Libertad vs Quilmes Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 Feb 2017

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 78-73

21-22 17-12 16-18 24-21

Position#9

Record13-15

FormWWLLW

Points / game80.7

Allowed / game80.2

Libertad 🏆

Quilmes

Position#14

Record13-18

FormWLLLW

Points / game77.3

Allowed / game79.7

Liga A

Other2016-17

Meetings · Libertad v Quilmes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertad winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Quilmes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

75-84

-9

H04/12

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

76-66

+10

H09/12

Liga A

Ferro

86-92

-6

A13/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#19

98-77

+21

A14/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

#11

79-75

A17/12

Liga A

Olimpico

89-70

+19

H16/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#17

94-80

+14

A21/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

67-82

-15

A23/01

Liga A

San Lorenzo

73-104

104

-31

A26/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#19

84-73

+11

H29/01

Liga A

24-23

13-23

15-13

23-25

21-16

20-14

18-15

17-21

23-19

16-19

22-26

25-28

28-18

21-19

25-21

24-19

21-26

23-13

14-14

21-22

17-13

22-30

25-14

25-13

22-15

26-23

18-22

28-20

18-18

11-25

15-20

23-19

15-22

14-37

21-26

23-19

25-19

23-22

16-20

20-12

162.4Avg total

82.1Scored

80.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	80.7	80.2	160.9	+0.5	46%
Season at home (13)	84.1	78.8	162.9	+5.2	69%
Season away (15)	77.7	81.3	159.1	-3.6	27%
Last 10 (10)	82.1	80.3	162.4	+1.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	81.8	163.2	-0.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	84.0	95.7	179.7	-11.7	0%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	78.8	79.5	158.2	-0.7	45%
vs Weaker (7)	84.6	76.0	160.6	+8.6	71%

This opponent (Quilmes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Quilmes

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atenas

#16

62-69

-7

H12/12

Liga A

Estudiantes

83-64

+19

H19/12

Liga A

Argentino

#10

59-73

-14

A10/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

101-105 OT

101

105

-4

A12/01

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

83-78

H16/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

#11

96-88

H23/01

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

87-94

-7

H27/01

Liga A

Ferro

88-99

-11

H31/01

Liga A

Estudiantes

78-79

-1

A03/02

Liga A

Atletico Echague Parana

#20

90-62

+28

A05/02

Liga A

24-16

11-26

16-13

11-14

20-14

16-16

27-13

20-21

9-21

19-10

21-21

10-21

28-21

20-25

12-27

27-14

11-23

24-23

24-13

24-19

24-23

16-17

26-19

30-29

18-25

14-20

20-22

35-27

22-24

12-26

23-29

31-20

17-18

18-20

26-22

17-19

16-19

22-9

25-11

27-23

163.8Avg total

82.7Scored

81.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	77.3	79.7	157.0	-2.4	42%
Season at home (16)	81.4	77.6	159.0	+3.9	69%
Season away (15)	72.9	82.0	154.9	-9.1	13%
Last 10 (10)	82.7	81.1	163.8	+1.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	87.8	84.4	172.2	+3.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	74.2	80.4	154.6	-6.2	20%
vs Similar ◀ (24)	77.9	79.7	157.6	-1.8	46%
vs Weaker (1)	90.0	62.0	152.0	+28.0	100%

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LibertadQuilmes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.7	38.5	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	18.8	39.7	+2.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	18.7	37.3	+0.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	18.9	40.3	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.4	36.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.0	21.3	40.3	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	19.3	19.1	38.4	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.6	16.7	38.3	+4.9	86%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.2	36.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	17.9	36.8	+1.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.2	18.5	36.7	-0.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.4	39.3	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.8	41.2	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.6	19.0	36.6	-1.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	18.9	18.0	36.9	+1.0	54%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	19.0	35.0	-3.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.7	40.6	-0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	20.9	42.3	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	20.5	38.9	-2.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	22.5	41.4	-3.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	27.4	46.6	-8.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.0	23.7	40.7	-6.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	19.8	20.4	40.2	-0.6	45%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.4	20.4	41.9	+1.0	86%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	20.9	38.4	-3.4	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.7	21.2	38.9	-3.6	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.2	20.5	37.7	-3.3	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	19.2	36.4	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	18.4	34.8	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.8	21.4	38.2	-4.6	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	17.4	21.3	38.7	-3.9	25%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	9.0	31.0	+13.0	100%	-

