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Boise State vs New Mexico Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 86-78
42-39 44-39
Position#55
Record17-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game65.7
vs
Position#25
Record22-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game71.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Boise State v New Mexico
23 Dec 2026
BOIS v NEW
upcoming
30 Dec 2025
BOIS62
NEW 53
19 Feb 2025
BOIS86
NEW 78
14 Mar 2024
BOIS66
NEW 76
02 Mar 2024
BOIS89
NEW 79
22 Feb 2023
BOIS82
NEW 77
23 Dec 2020
BOIS89
NEW 52
21 Dec 2020
BOIS77
NEW 53
03 Dec 2020
BOIS v NEW
upcoming
23 Feb 2020
BOIS74
NEW 61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boise State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Mexico winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#165
W
81-59
81
59
+22
H08/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A12/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
96-55
96
55
+41
H15/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
65-84
65
84
-19
A18/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A23/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H30/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
82-60
82
60
+22
H01/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
71-62
71
62
+9
A05/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
79-52
79
52
+27
H08/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
47-64
47
64
-17
A16/02
NCAA
1H
2H
43-24
38-35
38-34
41-47
50-21
46-34
21-48
44-36
29-38
43-37
28-24
38-32
44-26
38-34
33-29
38-33
37-25
42-27
18-28
29-36
138.6Avg total
73.8Scored
64.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)76.065.7141.7+10.268%
Season at home (15)80.561.3141.8+19.387%
Season away (10)69.172.4141.5-3.340%
Last 10 (10)73.864.8138.6+9.060%
Last 5 (5)69.058.8127.8+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)70.875.0145.8-4.236%
vs Weaker (15)77.459.7137.1+17.787%
This opponent (New Mexico) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New MexicoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#65
W
62-48
62
48
+14
H11/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
70-71
70
71
-1
A15/01
NCAA
Boise State
#55
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H18/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
95-67
95
67
+28
H20/01
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
75-73
75
73
+2
A25/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
82-63
82
63
+19
A02/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
87-65
87
65
+22
H06/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
88-53
88
53
+35
A08/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H13/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H16/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-20
32-28
35-31
35-40
48-21
36-44
45-27
50-40
39-39
36-34
30-36
52-27
35-31
52-34
34-24
54-29
29-39
42-28
36-42
46-37
144.7Avg total
79.6Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)83.271.0154.2+12.185%
Season at home (16)86.471.4157.8+14.994%
Season away (10)78.070.4148.4+7.670%
Last 10 (10)79.665.1144.7+14.590%
Last 5 (5)82.065.4147.4+16.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.071.0149.0+7.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.867.2145.0+10.792%
vs Weaker (17)83.872.6156.4+11.176%
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +4.4+4.41st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: +9.4+9.4
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +4.4+4.41st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: +9.4+9.4
Boise StateNew Mexico
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#165
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H08/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A12/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
50-21
50
21
+29
H15/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
21-48
21
48
-27
A18/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A23/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H30/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H01/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A05/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H08/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
18-28
18
28
-10
A16/02
NCAA
63.8Avg total
34.1Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.030.364.3+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.628.665.2+7.974%-
Last 30 away (11)29.533.362.8-3.745%-
Last 10 (10)34.129.763.8+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)32.026.458.4+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)30.534.364.8-3.843%-
vs Weaker (15)36.226.762.9+9.580%-
This opponent (New Mexico) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New MexicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#65
W
30-20
30
20
+10
H11/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A15/01
NCAA
Boise State
#55
W
48-21
48
21
+27
H18/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H20/01
NCAA
UNLV
#165
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A25/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A02/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H06/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A08/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H13/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H16/02
NCAA
67.1Avg total
36.1Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.532.870.2+4.770%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.332.872.1+6.576%-
Last 30 away (13)35.132.767.8+2.462%-
Last 10 (10)36.131.067.1+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)32.834.467.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.030.067.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.930.066.9+6.975%-
vs Weaker (17)37.934.972.8+3.065%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Boise State wins
3
New Mexico wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/25ASan Diego State47-64
08/02/25HSan Jose State79-52
05/02/25AUNLV71-62
01/02/25HFresno State82-60
30/01/25HNevada66-56
23/01/25AColorado State72-75
18/01/25ANew Mexico65-84
15/01/25HWyoming96-55
12/01/25AUtah State79-81
08/01/25HUNLV81-59
New Mexicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/25HUtah State82-79
13/02/25HWyoming71-67
08/02/25AAir Force88-53
06/02/25HColorado State87-65
02/02/25AUtah State82-63
25/01/25AUNLV75-73
20/01/25HFresno State95-67
18/01/25HBoise State84-65
15/01/25ASan Jose State70-71
11/01/25HSan Diego State62-48

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boise State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL68%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayLLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %68%87%40%
Points / game76.080.569.1
Allowed / game65.761.372.4
Point differential+10.2+19.3-3.3
Avg total141.7141.8141.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %4%7%0%
New Mexico
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW85%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWLWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261610
Win %85%94%70%
Points / game83.286.478.0
Allowed / game71.071.470.4
Point differential+12.1+14.9+7.6
Avg total154.2157.8148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%56%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %8%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2723485%82.669.4+13.1
2 New Mexico2622485%83.271.0+12.1
3 Grand Canyon2519676%78.668.5+10.1
4 San Diego State2418675%71.362.5+8.8
5 Boise State2517868%76.065.7+10.2
6 Colorado State2617965%74.768.9+5.8
7 Nevada26151158%73.367.7+5.6
8 UNLV26141254%70.068.6+1.4
9 Wyoming27121544%67.770.8-3.1
10 San Jose State28121643%72.773.9-1.2
11 Fresno State2752219%71.681.8-10.2
12 Air Force2632312%62.372.5-10.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Boise State424486
New Mexico393978
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