Quilmes vs Ferro Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 31 Jan 2017

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 88-99

22-24 12-26 23-29 31-20

Position#14

Record12-16

FormLLWWL

Points / game76.4

Allowed / game79.7

Quilmes

Ferro 🏆

Position#5

Record18-9

FormWLWLW

Points / game80.2

Allowed / game76.6

Liga A

Other2016-17

Meetings · Quilmes v Ferro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Quilmes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ferro winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Quilmes

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

La Union

#18

76-71

H03/12

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

58-75

-17

A06/12

Liga A

Olimpico

66-85

-19

A08/12

Liga A

Atenas

#16

62-69

-7

H12/12

Liga A

Estudiantes

83-64

+19

H19/12

Liga A

Argentino

#10

59-73

-14

A10/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

101-105 OT

101

105

-4

A12/01

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

83-78

H16/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

#11

96-88

H23/01

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

87-94

-7

H27/01

Liga A

19-15

19-19

17-18

21-19

18-18

14-20

19-16

7-21

10-17

16-22

17-23

23-23

24-16

11-26

16-13

11-14

20-14

16-16

27-13

20-21

9-21

19-10

21-21

10-21

28-21

20-25

12-27

27-14

11-23

24-23

24-13

24-19

24-23

16-17

26-19

30-29

18-25

14-20

20-22

35-27

157.3Avg total

77.1Scored

80.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	76.4	79.7	156.1	-3.2	43%
Season at home (15)	81.0	76.1	157.1	+4.9	73%
Season away (13)	71.2	83.8	154.9	-12.6	8%
Last 10 (10)	77.1	80.2	157.3	-3.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	85.2	87.6	172.8	-2.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	73.8	74.8	148.6	-1.0	40%
vs Similar ◀ (25)	77.1	79.4	156.6	-2.3	48%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ferro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

79-69

+10

A29/11

Liga A

San Martin

72-66

H03/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

75-74

H06/12

Liga A

Libertad

92-86

H13/12

Liga A

Atletico Echague Parana

#20

98-92

H17/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#19

75-67

A19/12

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#17

71-75

-4

H15/01

Liga A

Regatas

83-73

+10

H18/01

Liga A

Olimpico

69-89

-20

A22/01

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

90-89

A24/01

Liga A

19-24

22-16

19-12

19-17

21-15

16-15

19-24

16-12

21-20

23-18

15-20

16-16

19-23

19-16

26-22

28-25

19-14

26-26

27-21

26-31

15-19

18-6

26-22

16-20

28-19

11-18

19-18

13-20

22-25

22-13

20-15

19-20

10-23

15-16

19-30

25-20

27-19

26-20

18-33

19-17

158.4Avg total

80.4Scored

78.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	80.2	76.6	156.7	+3.6	67%
Season at home (15)	80.9	73.7	154.6	+7.3	73%
Season away (12)	79.2	80.2	159.4	-0.9	58%
Last 10 (10)	80.4	78.0	158.4	+2.4	80%
Last 5 (5)	77.6	78.6	156.2	-1.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	79.2	69.2	148.5	+10.0	75%
vs Similar ◀ (22)	78.9	76.7	155.6	+2.1	59%
vs Weaker (4)	84.8	74.8	159.5	+10.0	100%

This opponent (Quilmes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

QuilmesFerro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.0	36.6	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.8	17.4	36.2	+1.4	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.2	18.8	37.0	-0.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	19.3	37.4	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	22.6	40.6	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	18.5	18.0	36.6	+0.5	52%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.5	17.8	39.2	+3.7	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.9	20.6	37.5	-3.7	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.1	40.2	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.0	41.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	19.5	19.5	39.0	-0.0	36%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.5	16.2	35.8	+3.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	21.1	38.3	-3.9	23%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.9	20.5	38.5	-2.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.2	21.8	38.0	-5.5	15%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	19.8	36.7	-2.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.2	21.2	38.4	-4.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	17.2	21.0	38.2	-3.8	24%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	16.5	35.6	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.2	16.3	35.5	+2.9	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.9	16.8	35.7	+2.2	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	16.4	36.2	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	14.6	33.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.8	16.8	35.5	+2.0	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	19.0	16.9	35.8	+2.1	64%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.0	14.2	34.2	+5.8	75%	-

QuilmesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

La Union

#18

38-34

H03/12

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

32-38

-6

A06/12

Liga A

Olimpico

26-39

-13

A08/12

Liga A

Atenas

#16

35-42

-7

H12/12

Liga A

Estudiantes

36-30

H19/12

Liga A

Argentino

#10

28-31

-3

A10/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

48-46

A12/01

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

35-46

-11

H16/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

#11

40-40

H23/01

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

32-45

-13

H27/01

Liga A

74.1Avg total

35.0Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.7	39.1	74.8	-3.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	36.8	37.9	74.7	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	34.4	40.6	75.0	-6.2	15%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.0	39.1	74.1	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	41.6	78.2	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	35.8	39.2	75.0	-3.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	35.7	39.1	74.8	-3.4	32%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

41-40

A29/11

Liga A

San Martin

37-30

H03/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

44-38

H06/12

Liga A

Libertad

38-39

-1

H13/12

Liga A

Atletico Echague Parana

#20

45-40

H17/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#19

33-25

A19/12

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#17

39-37

H15/01

Liga A

Regatas

44-38

H18/01

Liga A

Olimpico

25-39

-14

A22/01

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

53-39

+14

A24/01

Liga A

76.4Avg total

39.9Scored

36.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	35.5	74.1	+3.1	73%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.6	34.1	74.7	+6.6	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	35.8	37.4	73.2	-1.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	36.5	76.4	+3.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	35.6	74.4	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	38.5	35.8	74.2	+2.8	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	38.4	36.4	74.8	+2.0	68%	-
vs Weaker (4)	39.5	30.5	70.0	+9.0	100%	-

