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New Mexico vs San Diego State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 62-48
30-20 32-28
Position#25
Record13-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game74.8
vs
Position#65
Record10-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game61.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · New Mexico v San Diego State
28 Feb 2026
NEW 81
SAN 76
11 Jan 2025
NEW 62
SAN 48
13 Jan 2024
NEW 88
SAN 70
25 Feb 2023
NEW 71
SAN 73
15 Jan 2022
NEW v SAN
upcoming
03 Feb 2021
NEW v SAN
upcoming
29 Jan 2020
NEW 57
SAN 85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Diego State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New MexicoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona State
#285
L
82-85
82
85
-3
A29/11
NCAA
USC
#215
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H30/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H05/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
L
83-89 OT
83
89
-6
H08/12
NCAA
Western N. M.
#547
W
122-70
122
70
+52
H15/12
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H19/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A28/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
103-89
103
89
+14
A01/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
82-81 OT
82
81
+1
H04/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
61-53
61
53
+8
A08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-34
45-51
39-30
44-43
39-38
44-39
38-47
35-26
60-37
62-33
37-30
41-41
41-25
35-43
53-36
50-53
34-37
36-33
18-32
43-21
160.9Avg total
85.3Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)85.474.8160.1+10.681%
Season at home (10)90.175.2165.3+14.990%
Season away (6)77.574.0151.5+3.567%
Last 10 (10)85.375.6160.9+9.780%
Last 5 (5)80.072.4152.4+7.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.071.0149.0+7.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.874.2151.1+2.667%
vs Weaker (17)84.273.5157.6+10.771%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Creighton
#59
W
71-53
71
53
+18
A26/11
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H27/11
NCAA
Houston
#9
W
73-70 OT
73
70
+3
A01/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
84-62
84
62
+22
A05/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#360
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H08/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H12/12
NCAA
California
#268
W
71-50
71
50
+21
H22/12
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
66-67
66
67
-1
H28/12
NCAA
Boise State
#55
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A04/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
67-38
67
38
+29
H09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-28
39-25
31-41
37-37
25-30
40-35
29-24
55-38
33-31
41-26
40-33
41-42
25-16
46-34
43-32
23-35
33-32
43-36
33-24
34-14
134.9Avg total
73.1Scored
61.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)73.961.9135.8+12.077%
Season at home (9)73.061.3134.3+11.767%
Season away (4)76.063.2139.2+12.8100%
Last 10 (10)73.161.8134.9+11.380%
Last 5 (5)72.259.6131.8+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)63.872.5136.2-8.850%
vs Similar ◀ (16)72.267.6139.8+4.650%
vs Weaker (10)76.856.5133.3+20.3100%
This opponent (New Mexico) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: +7.7+7.7
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: +7.7+7.7
New MexicoSan Diego State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New MexicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona State
#285
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A29/11
NCAA
USC
#215
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H30/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H05/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H08/12
NCAA
Western N. M.
#547
W
60-37
60
37
+23
H15/12
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H19/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A28/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A01/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H04/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
18-32
18
32
-14
A08/01
NCAA
74.2Avg total
39.6Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.233.571.7+4.670%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.833.673.4+6.275%-
Last 30 away (14)36.333.469.7+2.964%-
Last 10 (10)39.634.674.2+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)36.632.068.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.030.067.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.032.369.3+4.767%-
vs Weaker (17)39.134.673.6+4.571%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Creighton
#59
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A26/11
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H27/11
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A01/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A05/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#360
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H08/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H12/12
NCAA
California
#268
W
25-16
25
16
+9
H22/12
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H28/12
NCAA
Boise State
#55
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A04/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H09/01
NCAA
61.5Avg total
32.4Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.329.763.1+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.029.764.7+5.371%-
Last 30 away (13)31.229.860.9+1.438%-
Last 10 (10)32.429.161.5+3.380%-
Last 5 (5)34.827.462.2+7.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)27.833.060.8-5.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)32.833.065.8-0.238%-
vs Weaker (10)36.523.259.7+13.3100%-
This opponent (New Mexico) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
New Mexico wins
5
San Diego State wins
New Mexicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/25AWyoming61-53
04/01/25HNevada82-81 OT
01/01/25AFresno State103-89
28/12/24AColorado State76-68
19/12/24HVCU Rams78-71
15/12/24HWestern N. M.122-70
08/12/24HNew Mexico State83-89 OT
05/12/24HSan Jose State83-77
30/11/24HUSC83-73
29/11/24AArizona State82-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/25HAir Force67-38
04/01/25ABoise State76-68
28/12/24HUtah State66-67
22/12/24HCalifornia71-50
12/12/24HCalifornia Baptist81-75
08/12/24HSan Diego Toreros74-57
05/12/24AFresno State84-62
01/12/24AHouston73-70 OT
27/11/24HOregon68-78
26/11/24ACreighton71-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWLWWW90%
AwayLLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %81%90%67%
Points / game85.490.177.5
Allowed / game74.875.274.0
Point differential+10.6+14.9+3.5
Avg total160.1165.3151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %12%20%0%
San Diego State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW77%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %77%67%100%
Points / game73.973.076.0
Allowed / game61.961.363.2
Point differential+12.0+11.7+12.8
Avg total135.8134.3139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%44%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1615194%83.467.4+15.9
2 New Mexico1613381%85.474.8+10.6
3 San Diego State1310377%73.961.9+12.0
4 Boise State1612475%77.665.9+11.8
5 Grand Canyon1611569%78.869.7+9.1
6 Colorado State159660%74.168.7+5.4
7 UNLV159660%72.570.3+2.3
8 Wyoming169756%70.769.6+1.1
9 Nevada158753%75.167.5+7.7
10 San Jose State1771041%76.273.7+2.5
11 Fresno State1641225%73.682.8-9.2
12 Air Force1531220%63.369.8-6.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
New Mexico303262
San Diego State202848
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