.2	-3.0	42%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	79.0	75.5	154.5	+3.5	50%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Boca JuniorsLibertad

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	21.4	39.2	-3.5	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	19.7	39.3	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.1	23.1	39.1	-7.0	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	19.9	38.3	-1.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.4	39.6	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.5	21.8	41.3	-2.3	27%	-
vs Similar (15)	16.2	20.9	37.1	-4.7	20%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.5	39.4	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+0.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	19.6	38.9	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	17.9	38.7	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.0	42.6	+0.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (24)	19.9	20.0	39.9	-0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	19.0	16.2	35.2	+2.8	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	17.9	35.0	-0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	16.3	33.8	+1.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.8	19.5	36.3	-2.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.9	37.5	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	17.4	38.6	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	16.4	18.8	35.2	-2.4	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	17.9	17.0	34.9	+0.9	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.9	39.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	19.2	40.4	+2.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.5	20.7	38.2	-3.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.1	39.9	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.5	17.0	35.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (24)	19.5	20.2	39.6	-0.7	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	75%	-

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

28-48

-20

A04/11

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#17

21-25

-4

H08/11

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

40-58

-18

A11/11

Liga A

Weber Bahia

32-32

A15/11

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#17

47-36

+11

A18/11

Liga A

San Lorenzo

49-40

H23/11

Liga A

Argentino

#10

34-32

A29/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

#11

44-35

H02/12

Liga A

Argentino

#10

30-36

-6

A06/12

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

45-46

-1

H09/12

Liga A

75.8Avg total

37.0Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.0	39.3	74.3	-4.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.1	36.0	73.1	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	32.9	42.5	75.4	-9.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	38.8	75.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	37.8	78.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	35.9	40.6	76.5	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	34.1	37.9	72.0	-3.9	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Libertad) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atletico Echague Parana

#20

37-34

H12/11

Liga A

Estudiantes

40-37

H14/11

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

44-23

+21

A17/11

Liga A

Atenas

#16

40-41

-1

A19/11

Liga A

Olimpico

52-35

+17

H21/11

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

43-32

+11

H23/11

Liga A

Atenas

#16

43-54

-11

H26/11

Liga A

Regatas

37-46

-9

H04/12

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

41-30

+11

H09/12

Liga A

Ferro

39-38

A13/12

Liga A

78.6Avg total

41.6Scored

37.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	39.4	78.8	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.6	38.6	80.2	+2.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.8	40.4	77.1	-3.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	37.0	78.6	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	40.0	80.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	39.5	38.0	77.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (24)	39.4	40.1	79.5	-0.8	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	39.0	36.0	75.0	+3.0	75%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.4	41.3	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	22.4	42.6	-2.2	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	20.3	39.9	-0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	21.8	40.5	-3.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	23.0	39.2	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.6	23.3	42.9	-3.7	13%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.2	19.5	39.7	+0.7	53%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.6	41.4	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	20.4	40.1	-0.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	23.0	42.8	-3.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	19.7	39.9	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.6	39.0	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.0	25.0	44.0	-6.0	50%	-
vs Similar (24)	20.1	21.9	42.0	-1.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	18.2	18.2	36.5	+0.0	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	17.3	37.5	+2.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	19.5	38.5	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.7	40.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	15.8	38.2	+6.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.9	17.0	36.9	+2.9	60%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.3	19.9	39.1	-0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.8	41.6	-0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	21.1	42.2	-0.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	20.5	41.0	+0.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	23.0	45.3	-0.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	24.6	45.2	-4.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.0	16.5	37.5	+4.5	100%	-
vs Similar (24)	20.6	21.1	41.8	-0.5	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	21.8	21.2	43.0	+0.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	39.8	79.3	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.4	39.7	80.1	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.6	39.9	78.5	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	41.5	81.3	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	38.8	77.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	39.5	40.3	79.8	-0.7	47%	-
vs Similar (15)	39.5	39.3	78.8	+0.1	47%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	42.4	83.0	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.8	41.5	82.3	-0.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.3	43.5	83.8	-3.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	42.7	85.2	-0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	43.2	84.2	-2.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.0	41.5	81.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (24)	40.7	43.0	83.7	-2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	40.0	39.5	79.5	+0.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Boca Juniors wins