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

37-46

-9

H04/12

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

41-30

+11

H09/12

Liga A

Ferro

39-38

A13/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#19

49-37

+12

A14/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

#11

44-39

A17/12

Liga A

Olimpico

39-43

-4

H16/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#17

48-38

+10

A21/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

29-43

-14

A23/01

Liga A

San Lorenzo

29-59

-30

A26/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#19

48-41

H29/01

Liga A

81.7Avg total

40.3Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	39.4	79.1	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.3	39.7	82.0	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.1	39.1	76.3	-2.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	41.4	81.7	-1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	44.8	83.4	-6.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.0	45.0	81.0	-9.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	39.1	39.4	78.5	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	43.0	37.1	80.1	+5.9	86%	-

This opponent (Quilmes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

QuilmesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atenas

#16

35-42

-7

H12/12

Liga A

Estudiantes

36-30

H19/12

Liga A

Argentino

#10

28-31

-3

A10/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

48-46

A12/01

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

35-46

-11

H16/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

#11

40-40

H23/01

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

32-45

-13

H27/01

Liga A

Ferro

34-50

-16

H31/01

Liga A

Estudiantes

35-38

-3

A03/02

Liga A

Atletico Echague Parana

#20

38-28

+10

A05/02

Liga A

75.7Avg total

36.1Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.1	39.1	75.1	-3.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.6	39.1	75.8	-2.5	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.4	39.0	74.4	-3.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.1	39.6	75.7	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	40.2	76.0	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	34.4	40.4	74.8	-6.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	36.3	39.2	75.6	-2.9	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	38.0	28.0	66.0	+10.0	100%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.9	39.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	18.9	38.5	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	20.8	39.9	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.1	38.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.4	39.4	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.7	25.3	45.0	-5.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.2	45%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.9	19.4	38.3	-0.6	29%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.0	37.6	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	17.6	38.6	+3.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.2	18.4	36.6	-0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	19.0	41.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	20.6	44.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	23.0	18.4	41.4	+4.6	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	18.8	18.2	36.9	+0.6	46%	-
vs Weaker (1)	25.0	11.0	36.0	+14.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.2	41.1	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	19.7	40.7	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	20.6	41.5	+0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	19.8	42.7	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	16.6	40.4	+7.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.7	17.3	39.0	+4.3	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.2	20.9	41.1	-0.6	35%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.7	19.4	42.1	+3.3	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.5	40.9	-0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	19.8	42.4	+2.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.0	21.2	39.2	-3.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	20.7	43.9	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.0	23.6	51.6	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.8	21.6	38.4	-4.8	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	20.9	20.1	41.0	+0.8	58%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	23.0	50.0	+4.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	40.0	80.3	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	38.7	79.2	+1.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.0	41.4	81.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	38.9	80.7	+2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	37.0	79.8	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	41.3	42.7	84.0	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	39.6	40.0	79.7	-0.4	35%	-
vs Weaker (7)	41.6	38.9	80.4	+2.7	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	38.4	78.5	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.5	37.4	80.9	+6.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.2	39.6	75.8	-3.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.2	39.7	84.9	+5.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	52.0	44.2	96.2	+7.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	39.8	40.0	79.8	-0.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	39.7	38.3	78.0	+1.4	58%	-
vs Weaker (1)	52.0	34.0	86.0	+18.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Libertad wins

