Libertad vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Dec 2012

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 91-97 (OT)

20-22 18-17 20-23 23-19 10-16

Position#8

Record14-9

FormWLLWL

Points / game76.8

Allowed / game76.2

Libertad

Boca Juniors 🏆

Position#4

Record15-11

FormWWWWW

Points / game78.6

Allowed / game73.8

Liga ARound 27

Other2012-13

Meetings · Libertad v Boca Juniors

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertad winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Boca Juniors winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

74-87

-13

A21/11

South American League

Penarol

80-78

H21/11

South American League

Regatas

72-78

-6

A22/11

South American League

Progresista

#16

94-98

-4

A26/11

Liga A

Olimpico

79-74

H01/12

Liga A

Atenas

#11

88-66

+22

H03/12

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

85-93

-8

A08/12

Liga A

Argentino

92-94

-2

A10/12

Liga A

Quimsa

79-70

H15/12

Liga A

Quimsa

61-95

-34

A17/12

Liga A

12-16

16-23

18-21

28-27

11-22

19-19

20-21

30-16

15-20

22-18

16-23

19-17

20-24

22-16

20-22

32-36

19-15

27-23

12-17

21-19

25-16

18-10

26-17

19-23

13-29

26-21

19-16

27-27

15-24

21-32

33-24

23-14

25-19

21-13

17-20

16-18

14-32

10-15

20-31

17-17

163.7Avg total

80.4Scored

83.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	76.8	76.2	153.0	+0.6	61%
Season at home (12)	78.3	70.2	148.5	+8.2	83%
Season away (11)	75.1	82.7	157.8	-7.6	36%
Last 10 (10)	80.4	83.3	163.7	-2.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	83.6	164.6	-2.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	72.3	77.0	149.3	-4.7	33%
vs Similar (18)	76.9	76.9	153.8	-0.1	61%
vs Weaker (8)	84.1	76.1	160.2	+8.0	75%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

La Union

#15

74-65

H15/11

Liga A

Progresista

#16

83-70

+13

H17/11

Liga A

Atenas

#11

71-77

-6

A22/11

Liga A

Olimpico

72-78

-6

A24/11

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

78-74

H01/12

Liga A

Argentino

71-70

H03/12

Liga A

Sionista

89-68

+21

H08/12

Liga A

Regatas

81-68

+13

H09/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

93-73

+20

A13/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

96-61

+35

H16/12

Liga A

20-11

20-22

14-9

20-23

21-16

27-8

19-17

16-29

18-27

21-13

21-15

11-22

24-16

19-23

17-23

12-16

19-23

12-14

25-15

22-22

18-30

24-17

14-17

15-6

18-14

32-12

20-15

19-27

19-19

17-17

27-13

18-19

15-17

31-17

24-15

23-24

31-17

23-8

18-17

24-19

151.2Avg total

80.8Scored

70.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	78.6	73.8	152.4	+4.8	58%
Season at home (14)	77.9	71.6	149.6	+6.3	79%
Season away (12)	79.4	76.3	155.8	+3.1	33%
Last 10 (10)	80.8	70.4	151.2	+10.4	80%
Last 5 (5)	86.0	68.0	154.0	+18.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	73.7	79.3	153.0	-5.7	0%
vs Similar (6)	70.3	69.7	140.0	+0.7	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	81.1	75.0	156.1	+6.0	60%

This opponent (Libertad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LibertadBoca Juniors

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.8	37.3	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	17.4	37.2	+2.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	20.3	37.4	-3.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	21.7	38.6	-4.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	24.0	42.4	-5.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	16.3	21.0	37.3	-4.7	0%	-
vs Similar (18)	18.8	19.3	38.1	-0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	18.8	16.8	35.5	+2.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.9	18.3	37.2	+0.6	52%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.3	17.9	38.2	+2.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.2	18.9	36.1	-1.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	19.0	39.3	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.7	18.7	35.3	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	15.6	16.0	31.6	-0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.4	18.7	39.1	+1.7	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	17.3	36.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	17.0	37.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	17.6	35.7	+0.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.2	37.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	15.7	17.7	33.3	-2.0	67%	-
vs Similar (18)	19.3	16.6	35.9	+2.7	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.9	18.1	39.0	+2.8	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.5	16.4	35.9	+3.1	52%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	15.8	36.2	+4.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.3	17.2	35.5	+1.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	15.1	37.7	+7.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	14.2	39.6	+11.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.3	18.3	35.7	-1.0	67%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.0	15.2	31.2	+0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.9	16.4	37.3	+4.4	55%	-

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

28-39

-11

A21/11

South American League

Penarol

30-41

-11

H21/11

South American League

Regatas

37-38

-1

A22/11

South American League

Progresista

#16

42-40

A26/11

Liga A

Olimpico

46-38

H01/12

Liga A

Atenas

#11

43-26

+17

H03/12

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

39-50

-11

A08/12

Liga A

Argentino

36-56

-20

A10/12

Liga A

Quimsa

46-32

+14

H15/12

Liga A

Quimsa

24-47

-23

A17/12

Liga A

77.8Avg total

37.1Scored

40.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	36.1	73.7	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.0	34.4	74.4	+5.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.2	37.9	73.1	-2.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	40.7	77.8	-3.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	42.2	79.8	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	32.0	38.7	70.7	-6.7	0%	-
vs Similar (18)	38.1	35.9	74.0	+2.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	39.6	34.9	74.5	+4.8	75%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

