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New Mexico vs Utah State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 82-79
36-42 46-37
Position#25
Record21-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game70.7
vs
Position#28
Record22-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game69.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · New Mexico v Utah State
29 Nov 2026
NEW v UTAH
upcoming
04 Feb 2026
NEW 66
UTAH86
12 Jan 2026
NEW v UTAH
upcoming
16 Feb 2025
NEW 82
UTAH79
16 Jan 2024
NEW 99
UTAH86
08 Jan 2022
NEW 87
UTAH90
08 Jan 2021
NEW 46
UTAH82
06 Jan 2021
NEW 45
UTAH77
29 Feb 2020
NEW 66
UTAH64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New MexicoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#306
W
61-53
61
53
+8
A08/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
W
62-48
62
48
+14
H11/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
70-71
70
71
-1
A15/01
NCAA
Boise State
#55
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H18/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
95-67
95
67
+28
H20/01
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
75-73
75
73
+2
A25/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
82-63
82
63
+19
A02/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
87-65
87
65
+22
H06/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
88-53
88
53
+35
A08/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
18-32
43-21
30-20
32-28
35-31
35-40
48-21
36-44
45-27
50-40
39-39
36-34
30-36
52-27
35-31
52-34
34-24
54-29
29-39
42-28
140.0Avg total
77.5Scored
62.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)83.270.7153.9+12.584%
Season at home (15)86.770.9157.6+15.793%
Season away (10)78.070.4148.4+7.670%
Last 10 (10)77.562.5140.0+15.090%
Last 5 (5)80.664.2144.8+16.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.071.0149.0+7.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.566.1143.5+11.491%
vs Weaker (18)83.771.7155.4+11.978%
This opponent (Utah State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#251
W
85-78
85
78
+7
A08/01
NCAA
Boise State
#55
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H12/01
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
62-65
62
65
-3
A16/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
90-69
90
69
+21
H23/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
87-58
87
58
+29
A25/01
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H30/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
63-82
63
82
-19
H02/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A05/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
89-81
89
81
+8
A08/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
93-85
93
85
+8
H12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
45-36
40-42
34-38
47-41
30-32
32-33
47-38
43-31
42-33
45-25
33-24
43-47
36-30
27-52
30-35
41-32
50-31
39-50
45-30
48-55
153.2Avg total
79.7Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)81.869.4151.3+12.488%
Season at home (14)87.971.1159.1+16.886%
Season away (11)74.167.3141.4+6.891%
Last 10 (10)79.773.5153.2+6.280%
Last 5 (5)78.477.2155.6+1.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.090.5160.5-20.50%
vs Similar ◀ (9)76.175.6151.7+0.678%
vs Weaker (18)83.569.2152.7+14.394%
This opponent (New Mexico) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: +6.5+6.52nd half2nd half: +10.7+10.72nd half: -0.3-0.3
-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: +6.5+6.52nd half2nd half: +10.7+10.72nd half: -0.3-0.3
New MexicoUtah State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New MexicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#306
L
18-32
18
32
-14
A08/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
W
30-20
30
20
+10
H11/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A15/01
NCAA
Boise State
#55
W
48-21
48
21
+27
H18/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H20/01
NCAA
UNLV
#165
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A25/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A02/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H06/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A08/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H13/02
NCAA
64.3Avg total
34.3Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.932.470.3+5.573%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.132.172.2+7.982%-
Last 30 away (13)35.132.767.8+2.462%-
Last 10 (10)34.330.064.3+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)33.433.867.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.030.067.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.028.965.9+8.182%-
vs Weaker (18)38.534.673.1+3.967%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#251
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A08/01
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H12/01
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A16/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H23/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A25/01
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H30/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H02/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A05/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A08/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H12/02
NCAA
71.9Avg total
39.2Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.933.372.2+5.660%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.132.774.8+9.478%-
Last 30 away (12)34.234.268.4-0.133%-
Last 10 (10)39.232.771.9+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)38.830.068.8+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.040.576.5-4.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)36.734.471.1+2.256%-
vs Weaker (18)38.932.471.3+6.661%-
This opponent (New Mexico) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
New Mexico wins
8
Utah State wins
New Mexicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/25HWyoming71-67
08/02/25AAir Force88-53
06/02/25HColorado State87-65
02/02/25AUtah State82-63
25/01/25AUNLV75-73
20/01/25HFresno State95-67
18/01/25HBoise State84-65
15/01/25ASan Jose State70-71
11/01/25HSan Diego State62-48
08/01/25AWyoming61-53
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/25HColorado State93-85
08/02/25AFresno State89-81
05/02/25AWyoming71-67
02/02/25HNew Mexico63-82
30/01/25HUNLV76-71
25/01/25AAir Force87-58
23/01/25HNevada90-69
16/01/25AUNLV62-65
12/01/25HBoise State81-79
08/01/25ASan Jose State85-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW84%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWLWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %84%93%70%
Points / game83.286.778.0
Allowed / game70.770.970.4
Point differential+12.5+15.7+7.6
Avg total153.9157.6148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%60%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %8%13%0%
Utah State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW88%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayWLWWW91%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %88%86%91%
Points / game81.887.974.1
Allowed / game69.471.167.3
Point differential+12.4+16.8+6.8
Avg total151.3159.1141.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%50%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)75% (4)83% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2522388%81.869.4+12.4
2 New Mexico2521484%83.270.7+12.5
3 Grand Canyon2519676%78.668.5+10.1
4 San Diego State2317674%70.862.6+8.2
5 Boise State2517868%76.065.7+10.2
6 Colorado State2516964%74.568.8+5.7
7 Nevada25151060%73.467.2+6.1
8 UNLV26141254%70.068.6+1.4
9 San Jose State27121544%73.372.8+0.5
10 Wyoming26111542%67.671.1-3.5
11 Fresno State2652119%72.081.7-9.7
12 Air Force2532212%62.472.6-10.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
New Mexico364682
Utah State423779
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