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Nevada vs San Diego State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 78-79
33-36 45-43
Position#257
Record12-16
FormWWLLL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game73.6
vs
Position#52
Record20-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game65.8
Allowed / game57.5
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Nevada v San Diego State
06 Jan 2026
NEVA68
SAN 73
25 Jan 2025
NEVA50
SAN 69
09 Feb 2024
NEVA70
SAN 66
31 Jan 2023
NEVA75
SAN 66
05 Mar 2022
NEVA78
SAN 79
29 Feb 2020
NEVA76
SAN 83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Diego State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#154
L
58-69
58
69
-11
A02/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#130
L
56-73
56
73
-17
A05/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#52
L
63-65
63
65
-2
A06/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#14
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H09/02
NCAA
Utah State
#170
W
85-72
85
72
+13
A12/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H16/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
W
90-60
90
60
+30
A18/02
NCAA
UNLV
#154
L
54-62
54
62
-8
H23/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#45
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A27/02
NCAA
Boise State
#31
L
67-73
67
73
-6
A02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
26-42
32-27
24-33
32-40
27-28
36-37
31-36
41-46
32-37
53-35
39-43
42-29
43-25
47-35
26-23
28-39
26-42
35-32
35-41
32-32
138.9Avg total
68.7Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)72.273.6145.9-1.443%
Season at home (15)74.871.5146.3+3.360%
Season away (13)69.376.2145.5-6.823%
Last 10 (10)68.770.2138.9-1.530%
Last 5 (5)70.668.2138.8+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)67.677.8145.4-10.216%
vs Similar (6)79.269.2148.3+10.083%
vs Weaker (4)81.266.5147.8+14.8100%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#14
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A05/02
NCAA
Nevada
#257
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H06/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
W
72-62
72
62
+10
A10/02
NCAA
Air Force
#276
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H13/02
NCAA
Utah State
#170
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H16/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#130
W
61-44
61
44
+17
A20/02
NCAA
Boise State
#31
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A23/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
W
77-52
77
52
+25
H26/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#45
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A01/03
NCAA
Fresno State
#130
W
65-64 OT
65
64
+1
H04/03
NCAA
1H
2H
18-23
39-35
28-27
37-36
28-22
44-40
37-33
39-31
42-34
33-22
30-20
31-24
20-30
37-28
36-25
41-27
44-37
29-29
27-24
27-30
126.5Avg total
67.8Scored
58.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)65.857.5123.3+8.374%
Season at home (18)67.855.4123.2+12.489%
Season away (9)61.961.8123.7+0.144%
Last 10 (10)67.858.7126.5+9.180%
Last 5 (5)66.656.8123.4+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)62.757.0119.7+5.762%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)70.160.4130.5+9.686%
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -4.1-4.11st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +5.5+5.5
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -4.1-4.11st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +5.5+5.5
NevadaSan Diego State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#154
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A02/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#130
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A05/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#52
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A06/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#14
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H09/02
NCAA
Utah State
#170
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A12/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H16/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A18/02
NCAA
UNLV
#154
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H23/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#45
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A27/02
NCAA
Boise State
#31
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A02/03
NCAA
65.9Avg total
30.9Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.236.270.4-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.435.770.1-1.347%-
Last 30 away (15)34.036.670.6-2.640%-
Last 10 (10)30.935.065.9-4.120%-
Last 5 (5)33.834.868.6-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)32.537.870.4-5.326%-
vs Similar (6)35.034.069.0+1.067%-
vs Weaker (4)37.831.869.5+6.075%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#14
L
18-23
18
23
-5
A05/02
NCAA
Nevada
#257
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H06/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
W
28-22
28
22
+6
A10/02
NCAA
Air Force
#276
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H13/02
NCAA
Utah State
#170
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H16/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#130
W
30-20
30
20
+10
A20/02
NCAA
Boise State
#31
L
20-30
20
30
-10
A23/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H26/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#45
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A01/03
NCAA
Fresno State
#130
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H04/03
NCAA
58.5Avg total
31.0Scored
27.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.727.859.5+3.973%-
Last 30 at home (21)32.527.159.6+5.386%-
Last 30 away (9)30.029.359.3+0.744%-
Last 10 (10)31.027.558.5+3.580%-
Last 5 (5)31.427.258.6+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)29.927.157.1+2.869%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)33.828.662.4+5.279%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nevada wins
6
San Diego State wins
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/22ABoise State67-73
27/02/22AWyoming61-74
23/02/22HUNLV54-62
18/02/22ASan Jose State90-60
16/02/22HSan Jose State81-72
12/02/22AUtah State85-72
09/02/22HColorado State72-82
06/02/22ASan Diego State63-65
05/02/22AFresno State56-73
02/02/22AUNLV58-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/22HFresno State65-64 OT
01/03/22AWyoming73-66
26/02/22HSan Jose State77-52
23/02/22ABoise State57-58
20/02/22AFresno State61-44
16/02/22HUtah State75-56
13/02/22HAir Force76-64
10/02/22ASan Jose State72-62
06/02/22HNevada65-63
05/02/22AColorado State57-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevada
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeWLLWL60%
AwayLWWLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %43%60%23%
Points / game72.274.869.3
Allowed / game73.671.576.2
Point differential-1.4+3.3-6.8
Avg total145.9146.3145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
San Diego State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW74%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLWWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games27189
Win %74%89%44%
Points / game65.867.861.9
Allowed / game57.555.461.8
Point differential+8.3+12.4+0.1
Avg total123.3123.2123.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%67%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %4%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colorado State2824486%75.066.4+8.7
2 Boise State3124777%69.260.8+8.4
3 Wyoming3124777%73.865.7+8.1
4 Grand Canyon2922776%71.160.6+10.6
5 San Diego State2720774%65.857.5+8.3
6 Fresno State30181260%65.158.4+6.7
7 UNLV30181260%70.465.5+5.0
8 Utah State31171455%73.967.1+6.8
9 Nevada28121643%72.273.6-1.4
10 New Mexico30121840%74.375.5-1.2
11 Air Force28111739%59.165.4-6.3
12 San Jose State3082227%64.272.4-8.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nevada334578
San Diego State364379
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