La Union

#15

40-33

H15/11

Liga A

Progresista

#16

48-24

+24

H17/11

Liga A

Atenas

#11

39-40

-1

A22/11

Liga A

Olimpico

43-39

A24/11

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

31-37

-6

H01/12

Liga A

Argentino

42-47

-5

H03/12

Liga A

Sionista

50-26

+24

H08/12

Liga A

Regatas

36-36

H09/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

46-34

+12

A13/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

54-25

+29

H16/12

Liga A

77.0Avg total

42.9Scored

34.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.4	34.7	73.1	+3.7	52%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.8	33.6	74.4	+7.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (13)	35.5	36.1	71.5	-0.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	34.1	77.0	+8.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	33.6	79.2	+12.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	34.0	37.0	71.0	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	31.6	31.2	62.8	+0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	41.3	35.1	76.4	+6.1	60%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.8	40.6	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	19.3	39.1	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	22.3	42.1	-2.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	21.2	41.3	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	21.6	44.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	18.7	21.0	39.7	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (18)	19.2	21.6	40.8	-2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.5	19.0	40.5	+2.5	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.1	17.9	37.0	+1.2	48%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.3	18.0	36.3	+0.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.1	17.8	37.8	+2.3	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	15.6	35.5	+4.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	15.4	36.0	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.0	21.7	41.7	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.8	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	18.6	17.4	36.0	+1.2	45%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	17.5	36.9	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	21.7	43.4	-0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	21.4	44.6	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	18.3	14.3	32.7	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar (18)	19.6	19.4	39.1	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	23.0	22.2	45.2	+0.8	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.2	21.5	41.7	-1.2	34%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	21.4	40.2	-2.7	25%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.1	21.5	43.6	+0.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	20.7	38.7	-2.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.7	20.7	40.3	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.6	22.4	41.0	-3.8	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.9	35%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	40.4	80.8	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.3	36.8	76.1	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.4	44.1	85.5	-2.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.3	42.6	85.9	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	41.4	84.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	37.0	35.3	72.3	+1.7	67%	-
vs Similar (18)	38.8	41.0	79.8	-2.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	44.5	41.2	85.8	+3.2	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.3	39.4	78.7	-0.0	38%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.1	39.4	76.5	-2.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.2	39.3	81.5	+2.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	36.3	74.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	34.4	74.8	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	39.7	42.3	82.0	-2.7	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	38.8	40.8	79.6	-2.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	39.3	39.0	78.3	+0.2	40%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Libertad wins

Boca Juniors wins

Date	Game	Score
26/02/12	Boca Juniors v Libertad	78-75
17/12/11	Libertad v Boca Juniors	96-82
26/03/11	Libertad v Boca Juniors	94-55
29/01/11	Boca Juniors v Libertad	74-80

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/12/12	A	Quimsa	61-95
15/12/12	H	Quimsa	79-70
10/12/12	A	Argentino	92-94
08/12/12	A	de Julio de Morteros	85-93
03/12/12	H	Atenas	88-66
01/12/12	H	Olimpico	79-74
26/11/12	A	Progresista	94-98
22/11/12	A	Regatas	72-78
21/11/12	H	Penarol	80-78
21/11/12	A	Obras Sanitarias	74-87

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/12/12	H	Obras Sanitarias	96-61
13/12/12	A	Obras Sanitarias	93-73
09/12/12	H	Regatas	81-68
08/12/12	H	Sionista	89-68
03/12/12	H	Argentino	71-70
01/12/12	H	de Julio de Morteros	78-74
24/11/12	A	Olimpico	72-78
22/11/12	A	Atenas	71-77
17/11/12	H	Progresista	83-70
15/11/12	H	La Union	74-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertad

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	61%
Home	LWWWW	83%
Away	LLLLL	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	61%	83%	36%
Points / game	76.8	78.3	75.1
Allowed / game	76.2	70.2	82.7
Point differential	+0.6	+8.2	-7.6
Avg total	153.0	148.5	157.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (8)	100% (2)	67% (6)
Overtime %	4%	0%	9%

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	58%
Home	WWWWW	79%
Away	LLLLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	14	12
Win %	58%	79%	33%
Points / game	78.6	77.9	79.4
Allowed / game	73.8	71.6	76.3
Point differential	+4.8	+6.3	+3.1
Avg total	152.4	149.6	155.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	36%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	100% (4)	0% (3)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Regatas	25	18	7	72%	77.0	71.6	+5.4
2	Lanus	25	18	7	72%	77.0	72.6	+4.4
3	Penarol	24	17	7	71%	81.4	76.1	+5.2
4	Olimpico	26	17	9	65%	75.7	73.8	+2.0
5	Libertad	23	14	9	61%	76.8	76.2	+0.6
6	Boca Juniors	26	15	11	58%	78.6	73.8	+4.8
7	Quimsa	26	15	11	58%	78.9	75.0	+3.9
8	Argentino	25	14	11	56%	78.3	78.4	-0.0
9	Atenas	25	13	12	52%	76.9	79.5	-2.6
10	Sionista	26	11	15	42%	78.2	81.3	-3.1
11	Gimnasia	26	10	16	38%	78.6	80.8	-2.3
12	Weber Bahia	25	9	16	36%	80.2	81.8	-1.6
13	Progresista	26	9	17	35%	73.2	76.8	-3.6
14	de Julio de Morteros	26	9	17	35%	77.9	82.8	-4.9
15	Obras Sanitarias	25	7	18	28%	77.5	81.7	-4.2
16	La Union	25	6	19	24%	72.0	75.5	-3.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Libertad	20	18	20	23	10	91
Boca Juniors	22	17	23	19	16	97

← all games of the day

Libertad vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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