This opponent (Quilmes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	17.8	37.0	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.3	17.1	38.4	+4.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.6	18.7	35.3	-2.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	18.5	38.4	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.8	16.8	38.6	+5.0	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	18.8	18.0	36.7	+0.8	48%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	21.0	41.1	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.8	19.2	40.0	+1.5	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.4	23.2	42.6	-3.8	15%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	21.7	42.5	-0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	23.6	44.0	-3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.8	17.0	37.8	+3.8	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	19.7	21.7	41.4	-2.0	36%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.1	40.1	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.4	18.8	40.2	+2.6	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.2	21.8	40.0	-3.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.8	41.6	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	22.0	47.2	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.2	18.8	35.0	-2.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.4	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	18.7	39.2	+1.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.7	18.4	38.1	+1.4	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.5	19.2	40.6	+2.3	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.8	39.5	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.4	37.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.0	16.5	36.5	+3.5	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	20.7	18.7	39.4	+2.0	68%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.5	21.0	40.5	-1.5	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	37.9	77.2	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.7	35.9	78.6	+6.8	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	34.8	40.5	75.3	-5.6	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	39.3	80.0	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	42.4	88.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.0	35.6	73.6	+2.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	39.6	38.3	77.9	+1.2	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	39.7	80.3	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.5	37.6	78.1	+2.9	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.8	42.4	83.2	-1.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	41.5	82.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	43.0	81.8	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	40.8	33.5	74.2	+7.2	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	40.5	40.4	80.8	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.5	42.0	83.5	-0.5	25%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Quilmes wins

Ferro wins

Date	Game	Score
28/10/16	Ferro v Quilmes	84-54
21/10/16	Quilmes v Ferro	96-83
25/03/16	Ferro v Quilmes	80-78 OT
20/03/16	Quilmes v Ferro	84-96
28/11/15	Quilmes v Ferro	89-83
29/10/15	Ferro v Quilmes	79-67

Quilmeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/01/17	H	Instituto de Cordoba	87-94
23/01/17	H	Gimnasia	96-88
16/01/17	H	Quimsa	83-78
12/01/17	A	Weber Bahia	101-105 OT
10/01/17	A	Argentino	59-73
19/12/16	H	Estudiantes	83-64
12/12/16	H	Atenas	62-69
08/12/16	A	Olimpico	66-85
06/12/16	A	Quimsa	58-75
03/12/16	H	La Union	76-71

Ferrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/01/17	A	Quimsa	90-89
22/01/17	A	Olimpico	69-89
18/01/17	H	Regatas	83-73
15/01/17	H	Hispano Americano	71-75
19/12/16	A	Boca Juniors	75-67
17/12/16	H	Atletico Echague Parana	98-92
13/12/16	H	Libertad	92-86
06/12/16	H	Obras Sanitarias	75-74
03/12/16	H	San Martin	72-66
29/11/16	A	San Lorenzo	79-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Quilmes

Liga A 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	43%
Home	LWWWL	73%
Away	WLLLL	8%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	15	13
Win %	43%	73%	8%
Points / game	76.4	81.0	71.2
Allowed / game	79.7	76.1	83.8
Point differential	-3.2	+4.9	-12.6
Avg total	156.1	157.1	154.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	33%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	100% (3)	0% (3)
Overtime %	11%	7%	15%

Ferro

Liga A 2016-17

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	67%
Home	WWWLW	73%
Away	LWWLW	58%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	15	12
Win %	67%	73%	58%
Points / game	80.2	80.9	79.2
Allowed / game	76.6	73.7	80.2
Point differential	+3.6	+7.3	-0.9
Avg total	156.7	154.6	159.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	33%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (8)	40% (5)	33% (3)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	29	22	7	76%	85.8	72.1	+13.6
2	San Martin	27	20	7	74%	82.1	74.9	+7.3
3	Ferro	27	18	9	67%	80.2	76.6	+3.6
4	Weber Bahia	29	18	11	62%	78.0	76.9	+1.1
5	Regatas	28	17	11	61%	85.4	82.0	+3.4
6	Estudiantes	28	17	11	61%	81.6	78.5	+3.1
7	Instituto de Cordoba	29	17	12	59%	80.4	79.8	+0.6
8	Olimpico	29	15	14	52%	79.9	77.5	+2.4
9	Obras Sanitarias	28	14	14	50%	82.7	80.4	+2.2
10	Gimnasia	28	14	14	50%	81.3	81.0	+0.2
11	Argentino	29	14	15	48%	73.6	75.3	-1.8
12	Quimsa	27	13	14	48%	79.9	78.0	+1.9
13	La Union	27	13	14	48%	75.0	77.9	-2.9
14	Libertad	28	13	15	46%	80.7	80.2	+0.5
15	Penarol	31	14	17	45%	75.5	78.7	-3.3
16	Quilmes	28	12	16	43%	76.4	79.7	-3.2
17	Atenas	28	11	17	39%	78.9	80.5	-1.6
18	Boca Juniors	28	8	20	29%	75.1	81.8	-6.7
19	Hispano Americano	30	8	22	27%	76.5	83.5	-7.0
20	Atletico Echague Parana	28	5	23	18%	76.7	89.6	-12.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Quilmes	22	12	23	31	88
Ferro	24	26	29	20	99

← all games of the day

Quilmes vs Ferro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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