Libertad wins

Date	Game	Score
11/03/16	Libertad v Boca Juniors	100-83
13/12/15	Boca Juniors v Libertad	85-69
10/04/15	Libertad v Boca Juniors	81-86
14/01/15	Boca Juniors v Libertad	84-76
21/03/14	Boca Juniors v Libertad	88-90 OT
14/01/14	Libertad v Boca Juniors	86-67
08/03/13	Boca Juniors v Libertad	98-82
19/12/12	Libertad v Boca Juniors	91-97 OT
26/02/12	Boca Juniors v Libertad	78-75
17/12/11	Libertad v Boca Juniors	96-82

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/12/16	H	Instituto de Cordoba	96-97 OT
06/12/16	A	Argentino	71-69
02/12/16	H	Gimnasia	102-82
29/11/16	A	Argentino	68-74
23/11/16	H	San Lorenzo	71-75
18/11/16	A	Hispano Americano	88-84
15/11/16	A	Weber Bahia	68-75
11/11/16	A	Obras Sanitarias	86-107
08/11/16	H	Hispano Americano	64-70
04/11/16	A	San Lorenzo	67-84

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/12/16	A	Ferro	86-92
09/12/16	H	Quimsa	76-66
04/12/16	H	Regatas	75-84
26/11/16	H	Atenas	82-95
23/11/16	H	Quimsa	89-79
21/11/16	H	Olimpico	89-70
19/11/16	A	Atenas	79-89
17/11/16	A	Instituto de Cordoba	97-66
14/11/16	H	Estudiantes	84-82
12/11/16	H	Atletico Echague Parana	84-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2016-17

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	29%
Home	LLLWL	36%
Away	LLWLW	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	29%	36%	20%
Points / game	74.1	76.4	71.7
Allowed / game	80.5	79.0	82.2
Point differential	-6.4	-2.6	-10.5
Avg total	154.7	155.4	153.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	5%	9%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (8)	60% (5)	67% (3)
Overtime %	10%	18%	0%

Libertad

Liga A 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	38%
Home	WWLLW	64%
Away	LLWLL	10%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	38%	64%	10%
Points / game	79.8	83.6	75.5
Allowed / game	80.2	80.2	80.2
Point differential	-0.4	+3.5	-4.7
Avg total	160.0	163.8	155.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	45%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	67% (3)	0% (2)
Overtime %	10%	9%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	21	16	5	76%	84.4	71.1	+13.3
2	San Martin	21	16	5	76%	81.3	74.2	+7.1
3	Estudiantes	20	14	6	70%	83.4	77.0	+6.4
4	Ferro	21	14	7	67%	80.0	75.3	+4.6
5	Weber Bahia	19	12	7	63%	73.1	71.9	+1.2
6	Regatas	21	13	8	62%	84.9	81.6	+3.3
7	Quimsa	22	13	9	59%	80.2	76.8	+3.4
8	Gimnasia	21	11	10	52%	81.0	79.9	+1.1
9	Olimpico	22	11	11	50%	78.7	74.8	+3.9
10	Argentino	20	10	10	50%	73.5	75.2	-1.7
11	Instituto de Cordoba	22	11	11	50%	78.5	80.4	-1.9
12	Obras Sanitarias	21	10	11	48%	82.0	80.5	+1.5
13	Penarol	22	10	12	45%	73.6	76.2	-2.6
14	La Union	22	10	12	45%	73.7	78.0	-4.2
15	Quilmes	22	9	13	41%	74.1	78.6	-4.5
16	Libertad	21	8	13	38%	79.8	80.2	-0.4
17	Atenas	21	8	13	38%	78.4	78.9	-0.5
18	Boca Juniors	21	6	15	29%	74.1	80.5	-6.4
19	Hispano Americano	20	5	15	25%	73.8	82.4	-8.7
20	Atletico Echague Parana	20	3	17	15%	74.0	89.7	-15.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Boca Juniors	18	19	21	19	77
Libertad	28	21	25	24	98

← all games of the day

Boca Juniors vs Libertad Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature