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Chemnitz vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 69-71
12-15 23-20 14-16 20-20
Position#12
Record10-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game84.3
vs
Rostock 🏆
Germany
Position#8
Record12-13
FormWLWWL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game88.2
GermanyBBLRound 26
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Chemnitz v Rostock
05 Dec 2026
CHE v ROS
upcoming
20 Dec 2025
CHE97
ROS92
04 May 2025
CHE108
ROS102
17 Nov 2023
CHE85
ROS75
02 Apr 2023
CHE69
ROS71
15 Feb 2020
CHE109
ROS82
22 Dec 2018
CHE68
ROS88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#11
L
74-77
74
77
-3
76avg 78
A03/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
82-79
82
79
+3
78avg 78
A05/02
BBL
SCM Craiova
#25
W
85-79 OT
85
79
+6
no box
A08/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#3
L
58-79
58
79
-21
52avg 78
H12/02
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
86-87
86
87
-1
87avg 78
H15/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
73-83
73
83
-10
67avg 78
H04/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
91-101
91
101
-10
80avg 78
A11/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
84-89
84
89
-5
81avg 78
A19/03
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
83-95
83
95
-12
67avg 78
A22/03
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
79-81
79
81
-2
73avg 78
H26/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
17-29
13-11
22-18
23-20
27-22
14-16
18-21
23-17
19-19
15-16
18-23
7-23
21-19
18-21
12-16
23-24
25-24
18-20
20-19
26-20
9-28
14-15
24-20
29-25
20-25
19-18
23-33
25-21
21-21
17-24
21-23
21-20
22-23
19-28
21-24
24-20
22-22
24-22
9-17
164.5Avg total
79.5Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)84.084.3168.3-0.242%
Season at home (12)83.883.2166.9+0.650%
Season away (12)84.385.4169.8-1.133%
Last 10 (10)79.585.0164.5-5.520%
Last 5 (5)82.089.8171.8-7.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.086.8166.8-6.820%
vs Similar (13)81.283.2164.4-2.131%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)92.077.7169.7+14.383%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#18
W
92-83
92
83
+9
88avg 76
A20/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
79-77
79
77
+2
75avg 76
H28/01
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
91-81
91
81
+10
86avg 76
A03/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
73-80
73
80
-7
69avg 76
H05/02
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
62-77
62
77
-15
50avg 76
H12/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
87-71
87
71
+16
no box
A15/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
78-102
78
102
-24
66avg 76
A04/03
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
86-79
86
79
+7
80avg 76
H12/03
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
94-88
94
88
+6
95avg 76
A18/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
72-76
72
76
-4
68avg 76
H25/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
18-23
25-23
28-24
19-23
19-14
21-24
20-16
24-32
20-14
26-20
21-15
18-15
19-18
19-23
17-24
20-26
14-20
5-13
23-18
24-20
19-11
30-17
14-23
18-25
21-27
17-30
22-20
21-15
19-17
20-22
26-25
30-20
18-21
19-26
27-21
20-13
18-23
13-17
21-23
162.8Avg total
81.4Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)84.388.2172.5-3.948%
Season at home (13)79.685.1164.7-5.538%
Season away (12)89.491.6181.0-2.258%
Last 10 (10)81.481.4162.8+0.060%
Last 5 (5)83.483.2166.6+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)79.990.3170.2-10.427%
vs Similar (18)85.885.0170.8+0.867%
vs Weaker (1)92.083.0175.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +1.0+1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +1.0+1.0
ChemnitzRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#11
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A03/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A05/02
BBL
SCM Craiova
#25
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A08/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#3
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H12/02
BBL
Gottingen
#7
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H15/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H04/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A11/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A19/03
BBL
Bamberg
#9
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A22/03
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H26/03
BBL
86.7Avg total
42.6Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.442.386.7+2.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.443.288.6+2.150%-
