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New Mexico vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 20 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 95-67
45-27 50-40
Position#25
Record15-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game72.6
vs
Position#358
Record5-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game81.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · New Mexico v Fresno State
21 Jan 2026
NEW 83
FRES74
20 Jan 2025
NEW 95
FRES67
06 Mar 2024
NEW 79
FRES58
28 Feb 2023
NEW 94
FRES80
25 Jan 2022
NEW 60
FRES65
07 Jan 2020
NEW 78
FRES64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New MexicoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico State
#175
L
83-89 OT
83
89
-6
H08/12
NCAA
Western N. M.
#547
W
122-70
122
70
+52
H15/12
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H19/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A28/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
103-89
103
89
+14
A01/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
82-81 OT
82
81
+1
H04/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
61-53
61
53
+8
A08/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
W
62-48
62
48
+14
H11/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
70-71
70
71
-1
A15/01
NCAA
Boise State
#55
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-47
35-26
60-37
62-33
37-30
41-41
41-25
35-43
53-36
50-53
34-37
36-33
18-32
43-21
30-20
32-28
35-31
35-40
48-21
36-44
152.6Avg total
82.1Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)83.372.6155.9+10.679%
Season at home (12)87.272.1159.3+15.292%
Season away (7)76.473.6150.0+2.957%
Last 10 (10)82.170.5152.6+11.680%
Last 5 (5)71.863.6135.4+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.071.0149.0+7.0100%
vs Similar (13)75.870.9146.7+4.869%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)83.372.9156.2+10.469%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Clara
#103
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A08/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
67-95
67
95
-28
A12/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#360
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H15/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
69-86
69
86
-17
H21/12
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A29/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
89-103
89
103
-14
H01/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
83-89
83
89
-6
A05/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
64-91
64
91
-27
A08/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
66-77 OT
66
77
-11
H12/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
25-36
41-45
27-44
40-51
32-37
41-28
35-36
34-50
30-48
47-39
36-53
53-50
42-39
41-50
26-49
38-42
31-30
33-34
41-24
33-41
156.7Avg total
72.8Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)73.281.5154.7-8.328%
Season at home (9)74.778.4153.1-3.844%
Season away (9)71.884.6156.3-12.811%
Last 10 (10)72.883.9156.7-11.120%
Last 5 (5)75.285.0160.2-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)68.181.8149.9-13.88%
vs Similar (6)75.067.5142.5+7.5100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (New Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.8+7.81st half: -7.1-7.12nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: -2.9-2.9
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.8+7.81st half: -7.1-7.12nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: -2.9-2.9
New MexicoFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New MexicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico State
#175
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H08/12
NCAA
Western N. M.
#547
W
60-37
60
37
+23
H15/12
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H19/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A28/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A01/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H04/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
18-32
18
32
-14
A08/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
W
30-20
30
20
+10
H11/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A15/01
NCAA
Boise State
#55
W
48-21
48
21
+27
H18/01
NCAA
71.0Avg total
39.4Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.832.670.4+5.170%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.731.871.5+7.976%-
Last 30 away (13)35.233.869.0+1.562%-
Last 10 (10)39.431.671.0+7.870%-
Last 5 (5)33.028.261.2+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.030.067.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (13)36.730.367.0+6.469%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)38.734.773.4+4.069%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Clara
#103
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A08/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A12/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#360
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H15/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H21/12
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A29/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H01/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A05/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A08/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H12/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H18/01
NCAA
72.1Avg total
32.5Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.137.568.5-6.423%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.235.566.7-4.329%-
Last 30 away (16)30.939.270.1-8.219%-
Last 10 (10)32.539.672.1-7.130%-
Last 5 (5)35.239.074.2-3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)29.838.668.5-8.817%-
vs Similar (6)36.032.868.8+3.250%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (New Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
New Mexico wins
7
Fresno State wins
New Mexicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25HBoise State84-65
15/01/25ASan Jose State70-71
11/01/25HSan Diego State62-48
08/01/25AWyoming61-53
04/01/25HNevada82-81 OT
01/01/25AFresno State103-89
28/12/24AColorado State76-68
19/12/24HVCU Rams78-71
15/12/24HWestern N. M.122-70
08/12/24HNew Mexico State83-89 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25HAir Force74-65
12/01/25HNevada66-77 OT
08/01/25AColorado State64-91
05/01/25AUtah State83-89
01/01/25HNew Mexico89-103
29/12/24AUNLV77-87
21/12/24HCalifornia Baptist69-86
15/12/24HSan Diego Toreros73-65
12/12/24ABrigham Young67-95
08/12/24ASanta Clara66-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW79%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19127
Win %79%92%57%
Points / game83.387.276.4
Allowed / game72.672.173.6
Point differential+10.6+15.2+2.9
Avg total155.9159.3150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%58%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %11%17%0%
Fresno State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW28%
HomeWLLLW44%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %28%44%11%
Points / game73.274.771.8
Allowed / game81.578.484.6
Point differential-8.3-3.8-12.8
Avg total154.7153.1156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %11%22%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1816289%82.167.9+14.1
2 New Mexico1915479%83.372.6+10.6
3 Grand Canyon1813572%79.868.7+11.1
4 San Diego State1611569%72.062.7+9.3
5 Boise State1913668%78.067.1+10.9
6 Nevada1811761%74.866.9+7.9
7 Colorado State1811761%74.168.3+5.8
8 UNLV1811761%71.770.4+1.3
9 Wyoming189950%69.471.6-2.2
10 San Jose State2091145%75.073.0+1.9
11 Fresno State1851328%73.281.5-8.3
12 Air Force1831517%63.269.9-6.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
New Mexico455095
Fresno State274067
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