Boca Juniors vs Libertad Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Mar 2013

Tip-off: 23:20

Final 98-82

27-18 22-18 18-22 31-24

Position#4

Record26-16

FormLWLWW

Points / game80.8

Allowed / game74.9

Boca Juniors 🏆

Libertad

Position#8

Record22-20

FormWLLWL

Points / game78.0

Allowed / game77.3

Liga ARound 43

Other2012-13

Meetings · Boca Juniors v Libertad

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Libertad winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

La Union

#15

86-74

+12

A02/02

Liga A

Progresista

#16

84-76

A04/02

Liga A

Olimpico

92-55

+37

H07/02

Liga A

Atenas

#11

94-79

+15

H10/02

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

92-64

+28

A15/02

Liga A

Argentino

82-88

-6

A18/02

Liga A

Sionista

81-66

+15

A23/02

Liga A

Regatas

84-85

-1

A25/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

80-78

H28/02

Liga A

Penarol

83-70

+13

H02/03

Liga A

14-20

19-21

26-16

27-17

28-25

16-10

23-24

17-17

28-19

13-9

28-5

23-22

23-28

28-11

17-25

26-15

21-19

23-11

27-16

21-18

21-29

21-12

15-19

25-28

19-17

20-23

19-13

23-13

18-22

17-19

28-21

21-23

27-15

17-23

14-27

22-13

23-16

16-17

19-20

25-17

159.3Avg total

85.8Scored

73.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (42)	80.8	74.9	155.7	+5.9	62%
Season at home (20)	80.2	72.3	152.6	+7.9	80%
Season away (22)	81.4	77.2	158.6	+4.1	45%
Last 10 (10)	85.8	73.5	159.3	+12.3	80%
Last 5 (5)	82.0	77.4	159.4	+4.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	67.0	72.0	139.0	-5.0	0%
vs Similar (6)	78.2	80.0	158.2	-1.8	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	83.4	73.3	156.7	+10.1	77%

This opponent (Libertad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

71-87

-16

A06/02

Liga A

La Union

#15

91-69

+22

H09/02

Liga A

Progresista

#16

81-69

+12

H11/02

Liga A

Atenas

#11

63-66

-3

A14/02

Liga A

Olimpico

67-74

-7

A16/02

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

85-69

+16

H23/02

Liga A

Argentino

70-77

-7

H25/02

Liga A

Regatas

72-76

-4

A28/02

Liga A

Sionista

91-84 OT

A02/03

Liga A

Lanus

61-72

-11

A07/03

Liga A

14-29

7-22

26-11

24-25

20-17

27-13

14-21

30-18

24-14

15-23

23-20

19-12

13-19

17-18

16-20

17-9

20-23

22-16

11-12

14-23

22-20

23-17

18-20

22-12

17-22

7-18

28-18

18-19

9-22

21-18

22-13

20-23

14-24

16-19

25-15

22-19

14-17

21-23

12-15

149.5Avg total

75.2Scored

74.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (42)	78.0	77.3	155.3	+0.7	52%
Season at home (22)	80.9	73.0	153.9	+7.9	77%
Season away (20)	74.8	82.0	156.8	-7.3	25%
Last 10 (10)	75.2	74.3	149.5	+0.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	75.8	75.6	151.4	+0.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	82.5	83.5	166.0	-1.0	25%
vs Similar (20)	76.7	78.8	155.4	-2.1	45%
vs Weaker (6)	86.2	80.8	167.0	+5.3	50%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Boca JuniorsLibertad

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.3	40.5	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.7	19.5	42.2	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.3	20.9	39.2	-2.6	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	21.0	43.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.8	41.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	12.0	19.0	31.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.8	21.2	40.0	-2.3	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.3	20.0	41.3	+1.3	59%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	21.3	39.8	-2.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	18.9	39.2	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	23.7	40.3	-7.0	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	20.7	37.4	-4.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	21.0	36.2	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	18.2	19.8	38.0	-1.5	25%	-
vs Similar (20)	17.9	21.5	39.4	-3.6	25%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.7	21.5	42.2	-0.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	15.8	35.4	+3.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.4	15.2	35.6	+5.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.9	16.3	35.2	+2.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	15.6	34.6	+3.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.8	37.0	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	11.0	9.0	20.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.2	17.0	33.2	-0.8	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.0	15.9	36.9	+5.2	59%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.1	36.6	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	16.8	35.7	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	19.5	37.5	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	18.1	35.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	17.8	34.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	20.8	18.8	39.5	+2.0	75%	-
vs Similar (20)	17.0	18.0	35.0	-1.0	35%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.8	18.2	40.0	+3.7	67%	-

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

La Union

#15

33-41

-8

A02/02

Liga A

Progresista

#16

44-35

A04/02

Liga A

Olimpico

41-28

+13

H07/02

Liga A

Atenas

#11

51-39

+12

H10/02

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

44-30

+14

A15/02

Liga A

Argentino

42-41

A18/02

Liga A

Sionista

39-40

-1

A23/02

Liga A

Regatas

35-41

-6

A25/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

44-38

H28/02

Liga A

Penarol

39-33

H02/03

Liga A

77.8Avg total

41.2Scored

36.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	36.1	75.8	+3.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	43.1	34.7	77.8	+8.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	37.2	37.2	74.4	+0.0	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	36.6	77.8	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	38.6	78.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	23.0	28.0	51.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	35.0	38.2	73.2	-3.2	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	42.4	35.9	78.2	+6.5	68%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