Last 30 away (16)43.641.585.1+2.150%-
Last 10 (10)42.644.186.7-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)43.845.088.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.444.083.4-4.620%-
vs Similar (13)42.544.386.8-1.823%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)48.639.488.0+9.292%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#18
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A20/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H28/01
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A03/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H05/02
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H12/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A15/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A04/03
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H12/03
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A18/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H25/03
BBL
79.0Avg total
40.0Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.443.384.7-1.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.140.379.5-1.253%-
Last 30 away (15)43.746.289.9-2.540%-
Last 10 (10)40.039.079.0+1.070%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.480.0+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)41.048.389.3-7.336%-
vs Similar (18)41.840.682.4+1.250%-
vs Weaker (1)39.036.075.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.516.8
53.3%
54.4%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.19.3
30.9%
35.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.015.4
77.0%
75.8%15.4
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.0
53.1%
54.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.1
35.1%
35.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws23.818.1
76.1%
75.8%18.1
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
LLLLLLLWWL
Rostock
LWWLWLLWWW
#12
League position
#8
-9.9
Net rating
+0.0
105.4
Offensive rating
106.4
115.3
Defensive rating
106.4
49.9%
Effective FG%
52.9%
57.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
18.9%
Turnover %
19.4%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.40
30.9%
3-point %
35.1%
68.6%
Assist %
58.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 106.4Defence115.3 · 106.4Shooting49.9% · 52.9%3-point %30.9% · 35.1%Ball care18.9% · 19.4%Off. rebounds30.9% · 26.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Chemnitz wins
1
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
18/01/23Rostock v Chemnitz81-96
15/02/20Chemnitz v Rostock109-82
29/12/19Rostock v Chemnitz91-101
22/12/18Chemnitz v Rostock68-88
28/10/18Rostock v Chemnitz76-87
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/23HBonn79-81
22/03/23ABamberg83-95
19/03/23AFrankfurt84-89
11/03/23AAlba Berlin91-101
04/03/23HBasketball Braunschweig73-83
15/02/23HGottingen86-87
12/02/23HBayern58-79
08/02/23ASCM Craiova85-79 OT
05/02/23ACrailsheim Merlins82-79
03/02/23AWurzburg74-77
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/23HWurzburg72-76
18/03/23ABamberg94-88
12/03/23HCrailsheim Merlins86-79
04/03/23ASyntainics MBC78-102
15/02/23ABasketball Braunschweig87-71
12/02/23HBonn62-77
05/02/23HOldenburg73-80
03/02/23AHamburg91-81
28/01/23HSyntainics MBC79-77
20/01/23ABayreuth92-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL42%
HomeWLLLL50%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game84.083.884.3
Allowed / game84.383.285.4
Point differential-0.2+0.6-1.1
Avg total168.3166.9169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)0% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Rostock
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL48%
HomeWLLWL38%
AwayWWWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %48%38%58%
Points / game84.379.689.4
Allowed / game88.285.191.6
Point differential-3.9-5.5-2.2
Avg total172.5164.7181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%8%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn2624292%89.373.5+15.8
2 Alba Berlin2422292%89.979.3+10.5
3 Bayern2418675%81.975.7+6.2
4 Oldenburg2416867%85.381.0+4.3
5 Gottingen2314961%87.486.1+1.3
6 Ludwigsburg25151060%88.585.6+2.9
7 Ulm25141156%88.185.2+2.9
8 Wurzburg26141254%84.284.3-0.1
9 Bamberg27131448%87.487.1+0.3
10 Rostock25121348%84.388.2-3.9
11 Chemnitz24101442%84.084.3-0.2
12 Heidelberg2591636%86.290.8-4.5
13 Syntainics MBC2591636%82.888.3-5.4
14 Hamburg2691735%81.084.9-3.9
15 Crailsheim Merlins2691735%86.590.6-4.0
16 Basketball Braunschweig2671927%79.084.5-5.5
17 Frankfurt2561924%78.887.3-8.4
18 Bayreuth2442017%81.889.5-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz1223142069
Rostock1520162071
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