Quilmes wins

Date	Game	Score
19/04/16	Libertad v Quilmes	104-87
26/02/16	Quilmes v Libertad	101-89
25/04/15	Libertad v Quilmes	92-90
04/03/15	Quilmes v Libertad	99-89
08/02/14	Quilmes v Libertad	72-77
01/02/14	Libertad v Quilmes	91-90
13/02/12	Quilmes v Libertad	66-73
05/12/11	Libertad v Quilmes	99-80

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/01/17	H	Boca Juniors	84-73
26/01/17	A	San Lorenzo	73-104
23/01/17	A	Obras Sanitarias	67-82
21/01/17	A	Hispano Americano	94-80
16/01/17	H	Olimpico	89-70
17/12/16	A	Gimnasia	79-75
14/12/16	A	Boca Juniors	98-77
13/12/16	A	Ferro	86-92
09/12/16	H	Quimsa	76-66
04/12/16	H	Regatas	75-84

Quilmeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/02/17	A	Atletico Echague Parana	90-62
03/02/17	A	Estudiantes	78-79
31/01/17	H	Ferro	88-99
27/01/17	H	Instituto de Cordoba	87-94
23/01/17	H	Gimnasia	96-88
16/01/17	H	Quimsa	83-78
12/01/17	A	Weber Bahia	101-105 OT
10/01/17	A	Argentino	59-73
19/12/16	H	Estudiantes	83-64
12/12/16	H	Atenas	62-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertad

Liga A 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	46%
Home	LLWWW	69%
Away	WWWLL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	13	15
Win %	46%	69%	27%
Points / game	80.7	84.1	77.7
Allowed / game	80.2	78.8	81.3
Point differential	+0.5	+5.2	-3.6
Avg total	160.9	162.9	159.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	54%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	67% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	7%	8%	7%

Quilmes

Liga A 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	42%
Home	WWWLL	69%
Away	LLLLW	13%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	16	15
Win %	42%	69%	13%
Points / game	77.3	81.4	72.9
Allowed / game	79.7	77.6	82.0
Point differential	-2.4	+3.9	-9.1
Avg total	157.0	159.0	154.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	31%	13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	100% (3)	0% (4)
Overtime %	10%	6%	13%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	29	22	7	76%	85.8	72.1	+13.6
2	San Martin	29	21	8	72%	82.1	74.8	+7.3
3	Ferro	29	20	9	69%	80.7	76.8	+3.8
4	Estudiantes	31	20	11	65%	82.4	77.6	+4.8
5	Instituto de Cordoba	32	20	12	62%	81.1	79.8	+1.3
6	Regatas	29	18	11	62%	85.9	82.0	+3.9
7	Weber Bahia	31	19	12	61%	77.5	76.7	+0.8
8	Olimpico	30	16	14	53%	80.3	77.3	+3.0
9	Quimsa	28	14	14	50%	80.2	77.9	+2.3
10	Gimnasia	30	15	15	50%	81.3	80.9	+0.3
11	Obras Sanitarias	31	15	16	48%	81.7	80.9	+0.7
12	Argentino	30	14	16	47%	73.9	75.9	-2.0
13	La Union	30	14	16	47%	75.1	78.7	-3.6
14	Libertad	28	13	15	46%	80.7	80.2	+0.5
15	Penarol	32	14	18	44%	75.4	78.6	-3.2
16	Quilmes	31	13	18	42%	77.3	79.7	-2.4
17	Atenas	29	11	18	38%	78.8	80.6	-1.8
18	Hispano Americano	30	8	22	27%	76.5	83.5	-7.0
19	Boca Juniors	30	8	22	27%	74.5	81.5	-7.1
20	Atletico Echague Parana	31	5	26	16%	76.2	90.0	-13.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Libertad	21	17	16	24	78
Quilmes	22	12	18	21	73

← all games of the day

Libertad vs Quilmes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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