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San Diego State vs Boise State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 64-47
28-18 36-29
Position#65
Record16-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game63.3
vs
Position#55
Record17-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game65.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · San Diego State v Boise State
03 Jan 2026
SAN 110
BOIS107
13 Mar 2025
SAN 52
BOIS62
15 Feb 2025
SAN 64
BOIS47
08 Mar 2024
SAN 77
BOIS79
03 Feb 2023
SAN 72
BOIS52
22 Jan 2022
SAN 37
BOIS42
27 Feb 2021
SAN 62
BOIS58
25 Feb 2021
SAN 78
BOIS66
06 Mar 2020
SAN 81
BOIS68
11 Jan 2020
SAN 83
BOIS65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Diego State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boise State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#367
W
67-38
67
38
+29
H09/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
48-62
48
62
-14
A11/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
75-60
75
60
+15
H15/01
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H19/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
77-76 OT
77
76
+1
A23/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
69-50
69
50
+19
A26/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H02/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A09/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
69-66
69
66
+3
A12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-24
34-14
20-30
28-32
35-29
40-31
23-31
45-45
35-31
33-37
28-21
41-29
29-41
42-27
28-25
35-36
35-38
28-30
20-37
49-29
129.5Avg total
67.0Scored
62.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)71.163.3134.4+7.873%
Season at home (13)71.862.8134.7+9.069%
Season away (9)70.063.9133.9+6.178%
Last 10 (10)67.062.5129.5+4.570%
Last 5 (5)67.062.6129.6+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)63.872.5136.2-8.850%
vs Similar ◀ (14)69.865.2135.0+4.650%
vs Weaker (12)74.561.9136.4+12.692%
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#65
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H04/01
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
81-59
81
59
+22
H08/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A12/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
96-55
96
55
+41
H15/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
65-84
65
84
-19
A18/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A23/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H30/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
82-60
82
60
+22
H01/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
71-62
71
62
+9
A05/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
79-52
79
52
+27
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-33
36-43
43-24
38-35
38-34
41-47
50-21
46-34
21-48
44-36
29-38
43-37
28-24
38-32
44-26
38-34
33-29
38-33
37-25
42-27
141.9Avg total
75.9Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.265.8143.0+11.471%
Season at home (15)80.561.3141.8+19.387%
Season away (9)71.673.3144.9-1.844%
Last 10 (10)75.966.0141.9+9.960%
Last 5 (5)74.061.0135.0+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)72.675.8148.5-3.238%
vs Weaker (16)77.559.0136.5+18.588%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.1-2.11st half: +5.3+5.32nd half2nd half: +6.5+6.52nd half: +4.6+4.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.1-2.11st half: +5.3+5.32nd half2nd half: +6.5+6.52nd half: +4.6+4.6
San Diego StateBoise State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#367
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H09/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
20-30
20
30
-10
A11/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H15/01
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H19/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A23/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
28-21
28
21
+7
A26/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H02/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A09/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
20-37
20
37
-17
A12/02
NCAA
59.3Avg total
28.6Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.530.461.8+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.529.563.0+4.165%-
Last 30 away (13)28.831.560.3-2.838%-
Last 10 (10)28.630.759.3-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)28.032.460.4-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)27.833.060.8-5.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)32.131.463.5+0.643%-
vs Weaker (12)32.028.260.2+3.875%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#65
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H04/01
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H08/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A12/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
50-21
50
21
+29
H15/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
21-48
21
48
-27
A18/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A23/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H30/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H01/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A05/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H08/02
NCAA
65.7Avg total
35.5Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.330.364.6+4.167%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.628.665.2+7.974%-
Last 30 away (11)30.533.163.5-2.655%-
Last 10 (10)35.530.265.7+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)34.228.462.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)31.534.866.2-3.346%-
vs Weaker (16)35.726.762.4+9.081%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
San Diego State wins
6
Boise State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/25ASan Jose State69-66
09/02/25AColorado State63-68
02/02/25HWyoming63-61
29/01/25HSan Jose State71-68
26/01/25ANevada69-50
23/01/25AAir Force77-76 OT
19/01/25HUNLV68-76
15/01/25HColorado State75-60
11/01/25ANew Mexico48-62
09/01/25HAir Force67-38
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HSan Jose State79-52
05/02/25AUNLV71-62
01/02/25HFresno State82-60
30/01/25HNevada66-56
23/01/25AColorado State72-75
18/01/25ANew Mexico65-84
15/01/25HWyoming96-55
12/01/25AUtah State79-81
08/01/25HUNLV81-59
04/01/25HSan Diego State68-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Diego State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW73%
HomeWWLWW69%
AwayLWWLW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %73%69%78%
Points / game71.171.870.0
Allowed / game63.362.863.9
Point differential+7.8+9.0+6.1
Avg total134.4134.7133.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%38%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)75% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %9%0%22%
Boise State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayWLLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24159
Win %71%87%44%
Points / game77.280.571.6
Allowed / game65.861.373.3
Point differential+11.4+19.3-1.8
Avg total143.0141.8144.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2522388%81.869.4+12.4
2 New Mexico2521484%83.270.7+12.5
3 Grand Canyon2519676%78.668.5+10.1
4 San Diego State2216673%71.163.3+7.8
5 Boise State2417771%77.265.8+11.4
6 Colorado State2516964%74.568.8+5.7
7 Nevada25151060%73.467.2+6.1
8 UNLV26141254%70.068.6+1.4
9 San Jose State27121544%73.372.8+0.5
10 Wyoming26111542%67.671.1-3.5
11 Fresno State2652119%72.081.7-9.7
12 Air Force2532212%62.472.6-10.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
San Diego State283664
Boise State182947
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