21-51

-30

A06/02

Liga A

La Union

#15

47-30

+17

H09/02

Liga A

Progresista

#16

39-37

H11/02

Liga A

Atenas

#11

30-37

-7

A14/02

Liga A

Olimpico

42-39

A16/02

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

45-37

H23/02

Liga A

Argentino

24-40

-16

H25/02

Liga A

Regatas

30-40

-10

A28/02

Liga A

Sionista

30-43

-13

A02/03

Liga A

Lanus

28-34

-6

A07/03

Liga A

72.4Avg total

33.6Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	39.4	76.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.3	35.7	74.9	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.7	43.1	77.8	-8.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.6	38.8	72.4	-5.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.4	38.8	70.2	-7.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	39.0	38.5	77.5	+0.5	25%	-
vs Similar (20)	34.9	39.5	74.4	-4.6	35%	-
vs Weaker (6)	42.5	39.7	82.2	+2.8	67%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	17.7	38.3	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.5	16.2	35.6	+3.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.4	18.9	40.3	+2.5	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	18.6	40.2	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	23.0	19.0	42.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.7	19.0	41.7	+3.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	19.8	17.5	37.3	+2.4	59%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	19.9	40.7	+0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	19.3	39.3	+0.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	17.3	37.7	+3.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	17.8	40.6	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	19.2	23.0	42.2	-3.8	25%	-
vs Similar (20)	21.1	18.9	40.1	+2.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.7	19.7	38.3	-1.0	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.3	40.8	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.0	19.9	40.9	+1.1	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.1	20.5	40.6	-0.4	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	18.3	41.3	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	18.8	42.0	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	25.0	46.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.5	22.8	43.3	-2.3	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.0	41.2	+1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	17.9	39.3	+3.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	22.1	43.0	-1.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	17.5	37.3	+2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	17.6	36.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	21.8	18.0	39.8	+3.8	75%	-
vs Similar (20)	19.9	19.9	39.8	-0.1	35%	-
vs Weaker (6)	25.0	21.5	46.5	+3.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	38.0	79.0	+3.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.5	36.1	76.5	+4.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	41.5	39.4	80.9	+2.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.6	36.9	81.5	+7.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	38.8	81.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	44.0	44.0	88.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	43.2	41.8	85.0	+1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	40.3	37.0	77.3	+3.3	59%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	39.6	81.2	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.3	37.8	80.1	+4.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.9	41.5	82.3	-0.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	34.8	75.0	+5.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	35.4	77.0	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	41.0	41.0	82.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (20)	41.0	38.9	79.9	+2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	43.7	41.2	84.8	+2.5	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Boca Juniors wins

Libertad wins

Date	Game	Score
19/12/12	Libertad v Boca Juniors	91-97 OT
26/02/12	Boca Juniors v Libertad	78-75
17/12/11	Libertad v Boca Juniors	96-82
26/03/11	Libertad v Boca Juniors	94-55
29/01/11	Boca Juniors v Libertad	74-80

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/03/13	H	Penarol	83-70
28/02/13	H	Weber Bahia	80-78
25/02/13	A	Regatas	84-85
23/02/13	A	Sionista	81-66
18/02/13	A	Argentino	82-88
15/02/13	A	de Julio de Morteros	92-64
10/02/13	H	Atenas	94-79
07/02/13	H	Olimpico	92-55
04/02/13	A	Progresista	84-76
02/02/13	A	La Union	86-74

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/03/13	A	Lanus	61-72
02/03/13	A	Sionista	91-84 OT
28/02/13	A	Regatas	72-76
25/02/13	H	Argentino	70-77
23/02/13	H	de Julio de Morteros	85-69
16/02/13	A	Olimpico	67-74
14/02/13	A	Atenas	63-66
11/02/13	H	Progresista	81-69
09/02/13	H	La Union	91-69
06/02/13	A	Penarol	71-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	62%
Home	LWWWW	80%
Away	WWLWL	45%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	42	20	22
Win %	62%	80%	45%
Points / game	80.8	80.2	81.4
Allowed / game	74.9	72.3	77.2
Point differential	+5.9	+7.9	+4.1
Avg total	155.7	152.6	158.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	40%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (10)	83% (6)	0% (4)
Overtime %	5%	0%	9%

Libertad

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	52%
Home	LWWWL	77%
Away	LLLWL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	42	22	20
Win %	52%	77%	25%
Points / game	78.0	80.9	74.8
Allowed / game	77.3	73.0	82.0
Point differential	+0.7	+7.9	-7.3
Avg total	155.3	153.9	156.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	45%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	58% (12)	100% (3)	44% (9)
Overtime %	7%	5%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Regatas	42	31	11	74%	78.8	72.8	+6.0
2	Lanus	42	29	13	69%	76.6	72.9	+3.7
3	Penarol	43	29	14	67%	81.9	77.8	+4.1
4	Boca Juniors	42	26	16	62%	80.8	74.9	+5.9
5	Argentino	43	24	19	56%	79.1	78.2	+1.0
6	Quimsa	42	23	19	55%	78.7	76.7	+2.0
7	Olimpico	42	23	19	55%	75.3	75.8	-0.5
8	Libertad	42	22	20	52%	78.0	77.3	+0.7
9	Gimnasia	42	21	21	50%	81.3	80.8	+0.6
10	Atenas	42	21	21	50%	76.5	79.2	-2.6
11	Sionista	42	20	22	48%	78.8	80.0	-1.3
12	Weber Bahia	42	19	23	45%	80.9	80.5	+0.4
13	Obras Sanitarias	42	16	26	38%	80.4	81.0	-0.6
14	de Julio de Morteros	42	13	29	31%	80.0	85.7	-5.7
15	La Union	42	10	32	24%	72.9	78.9	-6.0
16	Progresista	42	10	32	24%	74.0	81.7	-7.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Boca Juniors	27	22	18	31	98
Libertad	18	18	22	24	82

← all games of the day

Boca Juniors vs Libertad Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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