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Boca Juniors vs Libertad Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 29 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 00:00
Postponed
Position#10
Record13-13
FormLWWLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#20
Record6-20
FormLLLLW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game83.5
ArgentinaLiga A
Other2019-20
Meetings · Boca Juniors v Libertad
19 Dec 2020
BOCA72
LIBE74
28 Mar 2020
BOCA v LIBE
upcoming
10 Mar 2019
BOCA82
LIBE78
14 Dec 2016
BOCA77
LIBE98
12 Dec 2015
BOCA85
LIBE69
14 Jan 2015
BOCA84
LIBE76
20 Mar 2014
BOCA88
LIBE90
08 Mar 2013
BOCA98
LIBE82
26 Feb 2012
BOCA78
LIBE75
28 Jan 2011
BOCA74
LIBE80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Libertad win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Platense
#18
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A30/01
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
71-93
71
93
-22
H04/02
Liga A
Olimpico
#9
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H07/02
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#11
L
95-97
95
97
-2
A10/02
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#13
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H15/02
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#5
L
60-93
60
93
-33
A27/02
Liga A
Estudiantes
#19
W
82-68
82
68
+14
A29/02
Liga A
Argentino
#14
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H05/03
Liga A
San Martin
#7
L
87-98
87
98
-11
H07/03
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#11
W
94-88
94
88
+6
H13/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-12
12-15
21-16
8-14
16-17
17-22
18-21
20-33
11-17
13-14
21-18
26-17
18-28
22-25
29-17
26-27
17-11
27-22
12-17
23-20
9-18
23-25
10-26
18-24
20-21
22-13
18-19
22-15
23-15
16-23
23-22
18-19
17-20
23-21
18-26
29-31
13-23
25-28
27-17
29-20
157.6Avg total
76.7Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)77.977.8155.7+0.250%
Season at home (13)80.076.7156.7+3.369%
Season away (13)75.878.8154.7-3.031%
Last 10 (10)76.780.9157.6-4.250%
Last 5 (5)80.685.2165.8-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)64.776.4141.1-11.811%
vs Similar (11)79.374.9154.2+4.464%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)80.073.7153.7+6.370%
This opponent (Libertad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertadArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
61-82
61
82
-21
A29/01
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#2
L
70-80
70
80
-10
H31/01
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#5
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H03/02
Liga A
Argentino
#14
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H06/02
Liga A
La Union
#16
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H12/02
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
58-106
58
106
-48
A15/02
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
80-99
80
99
-19
A17/02
Liga A
Regatas
#8
L
71-87
71
87
-16
H05/03
Liga A
Penarol
#15
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H08/03
Liga A
Estudiantes
#19
W
64-55
64
55
+9
A14/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
19-16
15-20
11-25
17-19
17-19
14-19
22-23
23-22
21-18
15-20
13-19
19-16
19-29
11-8
18-17
24-12
11-22
25-20
21-26
15-16
13-33
11-26
19-31
12-23
27-28
22-21
19-27
6-26
16-20
20-21
29-20
9-21
19-12
16-23
32-24
16-10
16-10
14-17
18-18
151.8Avg total
70.0Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)71.083.5154.6-12.523%
Season at home (14)74.280.6154.9-6.436%
Season away (12)67.386.9154.2-19.68%
Last 10 (10)70.081.8151.8-11.820%
Last 5 (5)69.885.4155.2-15.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)71.184.1155.2-13.020%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -2.8-2.8
Boca JuniorsLibertad
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Platense
#18
L
19-27
19
27
-8
A30/01
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H04/02
Liga A
Olimpico
#9
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H07/02
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#11
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A10/02
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#13
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H15/02
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#5
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A27/02
Liga A
Estudiantes
#19
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A29/02
Liga A
Argentino
#14
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H05/03
Liga A
San Martin
#7
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H07/03
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#11
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H13/03
Liga A
74.1Avg total
35.1Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.735.272.9+2.559%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.134.871.9+2.457%-
Last 30 away (15)38.335.673.9+2.760%-
Last 10 (10)35.139.074.1-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)38.241.479.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.135.173.2+3.062%-
vs Similar (11)37.533.771.3+3.864%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)37.636.974.5+0.750%-
This opponent (Libertad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A29/01
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#2
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H31/01
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#5
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H03/02
Liga A
Argentino
#14
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H06/02
Liga A
La Union
#16
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H12/02
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A15/02
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A17/02
Liga A
Regatas
#8
L
22-46
22
46
-24
H05/03
Liga A
Penarol
#15
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H08/03
Liga A
Estudiantes
#19
W
32-20
32
20
+12
A14/03
Liga A
72.8Avg total
33.5Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.440.472.8-8.020%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.538.872.3-5.229%-
Last 30 away (13)30.942.573.5-11.68%-
Last 10 (10)33.539.372.8-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)29.839.869.6-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)32.440.472.8-8.020%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Boca Juniors wins
4
Libertad wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/20HWeber Bahia94-88
07/03/20HSan Martin87-98
05/03/20HArgentino80-79
29/02/20AEstudiantes82-68
27/02/20AComunicaciones Mercedes60-93
15/02/20HObras Sanitarias79-70
10/02/20AWeber Bahia95-97
07/02/20HOlimpico71-66
04/02/20HInstituto de Cordoba71-93
30/01/20APlatense48-57
Libertadlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/20AEstudiantes64-55
08/03/20HPenarol76-80
05/03/20HRegatas71-87
17/02/20AGimnasia80-99
15/02/20AFerro58-106
12/02/20HLa Union81-80
06/02/20HArgentino67-70
03/02/20HComunicaciones Mercedes72-79
31/01/20HSan Lorenzo70-80
29/01/20AInstituto de Cordoba61-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors
Liga A 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeWWWLW69%
AwayLLLLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %50%69%31%
Points / game77.980.075.8
Allowed / game77.876.778.8
Point differential+0.2+3.3-3.0
Avg total155.7156.7154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%23%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)80% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Libertad
Liga A 2019-20
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW23%
HomeLLWLL36%
AwayLLLLW8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %23%36%8%
Points / game71.074.267.3
Allowed / game83.580.686.9
Point differential-12.5-6.4-19.6
Avg total154.6154.9154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)56% (9)-
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa2118386%90.183.4+6.8
2 San Lorenzo2117481%87.580.5+7.0
3 Gimnasia2519676%87.379.8+7.4
4 Instituto de Cordoba2215768%81.175.5+5.6
5 Comunicaciones Mercedes26161062%86.078.3+7.7
6 Ferro24141058%79.376.1+3.2
7 San Martin23131057%82.879.5+3.3
8 Regatas25131252%83.981.8+2.1
9 Olimpico24121250%82.981.0+1.9
10 Boca Juniors26131350%77.977.8+0.2
11 Weber Bahia26121446%90.895.3-4.4
12 Hispano Americano27121544%84.484.0+0.3
13 Obras Sanitarias26111542%84.383.2+1.1
14 Argentino26111542%77.483.3-5.9
15 Penarol27111641%83.384.2-0.9
16 La Union25101540%82.684.8-2.1
17 Atenas25101540%80.483.0-2.6
18 Platense2481633%75.882.5-6.7
19 Estudiantes2772026%69.977.3-7.3
20 Libertad2662023%71.083.5-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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